I'm interested, but I am a mathematician/programmer, not a biologist, and I
guess you are looking for the latter?
It seems surprising to me that this hasn't been done before. With a Bayesian
approach and rooted trees there seems no reason not to. I have some ideas
for projects...
A particular data set that I think would be interesting is the primate
alignment from [1]. Because this is non-coding, the mutations should be
neutral, so they should not care which DNA strand they are on. (I'd like
confirmation or correction of that, but anyway it seems a good approximation
to try.) So the rates of fixed mutations should reflect the rates of new
base-pair substitutions, and so you should have a rate matrix with only 6
parameters (when unnormalised) although it is not in general time
reversible.
The artifical data from [2] is another possiblility. In particular he has
some empirical figures for new (not fixed) mutation rates (p794-5).
These do not give a time reversible matrix.
I also have some ideas on how to design a prior for rate matrices with a
'bias' towards simple models. I'll say more if you're interested.
In [3] they use a non time reversible rate matrix to root unrooted trees.
Surely it is possible to improve on that?
On the implementation...
I hope you read "Nineteen Dubious Ways to Compute the Exponential of a
Matrix, Twenty-Five Years Later" before coding ;-)
In [4] it says "In practice, numerical evaluation of matrix exponential
1 is a major computational bottleneck hindering maximum likelihood
estimation (Yang 1994)." Really?
Regards
Graham
1. Drummond AJ, Ho SYW, Phillips MJ & Rambaut A (2006) Relaxed Phylogenetics
and Dating with Confidence. PLoS Biology 4, e88
2. Comparison of the Accuracies of Several Phylogenetic Methods
Using Protein and DNA Sequences
Barry G. Hall
Mol. Biol. Evol. 22(3):792-802. 2005
3. Rooting a phylogenetic tree with nonreversible substitution models
Von Bing Yap and Terry Speed
BMC Evolutionary Biology 2005, 5:2 doi:10.1186/1471-2148-5-2
4. Computational Advances in Maximum
Likelihood Methods for Molecular Phylogeny
Eric E. Schadt,1 Janet S. Sinsheimer,2 and Kenneth Lange3,4
The University of Edinburgh is a charitable body, registered in
Scotland, with registration number SC005336.
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