My prediction

[John Clark]

I predict that 2025 will be the last normal year that any of us ever see. What do I mean by "normal"?  I can't give a precise definition but four or five years from now when reflecting on the past everybody will agree with me, assuming that four or five years from now there will still be human beings around. 

John K Clark    See what's on my new list at  Extropolis

r53

[John Clark]

I will make two more predictions: 

1) The idea of Universal Basic Income will start to become mainstream but Mr. I Lowered Drug Prices By 1600 Percent will not embrace the idea because if he doesn't even understand how percentages work then he certainly can't understand the gargantuan economic and social disruptions that AI will produce. 

2) As a result of #1 on January 1, 2027 the popularity of the current president will be at its lowest level that any president has had in the last 50 years. 

By the way, I woke up this morning and learned that we are now at war with Venezuela. Venezuela?! That will probably cause He Who Must Not Be Named popularity to jump upward, but it will be temporary, by January 1, 2027 it will either be ancient history or we will become mired in yet another pointless guerrilla war, so I'm sticking with my prediction. 

John K Clark    See what's on my new list at  Extropolis

es'

I predict that 2025 will be the last normal year that any of us ever see. What do I mean by "normal"?  I can't give a precise definition but four or five years from now when reflecting on the past everybody will agree with me, assuming that four or five years from now there will still be human beings around. 

r53

[Lawrence Crowell]

This year is I think a nexus year. We will know by the end of January 2027 whether the Constitution is dead and if the American Republic is overthrown.

N. Modiera has been captured. The state of the remaining Venezuelan government is not clear. G. H. Bush did something like this against Panamanian dictator Noriega in 1989. 

LC

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[Brent Allsop]

To me, everything is normal till we achieve immortality escape velocity, and it becomes clear people will be able to live forever.

It's fairly easy to objectively measure, as it is when nobody dies from old age.

The question for me would be will we achieve this first by actually curing aging, in all its forms (seems quite hard to me)

Or will it be achieved vea neural engineering of new brains and avatars into which we upload ourselves in reversible ways.  I predict this will be far easier, once we discover and start engineering subjective computation with color qualities like redness and greenness and neuro ponytails....

And the latter has the advantage of curing accidents, as you obviously have backups of yourself.

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