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Let me see if I have this right. The claim is that the machine in question implements the following iterated Collatz-like function:
G(n, 0) = 0
G(n, 1) = G(1, n + 3)
G(4k + 0, m) = G(7k + 14, m - 2)
G(4k + 1, m) = G(7k + 8, m - 1)
G(4k + 2, m) = G(7k + 15, m - 1)
G(4k + 2, m) = G(7k + 14, m - 2)
Starting from the blank tape executes the function call G(1, 1).
Assuming that is the case, the next step is to calculate how many machine steps it takes to run this all the way through. This will take a very very long time, so long that it's possible we can't actually witness a simulator running it to the end. And therefore we can only estimate the number of steps required.
As far as proving that it does stop (that is, that m eventually reached 0), it's easy to implement G in Python. It terminates after 29,941 iterations. So if the TM really does implement G, then I think we can safely say that it will eventually terminate.
$ Code/Quick_Sim.py Machines/beep/5x2-Giants -vbn2 | egrep "00\^inf (<D 01\^1|<C) 11\^\d+( 10\^1)? 00\^inf"
5 00^inf <C 11^2 00^inf (4, 13)
57 00^inf <C 11^15 10^1 00^inf (30, 263)
649 00^inf <D 01^1 11^884259 00^inf (2, 663445078995)
371803237711966978001607279479823194967...410220642038156074733
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