AntiWar
July 1, 2006
Another fine mess you've gotten us into, Condi!
Dr. James Gordon Prather
Nuclear weapons physicist
Former Nuclear
bomb tester at Lawrence Livermore
Former Technical director of nuclear bomb
testings at Sandia
Former Chief scientist of the U.S. Army
U.S. Navy
veteran
When forced to confront the mess she has made of our foreign
policy, do you suppose Condi Rice views the interrelated messes, individually,
or collectively?
Take the US-India-Iran-Pakistan-Russia mess.
Last year, Condi whizzed down to New Delhi to prevent India from
finalizing technical and commercial contracts for a pipeline that would provide
Iranian natural gas to Pakistan and India. Mostly India.
Why did she do that?
Well, her primary foreign-policy goal as Secretary of State has been to
effect 'regime change' in Iran, through the use of diplomacy, ''if
possible''.
At the 2005 Review Conference (7th RevCon) of the Treaty on
Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) – which Condi didn't bother to
address or even attend – her munchkin Stephen Rademaker instructed the conferees
as follows:
''For almost two decades, Iran has conducted a
clandestine nuclear weapons program, aided by the illicit network of A.Q. Khan.
Britain, France and Germany, with our support, are seeking to reach a diplomatic
solution to the Iranian nuclear problem, a solution that given the history of
clandestine nuclear weapons work in that country, must include permanent
cessation of Iran's enrichment and reprocessing efforts, as well as
dismantlement of equipment and facilities related to such activity''.
What ''nuclear weapons'' program is Rademaker talking about?
Mohamed ElBaradei – Director-General of the International Atomic Energy
Agency (IAEA) – responsible for verifying for other NPT signatories that no
source or special nuclear materials had been used in furtherance of a military
purpose, had just reported that, after more than two years of unprecedented
highly intrusive inspections, ''I have seen no nuclear weapons program in
Iran".
Nevertheless, Condi made several unsuccessful attempts to get the IAEA
Board of Governors to ''refer'' Iran to the UN Security Council (UNSC) for
Iran's insistance on its INALIENABLE RIGHT – guaranteed under the NPT [1]
and under Iran's IAEA Safeguards Agreement [2] – to produce fuel for Iranian
nuclear power plants, under construction and planned, by the Russians.
For more than 20 years, the United States had threatened, and sometimes
imposed sanctions on, any country that invested more than $20 million in Iran's
infrastructure, particularly in the energy sector.
The Clinton-Gore Administration had been successful in getting Russia
to cancel a deal to construct a turn-key uranium-enrichment plant, and China to
cancel a deal to construct a turn-key uranium-conversion plant. Now, here was
India about to agree to co-invest with Iran in a multi-billion dollar natural
gas pipeline.
So, what carrot did Condi offer the Indians to prevent their finalizing
the Iran-Pakistan-India pipeline deal?
Well, the possibility that we would (a) lift sanctions imposed by
Congress [as a result of the nuclear weapons tests India conducted in 1998] on
India and on U.S. companies doing business with India, (b) supply India with the
nuclear-power plants that we had prevented Russia from supplying, and (c) get
the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) to completely disregard guidelines on
restrictions to be applied to NSG exports to India. [3]
Since 1992, importers of certain NSG exports have been required to
subject all their nuclear programs – peaceful or otherwise – to the IAEA
Safeguards regime. [4]
But Condi may have trouble getting Congress to lift sanctions without
imposing conditions that India will find unacceptable.
In particular, House Resolution 5682 as ''reported'', includes a
provision requiring ''India's full and active participation in United States
efforts to dissuade, isolate, and, if necessary, sanction and contain Iran for
its efforts to acquire weapons of mass destruction, including a nuclear weapons
capability (including the capability to enrich or process nuclear materials),
and the means to deliver weapons of mass destruction''. [5]
Full and active participation in U.S. efforts to isolate Iran?
Wouldn't that mean cancellation of the Iran-Pakistan-India natural gas
pipeline?
The $7 billion pipeline that Russian President Vladmir Putin told
reporters last week in Shanghai – in the presence of Iranian President Mahmud
Ahmadinejad – that Gazprom [Russia's state-controlled natural gas monopoly] was
prepared to help finance and build?
Yep, that's the one.
But not to worry.
HR 5682 approval is also contingent upon the NSG deciding ''by
consensus'' to exempt India from the requirement to subject all their nuclear
programs – including their nuclear weapons program developed to counter the
Chinese ''nuke threat'' – to the IAEA full-scope Safeguards regime.
By consensus?
What if Russia agrees to exempt India but China doesn't.
Well, thanks to Condi, Russia can not only help Iran and India build
their $7 billion natural gas pipeline, but can finish supplying the nuclear
power plants already contracted for by India that the United States has blocked
up until now. [6]
Notes:
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[2] Iran’s IAEA Safeguards Agreement