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Born (not Bohr) saw that Heisenberg's matrix mechanics predicted numbers for the transitions between energy levels. It was known from the intensity of spectral lines that some were more common than others. Born guessed that the amplitudes measured the probability. After the paper that he and Jordan wrote was already in the process of being published he realized it should be the squared amplitude, so the paper says the amplitude, but with a foot note correcting this to the squared amplitude.
Brent
https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.07068
This is a review of the issue of randomness in quantum mechanics, with special emphasis on its ambiguity; for example, randomness has different antipodal relationships to determinism, computability, and compressibility. Following a (Wittgensteinian) philosophical discussion of randomness in general, I argue that deterministic interpretations of quantum mechanics (like Bohmian mechanics or 't Hooft's Cellular Automaton interpretation) are strictly speaking incompatible with the Born rule. I also stress the role of outliers, i.e. measurement outcomes that are not 1-random. Although these occur with low (or even zero) probability, their very existence implies that the no-signaling principle used in proofs of randomness of outcomes of quantum-mechanical measurements (and of the safety of quantum cryptography) should be reinterpreted statistically, like the second law of thermodynamics. In appendices I discuss the Born rule and its status in both single and repeated experiments, and review the notion of 1-randomness introduced by Kolmogorov, Chaitin, Martin-Lo"f, Schnorr, and others.
.
I think that Bohr might have said that we cannot know, because when we try to measure (or observe) something we perturb it, at the same time. We - according to Bohr - cannot follow the causal course of a quantum through space-time. The important concept (Bohr) is "what we can *say* about nature" and not "what nature *is*".
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"Again an idea of Einstein’s gave me the lead. He had tried to make the duality of particles - light quanta or photons - and waves comprehensible by interpreting the square of the optical wave amplitudes as probability density for the occurrence of photons. This concept could at once be carried over to the psi-function: |psi|^2 ought to represent the probability density for electrons (or other particles). It was easy to assert this, but how could it be proved?"--Max Born, Nobel lecture, 1954
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Can it be directly inferred from Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle? TIA, AG
As far as I know, it was Born who came up with the interpretation of the equations as expressing probabilities. But there was (and maybe still is) controversy over whether this was irreducibly random or whether there were hidden variables and it was just the randomness of ignorance. For most physicists this was resolved by the experimental confirmation of the violation of Bell inequalities. At that point the choice was irreducible randomness or nonlocal effects
On Sun, Dec 20, 2020 at 6:48 AM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
As far as I know, it was Born who came up with the interpretation of the equations as expressing probabilities. But there was (and maybe still is) controversy over whether this was irreducibly random or whether there were hidden variables and it was just the randomness of ignorance. For most physicists this was resolved by the experimental confirmation of the violation of Bell inequalities. At that point the choice was irreducible randomness or nonlocal effects
That is not quite right. The choice is not between randomnesss and non-locality. Non-local hidden variables (Bohm) do reduce the apparent randomness to ignorance of the detailed quantum state, but at the price of non-locality. Bell's result implies that non-locality is unavoidable, and this has nothing to do with the presence or absence of intrinsic randomness.
It is only deterministic theories like MWI and Bohm that eliminate randomness, but MWI does not solve the locality issue either. Besides, MWI is incompatible with the Born Rule; and the Born rule, while consistent with Bohm, cannot be derived from Bohmian mechanics.
Bruce
and most physicists saw randomness as the more likely, less disruptive choice.
Brent
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On 12/19/2020 10:38 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
On Sun, Dec 20, 2020 at 6:48 AM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
As far as I know, it was Born who came up with the interpretation of the equations as expressing probabilities. But there was (and maybe still is) controversy over whether this was irreducibly random or whether there were hidden variables and it was just the randomness of ignorance. For most physicists this was resolved by the experimental confirmation of the violation of Bell inequalities. At that point the choice was irreducible randomness or nonlocal effects
That is not quite right. The choice is not between randomnesss and non-locality. Non-local hidden variables (Bohm) do reduce the apparent randomness to ignorance of the detailed quantum state, but at the price of non-locality. Bell's result implies that non-locality is unavoidable, and this has nothing to do with the presence or absence of intrinsic randomness.
If there were not intrinsic randomness then the extra correlation of that violates Bell's inequality could be used to signal faster than light.
On Sun, Dec 20, 2020 at 5:57 PM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:On 12/19/2020 10:38 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
On Sun, Dec 20, 2020 at 6:48 AM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
As far as I know, it was Born who came up with the interpretation of the equations as expressing probabilities. But there was (and maybe still is) controversy over whether this was irreducibly random or whether there were hidden variables and it was just the randomness of ignorance. For most physicists this was resolved by the experimental confirmation of the violation of Bell inequalities. At that point the choice was irreducible randomness or nonlocal effects
That is not quite right. The choice is not between randomnesss and non-locality. Non-local hidden variables (Bohm) do reduce the apparent randomness to ignorance of the detailed quantum state, but at the price of non-locality. Bell's result implies that non-locality is unavoidable, and this has nothing to do with the presence or absence of intrinsic randomness.
If there were not intrinsic randomness then the extra correlation of that violates Bell's inequality could be used to signal faster than light.True, but irrelevant to what I said. There is no theory that gives a local account of the Bell correlations. Intrinsic randomness guarantees no FTL signalling. This seems to rule out local deterministic theories.
Uncontrollable signaling. https://www.aip.org/history-programs/niels-bohr-library/oral-histories/25643
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> MWI is incompatible with the Born Rule
> MWI is incompatible with the Born RuleHow do you figure that?
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Bruce
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>>> MWI is incompatible with the Born Rule
>> How do you figure that?
> It's easy enough. MWI from the Schrodinger equation says that every outcome happens, with probability one.
> The Born rule says that different outcomes have different probabilities.
> Which observer are you? What outcome do you see?
> There is an observer for every outcome.
> do you really believe in a dualist model?
On 22 Dec 2020, at 10:35, Telmo Menezes <te...@telmomenezes.net> wrote:Am Mo, 21. Dez 2020, um 21:35, schrieb Bruce Kellett:On Mon, Dec 21, 2020 at 10:56 PM John Clark <johnk...@gmail.com> wrote:> MWI is incompatible with the Born RuleHow do you figure that?It's easy enough. MWI from the Schrodinger equation says that every outcome happens, with probability one.
The Born rule says that different outcomes have different probabilities. So MWI + Born gives two incompatible results for outcome probabilities. Hence Everett is incoherent -- incompatible with the Born rule.Nice sophism you got there Bruce.
Telmo.Bruce
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--This is independent of consciousness and quantum mechanics. A rational character in a computer game that branches would reason the same way.
Stathis Papaioannou
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> do you really believe in a dualist model?I have no opinion on that, I know little about pistols or sword fighting.
Am Mo, 21. Dez 2020, um 21:35, schrieb Bruce Kellett:On Mon, Dec 21, 2020 at 10:56 PM John Clark <johnk...@gmail.com> wrote:> MWI is incompatible with the Born RuleHow do you figure that?It's easy enough. MWI from the Schrodinger equation says that every outcome happens, with probability one.That is an exemple of confusion between the third person pictured where indeed MWI keep all superposition “intacte”, and that all possible quantum outcome are realised, and the first person account where that does not happen, as each brain is correlated to the terms of the superposition.
The probability calculated where there are multiple copies is the probability that one randomly sampled copy will see a particular outcome. I am one randomly sampled copy.
imposing the Born rule by fiat is not incompatible with each outcome
being realized.
Your identity at any time is specified by all the
information that specifies your physical state. After each observation,
your identity changes. But this is only by a few bits of information,
allowing us to ignore that change. However in the sort of discussion
like this one about the MWI this change of identity due to different
outcomes of the measurements in the different sectors is of crucial
importance. The Born rule then specifies a measure on the space of all
possible observers, where we also distinguish two observers who split
off from the same observer after a measurement.
On Sunday, December 20, 2020 at 12:52:26 AM UTC-7 Bruce wrote:On Sun, Dec 20, 2020 at 5:57 PM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
On 12/19/2020 10:38 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
On Sun, Dec 20, 2020 at 6:48 AM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
As far as I know, it was Born who came up with the interpretation of the equations as expressing probabilities. But there was (and maybe still is) controversy over whether this was irreducibly random or whether there were hidden variables and it was just the randomness of ignorance. For most physicists this was resolved by the experimental confirmation of the violation of Bell inequalities. At that point the choice was irreducible randomness or nonlocal effects
That is not quite right. The choice is not between randomnesss and non-locality. Non-local hidden variables (Bohm) do reduce the apparent randomness to ignorance of the detailed quantum state, but at the price of non-locality. Bell's result implies that non-locality is unavoidable, and this has nothing to do with the presence or absence of intrinsic randomness.
If there were not intrinsic randomness then the extra correlation of that violates Bell's inequality could be used to signal faster than light.
True, but irrelevant to what I said. There is no theory that gives a local account of the Bell correlations. Intrinsic randomness guarantees no FTL signalling. This seems to rule out local deterministic theories.Intrinsic randomness guarantees no FTL signaling. Wow! That's a breathtaking claim. How is it justified? What is the argument? TIA, AG
BruceIt is only deterministic theories like MWI and Bohm that eliminate randomness, but MWI does not solve the locality issue either. Besides, MWI is incompatible with the Born Rule; and the Born rule, while consistent with Bohm, cannot be derived from Bohmian mechanics.
Bruce
and most physicists saw randomness as the more likely, less disruptive choice.
Brent
Bullshit; Counterexample; the derivation of the LT from the principle of the invariance of the SoL. AGOn Monday, December 21, 2020 at 9:03:14 PM UTC-7 Brent wrote:Science doesn't deal in proofs, only in evidence. And the reality it deals with is that which can be tested...i.e. is not "underlying".
Brent
On 12/21/2020 6:49 PM, Alan Grayson wrote:
Can you actually define "irreducible randomness" in order to prove it's the underlying reality of the universe? If so, what is it? TIA, AG
On Monday, December 21, 2020 at 9:25:57 AM UTC-7 Lawrence Crowell wrote:
Bell's theorem and the Kochen-Specker theorem are indications of an irreducible randomness to measurement outcomes in QM.
LC
On Thursday, December 17, 2020 at 12:50:58 PM UTC-6 agrays...@gmail.com wrote:
Can it be directly inferred from Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle? TIA, AG
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AG asked: does randomness imply no-FTL-signaling?
Let me ask: does determinism imply FTL-signaling?
On Wed, Dec 23, 2020 at 12:45 PM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:On Wed, 23 Dec 2020 at 10:58, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:On Wed, Dec 23, 2020 at 10:45 AM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:On Wed, 23 Dec 2020 at 09:15, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:On Wed, Dec 23, 2020 at 9:07 AM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:On Wed, 23 Dec 2020 at 09:02, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:On Wed, Dec 23, 2020 at 8:32 AM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:On Tue, 22 Dec 2020 at 21:31, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:On Tue, Dec 22, 2020 at 9:19 PM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:All the copies could be conscious or all could be zombies; none are privileged.What difference does that make? One has to be privileged in some way if there is to be a probability different from zero.Why did you say it was dualist if it doesn't make a difference that it isn't dualist?It makes no difference if all copies are conscious, or if all are zombies -- you are still making a dualist assumption.The probability calculated where there are multiple copies is the probability that one randomly sampled copy will see a particular outcome. I am one randomly sampled copy.And that is precisely the dualist assumption that is intrinsic in all self-location (indexical) arguments. I think Brent has understood this when he says "That seems to imply dualism. All the bodies exist, but your soul only goes with one."I could say that my soul is duplicated and I want to know the probability that I am one randomly sampled soul. I could say that the carrots are duplicated and I want to know the probability that I get a particular randomly sampled carrot. I don't have a problem with it; you do, and there seems to be no way around it.Think of it like this: take a randomly shuffled deck of cards and hand one card from the deck to each of 52 people. The probability that one of the people will get the 3-of-Spades is one. The probability that 'You' will get the 3-of-Spades in a fair shuffle is 1/52. The difference is that you have identified yourself in advance. The dualist assumption is equivalent.Let's say you are copied 10^100 times. One copy will end up in a place where they use euros and the rest will end up in a place where they use dollars. Do you put euros or dollars in your wallet before duplication?Let's say I wait and see! and go to the money exchange if necessary. You are posing a different problem, one in which the number of copies on a particular branch is increased. That is incompatible with MWI and Everett with non-degenerate eigenvalues.You don't avoid the dualist implications of self-selection by increasing the number of copies: the example with 52 cards says everything that is necessary.From what I understand of your position, you would claim that the 1 in 10^100 copy will screw up the very concept of probability. If that extra copy did not exist, you would take dollars, because you will certainly need dollars; but with the extra copy you would just throw up your hands and say you don't know what to do, because it is certain you will need dollars and euros.My complaint about your example is that you are changing the problem -- you are changing the probabilities in a way that is incompatible with both the Schrodinger equation and the Born rule.
But there could be more moderate examples of branch duplication that would be more in line with what is proposed by some people. For example, both Sean Carroll and Zurek propose a procedure whereby they expand the number of branches so that all branches have equal amplitudes (weights, or Born probabilities). This is incompatible with the Schrodinger equation, but if we leave that aside for the moment, it gives a branch-counting solution to the probability question. The idea then is that you self-select from a uniform random distribution over this expanded set of branches. However, the expansion of the number of branches in this approach is, in fact, unnecessary, since random self-selection from a distribution would give the same result if the distribution were determined directly by the Born rule.But this is still inconsistent with the Schrodinger equation because there is nothing in the SE that tells you that you have a probability distribution given by the Born weights. You can impose the Born rule by fiat, but that is then incompatible with the fact that every outcome in the Schrodinger equation occurs with probability equal to one. (Which is where we started).The self-selection idea, whether from an expanded set of branches with equal weights, or from the original number of branches weighted by the Born rule, still involves the idea of a random selection from a distribution. This is not part of the Schrodinger equation, and it is still essentially dualist since it requires the selection of one unique individual who is not specified by the equations -- it assumes that just one of the individuals involved is uniquely specified to be YOU -- by virtue of an immortal soul or some such. None of this is in the physics.Bruce
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On Wed, 23 Dec 2020 at 13:29, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:On Wed, Dec 23, 2020 at 12:45 PM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:From what I understand of your position, you would claim that the 1 in 10^100 copy will screw up the very concept of probability. If that extra copy did not exist, you would take dollars, because you will certainly need dollars; but with the extra copy you would just throw up your hands and say you don't know what to do, because it is certain you will need dollars and euros.My complaint about your example is that you are changing the problem -- you are changing the probabilities in a way that is incompatible with both the Schrodinger equation and the Born rule.I thought you were talking about probabilities in general where the observer is duplicated because you have a problem with self-sampling. Do you think it makes a difference if there is a 1/2 event, a 1/52 event or a 1/10^100 event? Would the 1/10^100 event cause your metaphysical problem, such that ignoring it requires an assumption of an immaterial soul?
On 21 Dec 2020, at 17:25, Lawrence Crowell <goldenfield...@gmail.com> wrote:Bell's theorem and the Kochen-Specker theorem are indications of an irreducible randomness to measurement outcomes in QM.
LCOn Thursday, December 17, 2020 at 12:50:58 PM UTC-6 agrays...@gmail.com wrote:Can it be directly inferred from Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle? TIA, AG
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On 22 Dec 2020, at 05:03, 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:Science doesn't deal in proofs, only in evidence. And the reality it deals with is that which can be tested...i.e. is not "underlying”.
Brent
On 12/21/2020 6:49 PM, Alan Grayson wrote:
Can you actually define "irreducible randomness" in order to prove it's the underlying reality of the universe? If so, what is it? TIA, AG
On Monday, December 21, 2020 at 9:25:57 AM UTC-7 Lawrence Crowell wrote:
Bell's theorem and the Kochen-Specker theorem are indications of an irreducible randomness to measurement outcomes in QM.
LC
On Thursday, December 17, 2020 at 12:50:58 PM UTC-6 agrays...@gmail.com wrote:
Can it be directly inferred from Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle? TIA, AG
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> There are many 1p views
> and for each the probability of that particular observation is one
> contradicting the Born rule calculation of the probability in every case.
> The Born rule cannot be deduced from the Schrodinger equation
> they are incompatible.
> Think of it like this: take a randomly shuffled deck of cards and hand one card from the deck to each of 52 people. The probability that one of the people will get the 3-of-Spades is one.
> The probability that 'You' will get the 3-of-Spades in a fair shuffle is 1/52.
> The difference is that you have identified yourself in advance.
> The dualist assumption is equivalent.
> this is still inconsistent with the Schrodinger equation because [blah blah]
> There is a correspondence between the geodesic deviation equation and the Schrodinger equation.
You suspected right, I am asking a more basic question about self-sampling and the validity of probabilities when a version of the observer sees all possible outcomes.
On Sunday, December 20, 2020 at 6:36:53 AM UTC-7 Alan Grayson wrote:On Sunday, December 20, 2020 at 12:52:26 AM UTC-7 Bruce wrote:On Sun, Dec 20, 2020 at 5:57 PM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:On 12/19/2020 10:38 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
On Sun, Dec 20, 2020 at 6:48 AM 'Brent Meeker' via Everything List <everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
As far as I know, it was Born who came up with the interpretation of the equations as expressing probabilities. But there was (and maybe still is) controversy over whether this was irreducibly random or whether there were hidden variables and it was just the randomness of ignorance. For most physicists this was resolved by the experimental confirmation of the violation of Bell inequalities. At that point the choice was irreducible randomness or nonlocal effects
That is not quite right. The choice is not between randomnesss and non-locality. Non-local hidden variables (Bohm) do reduce the apparent randomness to ignorance of the detailed quantum state, but at the price of non-locality. Bell's result implies that non-locality is unavoidable, and this has nothing to do with the presence or absence of intrinsic randomness.
If there were not intrinsic randomness then the extra correlation of that violates Bell's inequality could be used to signal faster than light.True, but irrelevant to what I said. There is no theory that gives a local account of the Bell correlations. Intrinsic randomness guarantees no FTL signalling. This seems to rule out local deterministic theories.Intrinsic randomness guarantees no FTL signaling. Wow! That's a breathtaking claim. How is it justified? What is the argument? TIA, AGI'm not disputing your claim. But it's hugely profound, if true. Can you say something, anything about how you've reached this conclusion? TIA, AG
> The question is whether it is merely a version of the observer, a copy of the observer, or the actual observer who sees all possible outcomes
> Since there is a sense in which 'you' certainly see all possible outcomes, there is an immediate conflict with the Born rule, according to which different outcomes have different probabilities,
> the duplicates under consideration here are, by hypothesis, all identical copies of the original.
On Thu, 24 Dec 2020 at 11:51, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:On Thu, Dec 24, 2020 at 5:39 AM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:You suspected right, I am asking a more basic question about self-sampling and the validity of probabilities when a version of the observer sees all possible outcomes.There is a problem here -- or maybe it is just careless phrasing. You say there is a question about probabilities when a version of the observer sees all possible outcomes. The question is whether it is merely a version of the observer, a copy of the observer, or the actual observer who sees all possible outcomes? A "version" is somewhat ambiguous. Different 'versions' of an operating system, for example, differ in some way. Whereas the duplicates under consideration here are, by hypothesis, all identical copies of the original.As John Clark is fond of pointing out, the trouble with self-sampling from a set of identical duplicate persons is that the personal pronoun 'you' loses its unique reference. All copies have an equal claim to be identified as the original 'you', so there is a real sense in which 'you' see all outcomes, with probability one. If you attempt to single out a particular individual by some random sampling procedure, you immediately make a dualist assumption -- the selected individual is different from the rest (by virtue of a 'soul', or some such, conferred by the sampling process itself).Since there is a sense in which 'you' certainly see all possible outcomes, there is an immediate conflict with the Born rule, according to which different outcomes have different probabilities, and 'you' can't see more than one such outcome.There is no magical “you” persisting from moment to moment even in ordinary life.
BTW at last I've found that quotation.
It seems nteresting that Schroedinger writes: 'Not only has none of us ever experienced more than one consciousness, but there is also no trace of circumstantial evidence of this ever happening anywhere in the world.'
Unfortunately I cannot understand the following statement: 'I should say: the over-all number of minds is just one.'
Il 22/12/2020 21:14 'scerir' via Everything List <everyth...@googlegroups.com> ha scritto:
Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
All the copies could be conscious or all could be zombies; none are privileged.
"In truth there is only one mind. Oneness it is the doctrine of the Upanishads." As far as I remember Schroedinger wrote something like that. Does that "Oneness" could resolve our problem? :-)
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On Fri, Dec 25, 2020 at 8:04 AM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:On Thu, 24 Dec 2020 at 11:51, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:On Thu, Dec 24, 2020 at 5:39 AM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:You suspected right, I am asking a more basic question about self-sampling and the validity of probabilities when a version of the observer sees all possible outcomes.There is a problem here -- or maybe it is just careless phrasing. You say there is a question about probabilities when a version of the observer sees all possible outcomes. The question is whether it is merely a version of the observer, a copy of the observer, or the actual observer who sees all possible outcomes? A "version" is somewhat ambiguous. Different 'versions' of an operating system, for example, differ in some way. Whereas the duplicates under consideration here are, by hypothesis, all identical copies of the original.As John Clark is fond of pointing out, the trouble with self-sampling from a set of identical duplicate persons is that the personal pronoun 'you' loses its unique reference. All copies have an equal claim to be identified as the original 'you', so there is a real sense in which 'you' see all outcomes, with probability one. If you attempt to single out a particular individual by some random sampling procedure, you immediately make a dualist assumption -- the selected individual is different from the rest (by virtue of a 'soul', or some such, conferred by the sampling process itself).Since there is a sense in which 'you' certainly see all possible outcomes, there is an immediate conflict with the Born rule, according to which different outcomes have different probabilities, and 'you' can't see more than one such outcome.There is no magical “you” persisting from moment to moment even in ordinary life.It's not magical -- that is what it means to be a person-- you have physical and psychological continuity from moment to moment. If you throw this away, it is hard to know what you are talking about.
I now have memories of being someone yesterday, I feel that the essence of that person has been transmitted to me now. But it’s a delusion, and if I were copied many times each of the copies would of course have the same delusion. They can’t help it, it’s the way human psychology works. So thinking about probabilities if I am copied amounts to this: how should I reason about those future copies who share the delusion that they are uniquely me, given that I have the delusion that I will become one and only one of those copies? You propose that I drop the delusion and then there is no reasoning to be done, no question of probability. But to be consistent, I should then drop the delusion in a single thread universe as well, and not be concerned about the outcomes fir the person tomorrow who thinks that he is me just because he has memories of being me.
--
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On Fri, 25 Dec 2020 at 08:33, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:On Fri, Dec 25, 2020 at 8:04 AM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:On Thu, 24 Dec 2020 at 11:51, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:On Thu, Dec 24, 2020 at 5:39 AM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:You suspected right, I am asking a more basic question about self-sampling and the validity of probabilities when a version of the observer sees all possible outcomes.There is a problem here -- or maybe it is just careless phrasing. You say there is a question about probabilities when a version of the observer sees all possible outcomes. The question is whether it is merely a version of the observer, a copy of the observer, or the actual observer who sees all possible outcomes? A "version" is somewhat ambiguous. Different 'versions' of an operating system, for example, differ in some way. Whereas the duplicates under consideration here are, by hypothesis, all identical copies of the original.As John Clark is fond of pointing out, the trouble with self-sampling from a set of identical duplicate persons is that the personal pronoun 'you' loses its unique reference. All copies have an equal claim to be identified as the original 'you', so there is a real sense in which 'you' see all outcomes, with probability one. If you attempt to single out a particular individual by some random sampling procedure, you immediately make a dualist assumption -- the selected individual is different from the rest (by virtue of a 'soul', or some such, conferred by the sampling process itself).Since there is a sense in which 'you' certainly see all possible outcomes, there is an immediate conflict with the Born rule, according to which different outcomes have different probabilities, and 'you' can't see more than one such outcome.There is no magical “you” persisting from moment to moment even in ordinary life.It's not magical -- that is what it means to be a person-- you have physical and psychological continuity from moment to moment. If you throw this away, it is hard to know what you are talking about.I’m not throwing it away, but I am acknowledging that it is a psychological artefact, not a dualistic soul.
Apply this psychological artefact where there is copying, and you get probabilities.
--The copies each say “I know logically that all the copies are identical, but I feel that I am the only real me, continuing from the original”.--I now have memories of being someone yesterday, I feel that the essence of that person has been transmitted to me now. But it’s a delusion, and if I were copied many times each of the copies would of course have the same delusion. They can’t help it, it’s the way human psychology works. So thinking about probabilities if I am copied amounts to this: how should I reason about those future copies who share the delusion that they are uniquely me, given that I have the delusion that I will become one and only one of those copies? You propose that I drop the delusion and then there is no reasoning to be done, no question of probability. But to be consistent, I should then drop the delusion in a single thread universe as well, and not be concerned about the outcomes fir the person tomorrow who thinks that he is me just because he has memories of being me.
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Stathis Papaioannou--
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On Fri, Dec 25, 2020 at 8:44 AM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:On Fri, 25 Dec 2020 at 08:33, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:On Fri, Dec 25, 2020 at 8:04 AM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:On Thu, 24 Dec 2020 at 11:51, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:On Thu, Dec 24, 2020 at 5:39 AM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:You suspected right, I am asking a more basic question about self-sampling and the validity of probabilities when a version of the observer sees all possible outcomes.There is a problem here -- or maybe it is just careless phrasing. You say there is a question about probabilities when a version of the observer sees all possible outcomes. The question is whether it is merely a version of the observer, a copy of the observer, or the actual observer who sees all possible outcomes? A "version" is somewhat ambiguous. Different 'versions' of an operating system, for example, differ in some way. Whereas the duplicates under consideration here are, by hypothesis, all identical copies of the original.As John Clark is fond of pointing out, the trouble with self-sampling from a set of identical duplicate persons is that the personal pronoun 'you' loses its unique reference. All copies have an equal claim to be identified as the original 'you', so there is a real sense in which 'you' see all outcomes, with probability one. If you attempt to single out a particular individual by some random sampling procedure, you immediately make a dualist assumption -- the selected individual is different from the rest (by virtue of a 'soul', or some such, conferred by the sampling process itself).Since there is a sense in which 'you' certainly see all possible outcomes, there is an immediate conflict with the Born rule, according to which different outcomes have different probabilities, and 'you' can't see more than one such outcome.There is no magical “you” persisting from moment to moment even in ordinary life.It's not magical -- that is what it means to be a person-- you have physical and psychological continuity from moment to moment. If you throw this away, it is hard to know what you are talking about.I’m not throwing it away, but I am acknowledging that it is a psychological artefact, not a dualistic soul.It is not merely a psychological artefact -- it is a matter of physical continuity. Your theory of personal identity is letting you down here.
Apply this psychological artefact where there is copying, and you get probabilities.I think you need a little more than this hand-waving in order to get probabilities. They have a physical origin and are objective, after all.
----The copies each say “I know logically that all the copies are identical, but I feel that I am the only real me, continuing from the original”.--I now have memories of being someone yesterday, I feel that the essence of that person has been transmitted to me now. But it’s a delusion, and if I were copied many times each of the copies would of course have the same delusion. They can’t help it, it’s the way human psychology works. So thinking about probabilities if I am copied amounts to this: how should I reason about those future copies who share the delusion that they are uniquely me, given that I have the delusion that I will become one and only one of those copies? You propose that I drop the delusion and then there is no reasoning to be done, no question of probability. But to be consistent, I should then drop the delusion in a single thread universe as well, and not be concerned about the outcomes fir the person tomorrow who thinks that he is me just because he has memories of being me.
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Stathis Papaioannou--
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On Fri, 25 Dec 2020 at 08:55, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:It is not merely a psychological artefact -- it is a matter of physical continuity. Your theory of personal identity is letting you down here.Physical continuity is neither necessary nor sufficient for continuity of personal identity.
But personal identity cannot be sensibly defined without taking account of physical continuity.
Apply this psychological artefact where there is copying, and you get probabilities.I think you need a little more than this hand-waving in order to get probabilities. They have a physical origin and are objective, after all.There is an objective way to calculate probabilities, but when questions like “what will I see tomorrow” are asked a theory of personal identity is introduced, which is a contingent fact about our psychology.
You may say that this feeling is based on a delusion but we still have it.
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On Fri, 25 Dec 2020 at 08:33, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:
On Fri, Dec 25, 2020 at 8:04 AM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:
On Thu, 24 Dec 2020 at 11:51, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:
On Thu, Dec 24, 2020 at 5:39 AM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:
You suspected right, I am asking a more basic question about self-sampling and the validity of probabilities when a version of the observer sees all possible outcomes.
There is a problem here -- or maybe it is just careless phrasing. You say there is a question about probabilities when a version of the observer sees all possible outcomes. The question is whether it is merely a version of the observer, a copy of the observer, or the actual observer who sees all possible outcomes? A "version" is somewhat ambiguous. Different 'versions' of an operating system, for example, differ in some way. Whereas the duplicates under consideration here are, by hypothesis, all identical copies of the original.
As John Clark is fond of pointing out, the trouble with self-sampling from a set of identical duplicate persons is that the personal pronoun 'you' loses its unique reference. All copies have an equal claim to be identified as the original 'you', so there is a real sense in which 'you' see all outcomes, with probability one. If you attempt to single out a particular individual by some random sampling procedure, you immediately make a dualist assumption -- the selected individual is different from the rest (by virtue of a 'soul', or some such, conferred by the sampling process itself).
Since there is a sense in which 'you' certainly see all possible outcomes, there is an immediate conflict with the Born rule, according to which different outcomes have different probabilities, and 'you' can't see more than one such outcome.
There is no magical “you” persisting from moment to moment even in ordinary life.
It's not magical -- that is what it means to be a person-- you have physical and psychological continuity from moment to moment. If you throw this away, it is hard to know what you are talking about.
I’m not throwing it away, but I am acknowledging that it is a psychological artefact, not a dualistic soul. Apply this psychological artefact where there is copying, and you get probabilities. The copies each say “I know logically that all the copies are identical, but I feel that I am the only real me, continuing from the original”.
--
--I now have memories of being someone yesterday, I feel that the essence of that person has been transmitted to me now. But it’s a delusion, and if I were copied many times each of the copies would of course have the same delusion. They can’t help it, it’s the way human psychology works. So thinking about probabilities if I am copied amounts to this: how should I reason about those future copies who share the delusion that they are uniquely me, given that I have the delusion that I will become one and only one of those copies? You propose that I drop the delusion and then there is no reasoning to be done, no question of probability. But to be consistent, I should then drop the delusion in a single thread universe as well, and not be concerned about the outcomes fir the person tomorrow who thinks that he is me just because he has memories of being me.
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Stathis Papaioannou--
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That the Born rule doesn't derive from the Schroedinger equation doesn't bother me.
Gleason's theorem guarantees it's the only consistent probability measure in the eigenstates of an observable. The question seems to be why is there probability at all.
Now I raise a similar question I posed to Bruce, thrice, with no replies. Why does the unpredictability of measured values and the intrinsic randomness protect relativity theory? This is really a huge conceptual leap. How would you argue for that conclusion, as distinguished from asserting it? TIA, AG
You may say that this feeling is based on a delusion but we still have it.I have not said that the feeling of continuous existence in time is a delusion. It seems that you are trying to claim that our continued existence as persons is a delusion, but that is patent nonsense.
Il 25/12/2020 07:29 Alan Grayson <agrays...@gmail.com> ha scritto:
Now I raise a similar question I posed to Bruce, thrice, with no replies. Why does the unpredictability of measured values and the intrinsic randomness protect relativity theory? This is really a huge conceptual leap. How would you argue for that conclusion, as distinguished from asserting it? TIA, AG
there is some literature, under the name of 'uncontrollable signaling' (Abner Shimony)
https://arxiv.org/abs/0912.0177
https://arxiv.org/abs/0808.2178
https://arxiv.org/abs/1010.3714
On Fri, 25 Dec 2020 at 12:29, Bruce Kellett <bhkel...@gmail.com> wrote:On Fri, Dec 25, 2020 at 12:13 PM Stathis Papaioannou <stat...@gmail.com> wrote:One is the probability that a certain branch exists, the other is the subjective probability that a being with the feeling that he is a unique individual persisting through time will experience a particular branch.According to the individual on the branch, the Born probability is the probability that that branch will exist -- it is an objective property of the branch. It is a subjective probability only to the extent to which the individual believes in Lewis's Principal Principle!The probability that the branch exists under MWI, as you have rightly pointed out, is 1. The probability that an entity that can randomly land in any branch lands in one particular branch is given by the Born rule.
>That the Born rule doesn't derive from the Schroedinger equation doesn't bother me.
> Gleason's theorem guarantees it's the only consistent probability measure in the eigenstates of an observable. The question seems to be why is there probability at all.
> But I see the unpredictability of measured values and that intrinsic randomness is necessary to protect relativity theory.