2026 Is the Year of the Singularity — Elon Musk

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John Clark

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Jan 7, 2026, 12:27:57 PMJan 7
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Elon Musk believes that artificial intelligence is accelerating even faster than I do, but of course both of us have been known to be wrong before: 


John K Clark    See what's on my new list at  Extropolis
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Russell Standish

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Jan 17, 2026, 1:37:49 AMJan 17
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I'm not going to spend the time looking at a video, but I'm guessing
that they're arguing that the switch from exponential to hyperbolic
technological change will occur this year, not that the singularity
will occur this year.

IIRC, Kurzweil estimated that the time from hyperbolic growth starting
to the singularity was of the order of a decade.

I did hear about the Cursor experiment with Claude code through other
channels. It would appear that hardware and money was no object in
this experiment, I imagine it would cost an absolute bomb - but as we
know, these costs will come down.

Cheers
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