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to extro...@googlegroups.com, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List
This is a sputnik moment. Just a few days ago a little known Chinese AI startup released an AI called "DeepSeek" that I think is the most disruptive event in the field of Artificial Intelligence since GPT-4. On benchmarks DeepSeek is equal to the best publicly released western AI, OpenAI's o1 model, and the second best in the world after o3 which has not been publicly released. Yet it is far smaller, far faster and far more energy efficient than anything that the west has developed. And the Chinese only needed $5.5 million of computer time to make it while OpenAI needed close to 1 billion. Perhaps the most amazing thing is that DeepSeek is completely open source. OpenAI is charging $200 a month to get access to 01, but now you can get DeepSeek and run it on a small computer and your operating costs are almost zero. Somewhat amusingly China has tried to impose censorship upon it, DeepSeek doesn't know anything about the 1989 Tiananmen Square uprising and insists that Taiwan is definitely part of mainland China, but because it's open source it will be trivially easy to retrain it.
Ray Kurzweil says the singularity will happen in 2045, it now looks like he was being way too conservative.I really think you need to look at this video: