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to ExI Chat, extro...@googlegroups.com, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List
Scott Alexander thinks the answer is "no", he says says this :
"China is a very practical country. The Chinese don’t really believe in recursive self-improvement or superintelligence. If they did, they wouldn’t be so blasé about the possibility of America having AIs 1-2 years more advanced than theirs - if our models pass the superintelligence threshold while theirs are still approaching it, then their advantage in humanoids and drones no longer seems so impressive."
And after I've read the following article I'm beginning to think he might be right, the US certainly has a huge advantage over China in the amount of computing power it has available: