Group: http://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering/topics
- FW: UN moves towards geoengineering moratorium [1 Update]
- Solar Radiation Management section of National Academy's America's Climate Choices report [3 Updates]
- Convention on Biological Diversity Subsidiary Group Recommends Geoengineering Moratorium [2 Updates]
- FW: UN moves towards geoengineering moratorium [1 Update]
Greg Rau <ra...@llnl.gov> May 19 04:27PM -0700 ^
Thanks, Margaret. As you said at the Asilomar
opening, we would be quite relieved if
geoengineering research weren't necessary. But
since other technological and non-technological
approaches are failing to solve the problem, it
would seem a little premature if not extremely
dangerous for the UN to impose a moratorium on
evaluating other options. If ETC has viable
solutions, let's hear them. Otherwise, what is
their agenda, and why is it threatened by
geoengineering? "Hands off mother earth" is one
approach, but it would seem to preclude all human
activity, not just geoengineering. Interesting
that Bill McKibben is cited below as a fellow
"earther". As founder of 350.org, how does he
propose to get back to 350 ppm CO2 any time soon
with a "hands off" approach? If it's biochar,
this would seem to be pretty hands-on,
land-management-intensive to me. Guess this
leaves us with only one option - praying.
-Greg
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Ken Caldeira <kcal...@carnegie.stanford.edu> May 19 09:26AM -0700 ^
*See attached report summary from "Advancing the Science of Climate Change"
+ sections on Solar Radiation Management*
*http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=12782*
Advancing the Science of Climate Change
[image: Book Cover] <http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=12782#toc>
Status: Prepublication Available
Size: 506 pages, 7 x 10
Publication Year:2010
*Authors:*
America's Climate Choices: Panel on Advancing the Science of Climate Change;
National Research Council
**
***------------------------------
*
*Prepublication - What is it?*
An uncorrected copy, or prepublication, is an uncorrected proof of the book.
___________________________________________________
Ken Caldeira
Carnegie Institution Dept of Global Ecology
260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
kcal...@carnegie.stanford.edu
http://dge.stanford.edu/DGE/CIWDGE/labs/caldeiralab
+1 650 704 7212; fax: +1 650 462 5968
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John Nissen <j...@cloudworld.co.uk> May 19 07:41PM +0100 ^
Thanks, Ken.
Others might like to read bios here:
http://americasclimatechoices.org/scienceslate.shtml
Is there any new perspective on geoengineering in the report? There is no mention of SRM to save the Arctic sea ice! But there is a small section discussing what constitutes an emergency:
[quote]
Develop metrics and methods for informing discussions and decisions related to “climate emergencies”. There are at least two components to this research need. For use of SRM as a potential "back-stop option” in the case of an emerging “climate emergency ", improved observations and understanding of climate system thresholds, reversibility, and abrupt changes (see Chapter 6)—for example, observations to let us know when an ice sheet or methane hydrate field may become unstable (eg, Khvorostyanov et al., 2008; Shakhova et al., 2010)—could inform societal debate and decision making about needs for deployment of a climate intervention system. Second, there is no consensus on what constitutes a "climate emergency", nor is there a consensus regarding when an SRM deployment might be warranted. The notion of an "emergency" is not simply a scientific concept, but one that involves both scientific facts and human values—quite similar to discussions about “dangerous interference in the climate system” (eg, Dessai et al., 2004; Gupta and van Asselt, 2006; Hansen, 2005; Lorenzoni et al., 2005; Oppenheimer, 2005; Smith et al., 2009). To some people, losing Arctic ecosystems constitutes a climate emergency, whereas to others the declaration of an “emergency” might require widespread loss of human life. Therefore, to inform a broader discussion of how society wants to address issues of risk, climate intervention cannot be studied in isolation but must be placed in a broader context considering, for example, drivers of climate change, climate consequences, socio-political systems, and human values.
[end quote]
So, Ken, what do you think constitutes a climate emergency to justify SRM? How much loss of Arctic sea ice? How much risk from methane release? How much risk of sea level rise from Greenland ice sheet disintegration? Can SRM ever be justified on the precautionary principle - and if not why not? What is proper risk management? What calculations are needed to justify geoengineering rather than further delay?
Cheers,
John
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Andrew Lockley <andrew....@gmail.com> May 19 11:00PM +0100 ^
Rather cynically, I'd suggest that a 'climate emergency' exists only when
the outcome of the next election hinges on it.
Perhaps someone can express that in maths and squiggles to make it look more
'sciencey'.
A
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Josh <joshuah...@gmail.com> May 19 02:06PM -0700 ^
The Subsidiary Body on Scientific, Technical, and Technological Advice
(SBSTTA) has recommended that the CBD Conference of the Parties (COP)
adopt a general moratorium on geoengineering activities at its meeting
this October. Here is the formal text:
(w) [Ensure, in line and consistent with decision IX/16 C, on ocean
fertilization and biodiversity and climate change, and in accordance
with the precautionary approach, that no climate-related geo-
engineering activities take place until there is an adequate
scientific basis on which to justify such activities and appropriate
consideration of the associated risks for the environment and
biodiversity and associated social, economic and cultural impacts;]
It is not, however, a foregone conclusion that the COP will adopt this
recommendation.
http://cdn.www.cbd.int/doc/meetings/sbstta/sbstta-14/in-session/sbstta-14-L-09-en.pdf
Josh Horton
joshuah...@gmail.com
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Ken Caldeira <kcal...@carnegie.stanford.edu> May 19 02:30PM -0700 ^
At the very least they need to narrow the scope of what they are talking
about.
"Climate-related geoengineering activities" seems horribly under-defined.
Does an activity need to be "geoengineering" in order for it to be a
"geoengineering activity"? Does a field test aimed at getting information
relevant to geoengineering that is not in itself geoengineering count as a
"geoengineering activity"?
If so, does me writing this email count as a "climate-related geoengineering
activity"?
Where are the boundaries and who determines them?
Is the Convention on Biological Diversity the vehicle to govern experiments
that pose no threat to biological diversity (and indeed may provide
information that helps maintain biodiversity [e.g., help stave off loss of
Arctic ecosystems] )?
___________________________________________________
Ken Caldeira
Carnegie Institution Dept of Global Ecology
260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
kcal...@carnegie.stanford.edu
http://dge.stanford.edu/DGE/CIWDGE/labs/caldeiralab
+1 650 704 7212; fax: +1 650 462 5968
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Margaret Leinen <mle...@climateresponsefund.org> May 19 01:27PM -0600 ^
--
***************************************************************************
*******
ETC Group
News Release
18 May 2010
www.etcgroup.org <http://www.etcgroup.org/>
United Nations science body calls for halt on climate-hacking experiments
Geoengineering moratorium proposal will go to UN Biodiversity Convention
http://www.handsoffmotherearth.org/
Nairobi, Kenya - A formal recommendation for a moratorium on all climate
geoengineering activities is being sent to the United Nations Convention on
Biological Diversity (CBD) for consideration by its 193 member governments
when the CBD gathers in Nagoya Japan this October.
Governments attending the Nairobi meeting of the scientific subcommittee of
the UN Convention (SBSTTA 14) agreed late last week to forward the
groundbreaking recommendation after a high degree of consensus was reached.
In a related move, the scientific subcommittee also reviewed and supported
the ongoing global moratorium on one geoengineering technique, ocean
fertilization, adopted by the Biodiversity Convention in Bonn in 2008.
The historic recommendation from SBSTTA 14 is the first time a UN body has
addressed geoengineering governance since the adoption of the Environmental
Modification Treaty in the 1970s. SBSTTA requests that ³no climate-related
geo-engineering activities take place until there is an adequate scientific
basis on which to justify such activities and appropriate consideration of
the associated risks for the environment and biodiversity and associated
social, economic and cultural impacts². (1) The moratorium proposal received
near-unanimous support with strong statements from countries in Africa,
Asia, Europe and Latin America. However, the recommendation will be
forwarded to COP 10 (Conference of the Parties) of the CBD in October in
"square brackets" signalling that the consensus is not absolute. Earlier in
the week it seemed there was unanimous agreement on the text after some
delegations consulted with their capitals. But on the final day Canada
apologetically announced that it could not support the text and asked that
it be placed in brackets for consideration in Nagoya. Decisions in the CBD
are customarily consensus-based.
"The motion on geoengineering arose as part of the agenda on climate change
and biodiversity," Silvia Ribeiro of ETC Group (an international civil
society organization) reports from Nairobi. "Canada is the bête noire of
climate change negotiations and nobody was surprised to see it stand out as
the main objector to this proposal. The delegation itself was embarrassed."
"Geoengineering" refers to any large-scale human-made effort to
intentionally adjust major planetary systems to climate change. It includes
proposals to pump sulphates into the stratosphere to block sunlight or blow
ocean salt spray into clouds to increase their reflectivity. Last week it
emerged that at least one team of engineers and scientists, the Silver
Lining Project of San Francisco, is looking to run a 10,000 square kilometre
geoengineering test on cloud whitening.(2) ETC Group¹s request to Silver
Lining for clarification on the experiment¹s details has not yet been
answered.
Geoengineering also includes transforming major tracts of land or sea in
order to sequester excess greenhouse gases. Confronted with imminent
commercial ventures, the 2008 meeting of the Biodiversity Convention adopted
what the German environment minister (who chaired the CBD) called a "de
facto moratorium² on ocean fertilization. Shortly after its adoption,
however, another German ministry violated the moratorium with an ocean
fertilization experiment in the Southern Ocean. The move caused a rift
within the German cabinet, debate in the Bundestag, an international outcry
and led last week to a strong reaffirmation of the moratorium by government
delegates in Nairobi.
"The moratorium on ocean fertilization is stronger than ever," says Neth
Dano of ETC Group, also in Nairobi. "But we expect its promoters to strike
back. Big industry and big science want to press ahead with geoengineering
either as a Œplan B¹, or as a free pass to avoid reducing emissions. It's
the big lie that lets them pretend that we can all carry on drilling and
driving business as usual!"
"The geoengineers are going to be furious with this moratorium," Silvia
Ribeiro acknowledges. "The last thing they want is for the United Nations to
step in. They argue that a handful of governments and corporations should be
free to move ahead on geoengineering experimentation without independent,
international oversight. (3) In March, geoengineers held a by
invitation-only conference in Asilomar, California to discuss a Œvoluntary
code of conduct¹ that would let them self-regulate their experiments. (4)
Governments here in Nairobi have just told them they have no right to
control the planet¹s thermostat.²
Recognising that geoengineers will be mounting a major lobbying offensive
to prevent the moratorium from being firmly established in Nagoya later this
year, ETC Group has joined with over 100 other civil society organisations
to press the case for a halt to geoengineering experiments. The Hands Off
Mother Earth (HOME) campaign is a global grassroots campaign of individuals
and organisations visible athttp://www.handsoffmotherearth.org
<http://www.handsoffmotherearth.org/> . Its supporters include many
grassroots organisations, international networks of farmers and indigenous
peoples as well as renowned environmentalists and social justice campaigners
such as Vandana Shiva, Bill McKibben, David Suzuki and Naomi Klein. (5)
"How dare they claim the right to block the sun? To colour the clouds? To
change the chemistry of the ocean?² exclaims Canadian author Naomi Klein who
is backing the HOME campaign. ³Look at the oil gushing into the Gulf of
Mexico. If we learn one lesson from this disaster, let it be that we cannot
control the effects of our technology, nor is our technology capable of
fixing the Earth-disruptions that we unleash. It's time for some collective
humility in the face of awesome natural forces, not more eco-hubris."
-30-
Notes :
1. The full text of the proposed moratorium in SBSTTA (Subsidiary Body for
Scientific, Technological and Technical Advice)
UNEP/CBD/SBSTTA/14/L9 is online at
http://www.cbd.int/sbstta14/meeting/in-session/?tab=2 . The relevant
section reads :
(w) [Ensure, in line and consistent with decision IX/16 C, on ocean
fertilization and biodiversity and climate change, and in accordance with
the precautionary approach, that no climate-related geo-engineering
activities take place until there is an adequate scientific basis on which
to justify such activities and appropriate consideration of the associated
risks for the environment and biodiversity and associated social, economic
and cultural impacts;]
2. See ETC Group/H.O.M.E. News Release, ³As huge cloud-whitening experiment
goes public, global coalition urges an immediate halt to geoengineering²
20th May 2010. Online athttp://www.etcgroup.org/en/node/5137
3. See for example Lee Lane of the American Enterprise Institute,
³Geoengineering Experiments should not require global agreement², the
Enterprise Blog, March 30 2010, available
athttp://blog.american.com/?p=11895 or the testimony of Canadian scientist
David Keith before the UK Parliamentary Committee on Science and Technology
hearings on the regulation of geoengineering available at
http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200910/cmselect/cmsctech/221/221.
4. See ETC Group news release, ³Top-down Planet Hackers Call for Bottom-up
Governance² 11th Feb 2010. Online at http://www.etcgroup.org/en/node/5073.
See also the letter from civil society groups opposing the Asilomar
conference at: http://www.etcgroup.org/en/node/5080
5. For more information about the Hands Off Mother Earth Campaign and to
view a gallery of hundreds of individuals expressing their opposition to
geoengineering experiments seehttp://www.handsoffmotherearth.org
<http://www.handsoffmotherearth.org/> Images available for picture desks.
For more information contact:
In Nairobi, Kenya:
Neth Dano, ne...@etcgroup.org
<http://us.mc1105.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=ne...@etcgroup.org> cell &
SMS +63 917 532 9369
Nairobi cell: +254 712 605 622
Silvia Ribeiro, sil...@etcgroup.org
<http://us.mc1105.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=sil...@etcgroup.org> cell &
SMS +52 1 55 2653 3330
Nairobi cell: +254 712 601 660
Molly Kane, mo...@etcgroup.org
<http://us.mc1105.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=mo...@etcgroup.org> cell &
SMS: +1-613-797 6421
Nairobi cell: +254 712 600 644
In Canada:
Diana Bronson - di...@etcgroup.org
<http://us.mc1105.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=di...@etcgroup.org> ; phone
+1 514 273 6661 cell: +1 514 629 9236
Jim Thomas - j...@etcgroup.org
<http://us.mc1105.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=j...@etcgroup.org> phone +1
514 273 9994 cell: +1 514 516 5759
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