On Wed, 20 Mar 2019 08:59:29 -0700, Alan Baker wrote:
> They wrote an article.
> YOU insisted (over and over and over) that it must be true.
Hi Alan Baker,
*You need to look at your CONFIDENCE level versus your KNOWLEDGE level!**
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You _still_ do not appear to comprehend that these are different things:
o FACT + LOGIC
You perfectly fit the "CONFIDENCE" curve with "NO KNOWLEDGE", Alan Baker.
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> You were wrong.
When you say I am wrong, are you saying my "facts" are wrong?
o Or are you saying my "logical assessment" is wrong (in your opinion)?
HINT: My facts are never wrong.
You don't yet comprehend how much knowledge you are MISSING!
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>> What is your assessment and what is my assessment of _those_ same facts?
>> o I think you're saying that it didn't happen, right?
>
> I didn't happen.
Ah. I see.
You're exactly like the Dunning-Kruger bank robber Alan Baker.
o What are you going to say if it actually _is_ happening?
What are your SOURCES for this insider information, Alan Baker?
o HINT: The DK robber was as sure as you are, that the lemon juice worked.
You perfectly fit the "I think I know" curve shown in the graph below:
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https://i.imgur.com/j5kTJCY.png>
> Are you doubling down on being wrong?
> You're trying to insist that it's still going to happen?
> LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL
Stop this nonsense Alan Baker,
o Here's where you instantly dropped to the level of a child.
It took you SIXTEEN posts to simply agree on the published facts.
o Worse, you don't comprehend the difference between FACT & LOGIC
You clearly doubt that the WSJ was accurate in what they reported
o I leave room for the WSJ reliable sources to be, well, reliable.
You, like the Dunning-Kruger bank robber, leave no room for error
o I _always_ left room for error.
You don't appear to be able to get over the hump in this graph:
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> I think that the lack of new iPhone X's four MONTHS after the original
> story means it's not happening.
You are high above the "confidence threshold" in this graph, Alan Baker:
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https://static1.squarespace.com/static/50bb95ade4b05ce489457f37/t/556c3021e4b0edfe51896a33/1433153572052/>
Notice very important things, Alan Baker!
BOTH OF US:
o You and I have the SAME FACTS (that took you sixteen posts to realize)
YOU:
o You assess that it isn't happening (which I accept is a valid assessment)
ME:
o I assess that it may or may not be happening (which includes your assessment)
I realize you never took a LOGIC 101 class in college (I doubt you even
matriculated based on my assessment of your inability to comprehend the
difference between fact & logical assessment of that fact)... so this will
go over your head, but I make this statement for adults to assess.
It's incongruous for me to agree with your logical assessment and yet, for
you to disagree with mine, since mine not only encompasses entirely your
logical assessment, but mine also leaves room for the WSJ "reliable
sources" to be correct.
HINT: I realize you, Alan Baker, don't comprehend that key sentence
o But others, who are adults, will instantly agree with the irony.
> BTW, why the quotes around "could"?
Alan,
You seem to think this is a silly game you are playing.\
I've been very patient with you.
o When you act like an adult, I treat you like an adult
o When you act like a child, I treat you like a child.
Clearly, you're in the left side of "Mount S" in this graph:
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You are supremely CONFIDENT of your assessment of the facts.
o To you, "it didn't happen".
I'm more to the middle of that graph, Alan Baker.
o I'm saying it "could" happen and it "might not" happen.
The quotes are to underscore the _difference_ between how YOU think, and
how I think, Alan Baker.
HINT: Your confidence in the ACCURACY of your logical assessment ability is
what puts you very far to the left in the graph above, where my assessment
leaves room for both options (hence I'm more in the middle of that graph).
> You seem to want to have it both ways.
Jesus Christ Alan Baker.
o We're not playing silly little games.
I assessed the facts where we both agreed (after sixteen posts) on those
facts, which, by the way, I knew from the start since I'm the one who
reported those facts to the newsgroup, so, I didn't learn anything from you
in those sixteen posts other than the fact that it takes sixteen posts for
you to realize what normal adults realized before the first post.
You need to look at your CONFIDENCE level versus your KNOWLEDGE
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> I know it didn't happen.
> That's what the complete lack of new iPhone X's on the "shelves" means.
You perfectly fit the "CONFIDENCE" curve with "NO KNOWLEDGE", Alan Baker.
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> You were... ...wrong.
Your confidence in your ability to assess fact is why you're pegged left:
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> You cannot teach me anything, little man.
Notice how threatened by logic you are?
o You instantly resort to childish taunts simply by being exposed to logic.
What's interesting is that Jolly Roger did EXACTLY the same thing here:
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https://groups.google.com/d/msg/misc.phone.mobile.iphone/6yjbZWpBad4/1Ghep4kQBgAJ>
And nospam does it all the time.
o You apologists are like little children, _threatened_ by facts.
> You were wrong, and you know it.
You apologists can't seem to distinguish between fact & logic.
o Even after a score of posts, you _still_ don't know the difference.
And yet, you're supremely confident even with your utter lack of knowledge!
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> The facts were never wrong.
> YOU were wrong.
You really need to figure out that a fact is different from a logically
derived assessment of that fact.
You have SUPREME CONFIDENCE that you're right.
o Just like the lemon juice bank robber had that SAME confidence!
But you have no more knowledge than I do.
o Which puts you EXACTLY pegged left in all these DK graphs!
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Notice how much CONFIDENCE you have in your assessment?
o I don't have the same confidence that you have.
HINT: We both lack the factual knowledge, but you certainly do not lack in
confidence of your assessment of the few facts we both have.
Look at this graph and tell us where that puts both you and me, Alan:
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HINT: *Look at the section titled "recognition of knowledge gaps", Alan!*