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Emile Servan-Schreiber
2
11/14/14
Prediction market beats midterm-election statistical models
Updated results and analysis of Hypermind vs big-data models are published at the link below. The
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Prediction market beats midterm-election statistical models
Updated results and analysis of Hypermind vs big-data models are published at the link below. The
11/14/14
Emile Servan-Schreiber
11/2/13
Announcement
New political prediction market
I am excited to share with you the launch (yesterday) of a new political prediction market, published
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Announcement
New political prediction market
I am excited to share with you the launch (yesterday) of a new political prediction market, published
11/2/13
David Pennock
10/6/12
PredictWiseQ.com, a place to track or place millions of predictions about the election
One of the few aspects of my job I enjoy more than designing a new market is actually building it. In
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PredictWiseQ.com, a place to track or place millions of predictions about the election
One of the few aspects of my job I enjoy more than designing a new market is actually building it. In
10/6/12
Kevin
4/3/12
UW Study on Healthcare Reform SCOTUS case
https://hra.inklingmarkets.com/user/self_invite We invite you to participate in this study. After a
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UW Study on Healthcare Reform SCOTUS case
https://hra.inklingmarkets.com/user/self_invite We invite you to participate in this study. After a
4/3/12
Martin
5/31/11
Re: Charles Manski paper
To my understanding one invests his endowment y into m if he believes it to be more probable than the
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Re: Charles Manski paper
To my understanding one invests his endowment y into m if he believes it to be more probable than the
5/31/11
Guillaume Wolf
5/3/11
Middle East and North Africa protests predicted on Beansight
In the beginning of the year, the world has been moved in Middle East and in North Africa. Many
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Middle East and North Africa protests predicted on Beansight
In the beginning of the year, the world has been moved in Middle East and in North Africa. Many
5/3/11
Emile Servan-Schreiber
,
David Pennock
2
4/15/11
MNI Forecast Competition - impressive first results
This is fantastic Emile. Congrats. After all these years, even though I should no longer be surprised
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MNI Forecast Competition - impressive first results
This is fantastic Emile. Congrats. After all these years, even though I should no longer be surprised
4/15/11
Andrew Walker
, …
Landoin, Pierre-Baptiste
4
11/23/10
Prediculous.com - new prediction market site
Thank you for your comments, David. Very much appreciated. The product that you currently see
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Prediculous.com - new prediction market site
Thank you for your comments, David. Very much appreciated. The product that you currently see
11/23/10
Mike Parker
11/14/10
Predcitiuon Markets a misnomer
Hi folks; I'm posting a link here to a new blog entry as I think it may be of interest. It
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Predcitiuon Markets a misnomer
Hi folks; I'm posting a link here to a new blog entry as I think it may be of interest. It
11/14/10
John Delaney, CEO, Intrade.com
11/2/10
US Govt Challenges - Crowd Sourced Solutions - Reminds some of PAM / DARPA
Hi Folks, Thought this would interest you... "Challenge.gov is an online challenge platform
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US Govt Challenges - Crowd Sourced Solutions - Reminds some of PAM / DARPA
Hi Folks, Thought this would interest you... "Challenge.gov is an online challenge platform
11/2/10
John Delaney, CEO, Intrade.com
, …
David Pennock
7
11/1/10
Prediction Market PhD's?
you might be able to use Amazon mechanical turk On 10/30/10 1:07 PM, Dorit Geifman wrote: > Hi,
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Prediction Market PhD's?
you might be able to use Amazon mechanical turk On 10/30/10 1:07 PM, Dorit Geifman wrote: > Hi,
11/1/10
warren
10/30/10
More specific request for a collaborator.
Hello again, I apologize for my previous, hastily prepared, posting. I am looking for someone to
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More specific request for a collaborator.
Hello again, I apologize for my previous, hastily prepared, posting. I am looking for someone to
10/30/10
warren
10/28/10
A new tool for collective intelligence
Hello Everyone, I'm a bin fan of many of those who post here. A few of my favorite books are:
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A new tool for collective intelligence
Hello Everyone, I'm a bin fan of many of those who post here. A few of my favorite books are:
10/28/10
Jan-Paul Lüdtke
10/27/10
Prediction Market PhD
Hey, I am a prediction market PhD in his second year and focussing opportunities and limitations of
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Prediction Market PhD
Hey, I am a prediction market PhD in his second year and focussing opportunities and limitations of
10/27/10
Ryan Zotti
10/27/10
I'm an undergraduate college student with access to an enormous research database - after
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I'm an undergraduate college student with access to an enormous research database - after
10/27/10
Maarifa Roho
10/19/10
easy prediction market script
Hello I teach a finance class to seniors , and Im looking for an easy to set up script for a
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easy prediction market script
Hello I teach a finance class to seniors , and Im looking for an easy to set up script for a
10/19/10
Sveinung Arnesen
, …
David Pennock
7
10/11/10
Does average Joe and Jane understand prediction markets?
Fair enough: I agree there is a difference in goals. In gambling and finance, trading *is* the goal.
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Does average Joe and Jane understand prediction markets?
Fair enough: I agree there is a difference in goals. In gambling and finance, trading *is* the goal.
10/11/10
Sveinung Arnesen
,
David Pennock
5
9/27/10
vote share with LMSR
Ok, thanks for the clarification. If I understand correctly, you're talking about how much money
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vote share with LMSR
Ok, thanks for the clarification. If I understand correctly, you're talking about how much money
9/27/10
Andrew Walker
,
David Pennock
2
9/24/10
Wisdom of Crowds
You might take a look at in alphabetical order consensuspoint.com, crowdcast.com, hsx.com,
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Wisdom of Crowds
You might take a look at in alphabetical order consensuspoint.com, crowdcast.com, hsx.com,
9/24/10
Mike Parker
,
David Pennock
2
9/8/10
Prediction Markets and organisational structure
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/08/10/ultrinsic-sponsors-gambli_n_676624.html http://www.ultrinsic
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Prediction Markets and organisational structure
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/08/10/ultrinsic-sponsors-gambli_n_676624.html http://www.ultrinsic
9/8/10
Justin
,
David Pennock
2
6/16/10
Short Q&A with Hubdub founder Nigel Eccles
Nice post-mortem interview Justin. I'm sorry to see Hubdub go but Nigel is a great entrepreneur
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Short Q&A with Hubdub founder Nigel Eccles
Nice post-mortem interview Justin. I'm sorry to see Hubdub go but Nigel is a great entrepreneur
6/16/10
David Pennock
2
3/16/10
announcing Predictalot! (and we mean alot)
Forgive the marketing... LMK if I breach the rules. Why should you try Predictalot? Gamers: Make
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announcing Predictalot! (and we mean alot)
Forgive the marketing... LMK if I breach the rules. Why should you try Predictalot? Gamers: Make
3/16/10
Emile Servan-Schreiber
12/2/09
Betting on Copenhagen
Great opinion piece this morning by Olivia Judson on NYT. Entitled "Betting on Copenhagen",
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Betting on Copenhagen
Great opinion piece this morning by Olivia Judson on NYT. Entitled "Betting on Copenhagen",
12/2/09
Emile Servan-Schreiber
11/24/09
Environmental Futures
Dear group, I've just posted on the NewsFutures blog a presentation I co-delivered back in 2004
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Environmental Futures
Dear group, I've just posted on the NewsFutures blog a presentation I co-delivered back in 2004
11/24/09
Emile SS
11/8/09
Article in German Technology Review
There is an article about prediction markets in the latest issue of the German edition of Technology
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Article in German Technology Review
There is an article about prediction markets in the latest issue of the German edition of Technology
11/8/09
Benoitctr
11/6/09
Front liners of adaptation
Salut everyone, I welcome this initiative to add the community dimension to the Prediction Market
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Front liners of adaptation
Salut everyone, I welcome this initiative to add the community dimension to the Prediction Market
11/6/09