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Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 11 2012, 3:15 am
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 11 Nov 2012 00:15:35 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sun, Nov 11 2012 3:15 am
Subject: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
5.9     2012/11/10 14:57:49       -8.913          -75.046
118.2    CENTRAL PERU
occurred when the NA EFS showed three Lows in a line.

Issued Day | 2012 11 10 | Hour | 0 and 12 | UTC
Forecast Day | 2012 11 11 |

Yes that is a forecast.
And no I am not saying the earthquake is only related to a forecast
but that whatever was in the computer as actual data to make that run,
was the root cause of both.

Next time I will try to do better:

11/11/12

5       M.      Myanmar
5       M.      Myanmar
6.8     M.      Myanmar

The same website is showing more of the same for the 14th.
If it is any use the forecast goes out ten days so this looks like
being my first stop on the net until I get the Antarctic chart back in
April.


 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 12 2012, 3:37 am
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 12 Nov 2012 00:37:56 -0800 (PST)
Local: Mon, Nov 12 2012 3:37 am
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
On Nov 11, 8:15 am, Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com> wrote:

Same day:
4.9     M.       OFFSHORE GUATEMALA
4.5     M.       OFFSHORE GUATEMALA
4.8     M.       OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO
6.5     M.       OFFSHORE GUATEMALA

> The same website is showing more of the same for the 14th.
> If it is any use the forecast goes out ten days so this looks like
> being my first stop on the net until I get the Antarctic chart back in
> April.

The run of Lows across North America looks to be continuous with
today's Canadian forecast giving more of the same for tomorrow leaving
us with the error in the mix showing up as large ones today.

I'm going to try and find a chart that has more immediacy than these
Thatchersque tarts. The long front across the Atlantic is still
showing on the US chart here:

in the unlikely event of anyone here being interested.
It doesn't do Burma though.

 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 13 2012, 4:15 am
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 13 Nov 2012 01:15:18 -0800 (PST)
Local: Tues, Nov 13 2012 4:15 am
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
On Nov 12, 8:37 am, Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com> wrote:

> The run of Lows across North America looks to be continuous with
> today's Canadian forecast giving more of the same for tomorrow leaving
> us with the error in the mix showing up as large ones today.

> I'm going to try and find a chart that has more immediacy than these
> Thatchersque tarts. The long front across the Atlantic is still
> showing on the US chart here:

> >http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/

> in the unlikely event of anyone here being interested.
> It doesn't do Burma though.

2012/11/12 @ 20:42
6.4 M.  Gulf of Alaska.

2012/11/13 04:31
6.0 M. off Aisen, Chile.

With three lows still toppin they'll keep up croppin.
(Bit of doggerel there for the new weather lore.)

Anyone know where I can access information for Norwegian earthquakes?

I'm pretty sure angular distance of epicentre to storm centre
decreases with latitude.
(Depending on which storm centre one chooses of course.)

Pretty:

Anyone know the original source.

 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 13 2012, 8:23 pm
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 13 Nov 2012 17:23:24 -0800 (PST)
Local: Tues, Nov 13 2012 8:23 pm
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
T'as been a good run, so it has so it has.
But now we are off on another lunar phase:

13 Nov 2012. New Moon at 22:08.

The new spell started with this one:
2012/11/13 23:23

5.4 M. Tonga.


 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 14 2012, 12:39 am
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 13 Nov 2012 21:39:50 -0800 (PST)
Local: Wed, Nov 14 2012 12:39 am
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
On Nov 14, 1:23 am, Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com> wrote:

> T'as been a good run, so it has so it has.
> But now we are off on another lunar phase:

> 13 Nov 2012. New Moon at 22:08.

> The new spell started with this one:
> 2012/11/13 23:23

> 5.4 M. Tonga.

We still have that line of Lows but an intrusive but nondescript High
is getting in the way on the Canadian map. I could use a few less
miilibars on these isobars:

but I suppose I could always enlarge the screen size with Ctrl&+ then
just take more time. Then again, I could look at all the other bits of
the northern hemisphere linked from there from now until next April.

Why does it always have to be the hard way?


 
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datak...@yahoo.com  
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 More options Nov 14 2012, 7:23 am
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes
From: datak...@yahoo.com
Date: Wed, 14 Nov 2012 04:23:02 -0800 (PST)
Local: Wed, Nov 14 2012 7:23 am
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.

Pulse !

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/

http://www.weather.gov/

7AM 11/13/12

what's the global picture ?


 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 14 2012, 11:33 am
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 14 Nov 2012 08:33:16 -0800 (PST)
Local: Wed, Nov 14 2012 11:33 am
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
On Nov 14, 12:23 pm, datak...@yahoo.com wrote:

> Pulse !

> http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/

> http://www.weather.gov/

> 7Annoyed Magpies? 11/13/12

> what's the global picture ?

This may come as a complete surprise to you but I don't have any idea
what you are talking about.

 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 14 2012, 11:50 pm
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 14 Nov 2012 20:50:56 -0800 (PST)
Local: Wed, Nov 14 2012 11:50 pm
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
Looks like they weren't wrong. Though it disagreed with the Canadian
northern Hemisphere chart (and still does.)

2012/11/14 19:02
6.1 M. COQUIMBO, CHILE

Three more consecutive adjacent or whatever the phenomenon is are in
place again for the next large quake:
15 November

Fronts leading to...
Here:
sort it all out for yourselves.

A large volcanic eruption in Guatemala on the 13th failed to make the
Smithsonian report:


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Er0uCzOm9zY

Why am I surprised at that?


 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 16 2012, 4:23 am
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 16 Nov 2012 01:23:15 -0800 (PST)
Local: Fri, Nov 16 2012 4:23 am
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 18 2012, 4:02 am
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 18 Nov 2012 01:02:09 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sun, Nov 18 2012 4:02 am
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
On Nov 16, 9:23 am, Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com> wrote:

> Nothing desperately obvious showing up on the latest NA EFS. A nice
> big cold front is going to do something interesting in the US mid-west
> if it hasn't already:

Looks like a change in the weather


 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 18 2012, 10:51 am
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 18 Nov 2012 07:51:37 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sun, Nov 18 2012 10:51 am
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
On Nov 18, 9:02 am, Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com> wrote:

The 21st look possible.
The 23rd looks likely.


 
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datak...@yahoo.com  
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 More options Nov 18 2012, 12:58 pm
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes
From: datak...@yahoo.com
Date: Sun, 18 Nov 2012 09:58:34 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sun, Nov 18 2012 12:58 pm
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.

On Wednesday, November 14, 2012 11:33:16 AM UTC-5, Weatherlawyer wrote:
> On Nov 14, 12:23 pm, datak...@yahoo.com wrote:

> > Pulse !

> > http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/

> > http://www.weather.gov/

a second pulse at zero activity last night ?

usually the sudden lack of activity in weather and seismic activity sugggests a significant event or series of significant events.

I haven't acquired online skills for global weather reading so I asked you who has..

the call from the post MIST is authentic from the facts but/and as you suggest tis the season given the prior stepup events socially and politically.

We are seeong a spate of accidents as seismic/weather related events as I track that area.

In the Hazard KY quake with flow going thru the solid area from the coast as I was working into a backflow to SF....I imagine that continues as a potential.

But how relatedto global weather ? I dunno.

I'm beatup at 10 after equipent prep for kayak g dolphin. I shopuld tune in to the total array with failure at the new map system .

back to work after I cook some grits for muh birds


 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 18 2012, 6:43 pm
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 18 Nov 2012 15:43:13 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sun, Nov 18 2012 6:43 pm
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
Some small quakes in the Norwegian Sea again on Monday and Thursday if
I have this MetO chart right:


 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 21 2012, 2:41 pm
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 21 Nov 2012 11:41:22 -0800 (PST)
Local: Wed, Nov 21 2012 2:41 pm
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
Nothing much showing on the NA EFS all the way to the end of the run
on the 6 December.

All I have for the last day and so up thought the promised 23rd is
some multiple quakes:

It is amazing what you can see if you look even (I imagine) without
the benefit of apofenia:


 
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datak...@yahoo.com  
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 More options Nov 22 2012, 10:16 pm
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes
From: datak...@yahoo.com
Date: Thu, 22 Nov 2012 19:16:03 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 22 2012 10:16 pm
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
there's a video of an NZ eruption and some Texas mist following the doubling up flow across the New Madrid - New MAH d rid - I was reminded. With an associated tung in check article on drought.

I had 9 birds in for Thanksgiving dinner, the family 6 and 3 tourists.


 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 23 2012, 12:29 pm
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 23 Nov 2012 09:29:23 -0800 (PST)
Local: Fri, Nov 23 2012 12:29 pm
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
On Nov 23, 3:16 am, datak...@yahoo.com wrote:

> There's a video of an NZ eruption and some Texas mist following the doubling up flow across the New Madrid -I was reminded. With an associated tongue in cheek article on drought.

> I had 9 birds in for Thanksgiving dinner, the family 6 and 3 tourists.

You cooked your research?

What are you referring to with a New Zealand region and Texas weather?

If you are referring to weather in one place being of an extreme with
a region of another place featuring what for all I know might be
another strange or relatively strange phenomenon, then that would be
par for the course of volcanic activity, if said activity was also
unusual.


 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 24 2012, 12:50 am
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 23 Nov 2012 21:50:38 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sat, Nov 24 2012 12:50 am
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
On Nov 21, 7:41 pm, Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com> wrote:

> Nothing much showing on the NA EFS all the way to the end of the run
> on the 6 December.

> All I have for the last day and so up thought the promised 23rd is
> some multiple quakes:

> It is amazing what you can see if you look even (I imagine) without
> the benefit of apofenia:

> >http://my.opera.com/Weatherlawyer/blog/2012/11/11/the-next-big-ones?c...

No large earthquake on the 23rd.
I think there should have been something, going by the depth of the
Low pressure area off Alaska/Canada yesterday.

964 millibars turning into 996 in 12 hours on the NA EFS charts:

Got frosty just now, ice on roofs and cars. Only an air frost but
these things could mean a small tropical disturbance in the Indian
Ocean or wherever has them in November.  That won't happen without its
complementary "significant other".

So..
Anmd no Tonga no wonga.
Ooh, whoops!
Look what I just found:

24th Nov

4.6      M. @  03:02:44          SOUTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS <<<
2.8      M. @  02:58:19          GULF OF ALASKA
3.2      M. @  02:33:17          PUERTO RICO REGION
5.1      M. @  01:30:00          NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
4.8      M. @  01:19:27          ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE
2.5      M. @  00:30:33          OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA

23rd Nov

5        M. @  20:50:48          SOLOMON ISLANDS
5.3      M. @  20:21:29          NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
4.6      M. @  19:54:13          DOMINICA REGION, LEEWARD ISLANDS
2.5      M. @  18:44:02          PUERTO RICO REGION
2.7      M. @  18:32:56          PUERTO RICO REGION
4.6      M. @  16:37:30          FIJI REGION <<<

Might be, or not might be...


 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 24 2012, 4:36 am
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Sat, 24 Nov 2012 01:36:23 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sat, Nov 24 2012 4:36 am
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
On Nov 24, 5:50 am, Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com> wrote:

Blimey!
That was quick:

I swear it wasn't there when I posted the previous.

24 Nov, 6:00    0 hrs   13.6 S  75.8 E  45 kts  TS

Anyway, now what colour the apophenix is for that particular draught,
I should be able to do better.


 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 25 2012, 4:34 pm
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 25 Nov 2012 13:34:32 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sun, Nov 25 2012 4:34 pm
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
I have spent the largest part of the day watching You Tube videos
instead of doing my job. It's been about 24 hours since the last
biggish quake. So a severe storm is building and another large quake
overdue.

It's time I got my charts downloaded and a forecast made. Look out for
26/27th on this site:

(Sea level pressure.)

A large deep Low near the east coast and a fairly flaccid yet large
Low on the other side of Canada.

No sign of them maturing into a straight 3 so probably not a single
severe quake. So then maybe 3 or four medium sized ones. (And an
unknown number of them dotted around the globe at that.)

But it's early daze yet. So ...well....
...I don't know.


 
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datak...@yahoo.com  
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 More options Nov 25 2012, 7:04 pm
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes
From: datak...@yahoo.com
Date: Sun, 25 Nov 2012 16:04:02 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sun, Nov 25 2012 7:04 pm
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
unrelated...only a video....kinda cool you iknowmout ona field trip n ura lookin over the volcano grounds then a pppppfffffoooomm plume a smoke blows uo out of the ground....

NOW THERE'S FIELD TRIP !

Texans are big time Dude drivers, the highways are excellent for oil trucks, no frost heaves, low shipping on asphalt...there a miles of pool table smooth 140mph swooping corners flowing over hill and dale..

and there are 60 mph zones on 2 lanes roads going straight thru strip mall city WITH STOPLIGHTS !   DIVINITY DELETED

that Texans plow thru fog is noi big surprise...like retarded sticking finger sinto the wall sockets


 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 25 2012, 7:32 pm
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 25 Nov 2012 16:32:07 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sun, Nov 25 2012 7:32 pm
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
On Nov 25, 9:34 pm, Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com> wrote:

18:00 on the Australian Antarctic chart gives warning of a large
quake. But there has just been another tropical storm popped up in the
China Seas. That's rated for a Cat 1 in a few days but I think it
could be a 2 or 3 a lot sooner.

The MetOffice show a really deep Low off Canada for Friday. And a lot
of parallel fronts moving west to east before then so multiple whatsit
epicentres of 5 to 6 M. until then.

It all looks rather gay out to then on:

 I'm not quite sure how confounded I am with this:
"25        Tropical Depression TWENTY      14-14 NOV       25              -
26      Tropical Depression TWENTY      25-25 NOV       25              -       Active
27      Tropical Depression 26W         26-26 NOV       25              -       Active"

"Date: 26-26 NOV 2012
Tropical Depression 26W
ADV  LAT    LON      TIME     WIND  PR  STAT
  1 156.80    9.00 11/26/08Z   25     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION"

"Date: 25-25 NOV 2012
Tropical Depression TWENTY_SIX
ADV  LAT    LON      TIME     WIND  PR  STAT
  1   3.60  157.00 11/25/18Z   25     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
+12   4.20  156.30 11/26/06Z   30     - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
+24   4.70  155.30 11/26/18Z   35     - TROPICAL STORM
+36   5.10  154.30 11/27/06Z   40     - TROPICAL STORM
+48   5.50  152.80 11/27/18Z   50     - TROPICAL STORM
+72   6.30  149.30 11/28/18Z   65     - TYPHOON-1"

From Unisys:

Maybe someone will clear it up for me?

One started at 08:00 and the other at 18:00 on the 25th.

Ho hum...


 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 26 2012, 5:19 am
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes, uk.sci.weather
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 26 Nov 2012 02:19:14 -0800 (PST)
Local: Mon, Nov 26 2012 5:19 am
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
2012/11/26 @ 07:58

4.5 M. 20.8 S. 179.2 W.  Fijian  Triangle.
Totally disregard silly depth of  607.8 theydunos and substitute more
latitude and longitude.
(About the acreage of the first shadow zone should do it.)

That's the end of that:
2012/11/26 05:33

5.5 M. 40.4 N. 90.4 E. Southern Xinjiang.

Looks like a new routine is growing. We just need another Fijian
region to set it up. There are a few days left until the end of this
spell but then it is substantially the same again:
20 Nov. 14:31
28 Nov. 14:46

Actually there are a block of them, all very similar, bracketed by
anticyclonic spells:

Nov 13  22:08
[
Nov 20  14:31
Nov 28  14:46
Dec  6  15:32
Dec 13  08:42
]
Dec 20  05:19

OK. Maybe 6th December isn't that similar but if the Greenland High
situation changes, it could be. They should all have a  thundery
nature given to striations and tornadoes.
(That is: Finely balanced, difficult stuff to forecast, playing havoc
with the North Atlantic -and chock full of earthquakes.)

And since the root cause of weather is Cum Sole, von Karman vortices
(not "Coriolis Effect") it IS all based on standing waves.
And they all occur in the middle of the season -so no Antarctic "side"
on the ball for that.


 
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datak...@yahoo.com  
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 More options Nov 26 2012, 9:47 am
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes
From: datak...@yahoo.com
Date: Mon, 26 Nov 2012 06:47:04 -0800 (PST)
Local: Mon, Nov 26 2012 9:47 am
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
 
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Weatherlawyer  
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 More options Nov 26 2012, 8:47 pm
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes
From: Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 26 Nov 2012 17:47:05 -0800 (PST)
Local: Mon, Nov 26 2012 8:47 pm
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
On Nov 26, 2:47 pm, datak...@yahoo.com wrote:

Grand Ole Oprey at its best. They don't get no worse than that. At
least he had the grace to look embarrassed.

Personally I'd have blown the joint. He must have been making just
enough to cover his pharmacist at the time, eh?
And sat up all night thinking of a ditty to cover the next bills?


 
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Skywise  
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 More options Nov 27 2012, 3:24 am
Newsgroups: sci.geo.earthquakes
From: Skywise <i...@oblivion.nothing.com>
Date: Tue, 27 Nov 2012 08:24:17 GMT
Local: Tues, Nov 27 2012 3:24 am
Subject: Re: Three strikes and you're out. The next big ones.
Weatherlawyer <weatherlaw...@gmail.com> wrote in news:c384fb71-ad89-4d45-
902e-22f0db844...@f17g2000vbz.googlegroups.com:

> On Nov 26, 2:47 pm, datak...@yahoo.com wrote:
>> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kqOOuEImTQY

> Grand Ole Oprey at its best. They don't get no worse than that. At
> least he had the grace to look embarrassed.

> Personally I'd have blown the joint. He must have been making just
> enough to cover his pharmacist at the time, eh?
> And sat up all night thinking of a ditty to cover the next bills?

Hell of a lot better than the most of the crap that passes for music
today. But maybe it takes having some musical skills to appreciate
that.

Brian
--
http://www.skywise711.com - Lasers, Seismology, Astronomy, Skepticism
Sed quis custodiet ipsos Custodes?


 
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