I've mentioned this link before:
I think it's the best, certainly the most thoroughly researched, forecast of when we can expect major technological changes in the next few years because of AI; although because we're dealing with an exponential process I wouldn't be surprised if their forecast was off by many months, but not many years, and they're just as likely to have underestimated the rate of change as overestimated it.
They divide technologies into 3 categories, science fiction, emerging technology, and existing technology. For example, they estimate brain uploading will move from science fiction to emerging technology in April 2028, and move to existing technology in October 2028. That first date may seem absurdly close to today's date, and the second date absurdly close to the first date, but things like that happen when change is exponential. They also predict the creation of biome destroying mirror life will move from Science fiction to emerging technology in January 2027, and move to existing technology in December 2030. I think 2028 is going to be an interesting year.
Daniel Kokotajlom, one of the authors of the study, recently made this video explaining the techniques he and his co-authors used to come up with their forecast:
John K Clark See what's on my new list at Extropolis 820