On Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 4:50:22 PM UTC-4, ltlee1 wrote:
"... the declared U.S. objective not just to end the aggression in Ukraine
but more generally to “weaken” Russia.
... The United States is in effect declaring a new Cold War with Russia.
... One has to wonder how much thought in official circles has gone into
where a new Cold War would be headed and how it would end. Some may
be content to wage such a conflict indefinitely, just as there seemed to be
such people in the original Cold War. This was one distinction that can
be drawn between Ronald Reagan, who envisioned an end to the first
Cold War and tried to bring that end closer, and some in his administration
who appeared content to be Cold Warriors forever.
A new Cold War with Russia would be very much contrary to U.S. interests
and to international security generally.
...
An optimistic view of current problems is that today’s Russia, sometimes
demeaned as a gas station with nukes, also has serious internal weaknesses,
some of which parallel the weaknesses of the USSR. But the original Cold War
had a distinct end that cannot and will not be duplicated with a new Cold War.
...
Another difference from the earlier Cold War that bodes unfavorably for Western
prospects for “winning” a new one concerns the power that at least until this year
had been mentioned more often as the arch-foe in a new Cold War: China. During
most of the U.S.-Soviet Cold War, China was the communist poor relation whose
own relationship with the USSR got bad enough to spawn a border war between
the two. Now China is an economic—and increasingly, military—superpower that
is providing strategic depth to Putin’s Russia.
Kennan identified another critical ingredient for the United States and the West
to prevail in his Cold War, which was how well the United States handled its own
internal affairs.
...
Kennan was writing in an era of extraordinarily effective bipartisan cooperation in
U.S. foreign policy, which had underlain victory in World War II and creation of the
United Nations and was continuing into the first years of the original Cold War.
...
The contrast with today could hardly be greater. Partisanship in the United States
has overridden major aspects of foreign policy as much as it has overridden so
much else. American democracy itself is on the brink of failure.
...
A new Cold War with Russia does not bode as well as the previous one. It will not
end victoriously with a “unipolar moment.” It might not end at all."
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/paul-pillar/how-can-new-cold-war-russia-end-202443