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I managed to trip it up with Cassin's vireo from google images. It said it was plumbeous :)
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Thanks, Ken-ichi (and others).
Great discussion. Appreciate the answers, responses, participation - all the time you’re taking. (Charlie, you’re up late!).
I know everyone’s busy and the last thing we want these days is more to think about.
I think Scott is spot on with his comments re the CV tool. The philosopher Daniel C. Dennett puts it nicely:
“The real danger [of AI] is that we will over-estimate the comprehension of our latest thinking tools, prematurely ceding authority to them far beyond their competence…”
Personally I see tremendous potential with AI. I love playing around with machine learning tools like TensorFlow; and btw Ken-ichi, GMail believes I’m a 90-year-old mermaid (fun to fool the ad algorithms!).
I’ve also tested at least a half dozen “Shazam for nature” apps before this one. And Scott is right - there's plenty more afoot. They get good publicity. The media laps it up.
In a recent survey, we asked this question to users of one such CV tool - Merlin Bird ID:
“If Merlin Bird ID gave you a choice between (a) training the AI how to identify birds and, (b) in the same manner, with equal ease, training less advanced users how to identify birds, which would you choose?”
Sixty-five percent of the respondents said they’d rather train less advanced users.
Even if we disregard this survey, I think we have to ask - while we’re developing some cool CV, to what degree are we also implementing functionality that encourages people to train people?
In this month alone, private venture funds have invested $363 million In AI/Machine Learning. Each month the amount goes up. That's quite an AI tidal wave on its way.
If AI distracts us from enhancing tech that gets people teaching people about nature, this could be a negative outcome.
Let me be clear - iNat is a major achievement. It's the biggest and most advanced naturalist data collection system in the world. A result of very hard work, by dedicated people. And with this achievement, of course, comes risks and responsibilities - which is why I think the team looks so fit - the growing weight on their shoulders. :-)
There are also people in the iNat community who can probably identify all 13,750 species in Scott’s dataset. (I remember us marvelling, Ken-ichi, over one such person - and Chris, if you think this CV tool is impressive, then experts like this are wonders of the world!).
I think we’re all agreed that iNat - and society in general - would benefit from more people with knowledge like this. No?
Which means we should be careful not to take these minds for granted. With iNat my sense is that CAS is funding coders - would you agree? - but not the experts who are providing the nature knowledge. Or am I wrong? Meanwhile, here we are with scientists marching in the streets. Half the Great Barrier Reef has perished. The highest rate of extinction in 66 million years. The message of iNat's CV investment - to the next generation at least - is that we value coding skills. Whereas CI investment (a drop in the ocean compared to AI) values nature expertise.
The influence of iNat should not be underestimated. Perhaps QGame's tech is a kind of balancing off-set to CV? (A kind of Ed-tech play?). I hadn’t thought of it that way - but it could be the case. And maybe, Charlie, that's my concern: We have 50,000 kids here who are ready and eager to learn how to identify all 13,750 species (I suspect a few of them could do it now). They’re quick learners. It's easy for them. But maybe the message we/iNat/CAS are sending is that learning to code is more valuable than learning to identify species.
I’m not saying that encouraging kids to learn coding can’t also help connect them to nature. But I wonder - and I appreciate your acknowledgment, Scott - that without the CI element, if there's a danger, instead of “connecting humans to nature through technology,” we might end up doing something different, like connecting technology to nature through humans.
P.S. Scott - btw, re http://www.inaturalist.org/pages/identification_quality_experiment - we’re working with the Australian National University and others on a similar project. It could be interesting to test different "crowd" systems - to see what elements of CI, if any, make a difference in speed and accuracy.
Charlie - yes, CAS has paid for the coding. It hasn’t paid (as far as I’m aware) for super-botanist Daniel Atha to help Scott's testing in New York, or am I wrong? And if it has, what about all the other super-naturalists on iNat who have helped train the AI? Is it paying for them? One thing I’m confident in - it’s at least as hard to become a super-botanist as a coder of machine learning.
The Aboriginals in Australia learned this lesson the hard way, and are doing all they can to ensure it doesn’t happen again. Come visit us in Oz; we’ll go to AIATSIS (aiatsis.gov.au), and you can see all the regulations that have resulted from centuries of exploiting people’s intellectual rights.
Looks like the rest of us may need to learn the lesson as well. And yes, we can be defeatist about it. All you have to do is compare the two studies going on here - Scott’s ID Quality Experiment vs the Google-sponsored CVPR 2017 - and you can see the massive disparity in financial commitment.
But I’m really encouraged by this discussion. Clearly we humans, being open and inclusive and loving each other, have the ability to think things through and offer creative solutions. It will probably take us at least 10 years to figure out the lessons of what we’re doing now. (Communications scientists, btw, predicted the “Fake News” problem at least a decade before it happened). I'd be happy to draw up some proposed guidelines for people to consider. I hope, if anything, we’re spawning some fresh thinking with this thread.
Thanks again to everyone for sharing and listening.
-Andrew
interesting, did you include a location? Cassin's vireo, plumbeous vireo and blue-headed vireo used to be all considered the same species "solitary vireo" and were split largely based on range. I would think thats an example where location would help the demo distinguish.
On Fri, Apr 28, 2017 at 9:25 PM, 'James Bailey' via iNaturalist <inatu...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
I managed to trip it up with Cassin's vireo from google images. It said it was plumbeous :)
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Hm, I think “guidelines” was wrong word. I didn’t mean “guidelines” in a restrictive sense. I meant a kind of headlamp - not slowing AI down (QGame is fully on board with AI), but trying to shed light on the “terra incognita" that seems to create so much confusion.
Anyway - this is my last post for the thread. I believe there are AI solutions that can get us where we want to go - a society that values nature - quickly and cheaply. We just need to think more openly, objectively, creatively - and include as many different viewpoints as possible. So - onward! :-)
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For ANYTHING non-butterfly or moth, I suggest it defaults to the family for ID (or subfamily if it is really sure, maybe genus in some cases?). At least at this point in time.
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I am not sure what the best default may be. First, I believe the ID is pitched as a suggestion more than a definitive ID. Second, in the case of common plants my experience is it has been excellent in actually identifying correctly about 60% of the species, having another 20% in its list, and blowing only about 20%. Since the person new to nature is going to benefit, it seems to me at least for plants letting it go to species if it "wants".I continue to be amazed at just how good it is. Obviously with many, many genera where the differences among the species are relatively technical and hard if not impossible to see in a photo, the ID tool isn't going to be a lot of help. But I really think for the beginning user it is a great help. But again it should be emphatically pitched as suggestions and not formal IDs.stan
On Tue, Oct 3, 2017 at 2:24 PM, 'James Bailey' via iNaturalist <inatu...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
For ANYTHING non-butterfly or moth, I suggest it defaults to the family for ID (or subfamily if it is really sure, maybe genus in some cases?). At least at this point in time.
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Very cool, although it can struggle with some African taxa (probably because of the lack of RG training observations).