Fwd: MPI Report on DREAM Numbers - Military

[Tania]

Hey everyone, 

I wanted to share a PDF of a study from July published by the Migration Policy Institute, which is an empirical analysis of potential DREAM Act beneficiaries. It has updated numbers on how many people would likely be legalized if the DREAM Act were to pass. It also goes into details of which young people are likely to chose the military route, which if read correctly, is less than 10% of the 825,000 beneficiaries. 

http://www.migrationpolicy.org/pubs/DREAM-Insight-July2010.pdf

"One would expect that the military service path to permanent legal status would be appealing to many potential DREAM beneficiaries, particularly those who do not have the financial resources to pursue post-secondary education. However, military enlistment has been on the rise due to the effects of the economic downturn, expanded education benefits for those who serve, and stepped-up marketing campaigns.29 As a result, recruitment targets have been reduced, at the same time that eligibility criteria have been tightened." (14)

 

"... we find that less than 1 percent of age-eligible Hispanics (18 to 44) were active enlisted military members in 2008. Given the powerful incentive of permanent legal status, for purposes of this analysis we make a generous assumption that 5 percent of potential beneficiaries would follow the military service path. This would mean that slightly less than 31,000 of the 612,000 would adjust to permanent legal status via military service. (15)

 

Taken together, we estimate that about 290,000 young adults or 47 percent of this cohort would progress to permanent legal status through the legislation’s education and military routes, whereas the remaining 322,000 would not be likely to do so. (15)

Just sharing some statistics to inform the dialogue. 

Happy Monday. 

Tania.

[Rosi Carrasco]

Hey everyone, 

Tania.