The AI Superforecasters Are Here

[John Clark]

The AI Superforecasters Are Here

The following is a quote from the above: 

"If the trendline does keep going, things start changing quickly. Finance gets transformed first, as human stock analysts go the way of horse-drawn carriages and kerosene lamps. The opportunity for smart humans to consistently make money on prediction markets likewise dries up - instead, bots duel other bots for the privilege of collecting money from dumb sports fans. [...] I asked the AI superforecasters the probability of a US-China treaty to slow down AI, enforced by cryptographic verification of data center activity. FutureSearch said 1%; Preseen, 2.2%."

John K Clark    See what's on my list at  Extropolis

7uz