Fwd: [HamSCI] Seminar About Solar Cycle 25 & Solar Eclipse QSO Party (SEQP) 2023-2024 Planning Kickoff Telecon Thursday at 2000z
Kristina Collins
From: Dr. Nathaniel A. Frissell Ph.D. <nathaniel...@scranton.edu>
Date: Tue, Aug 30, 2022 at 11:11 AM
Subject: [HamSCI] Seminar About Solar Cycle 25 & Solar Eclipse QSO Party (SEQP) 2023-2024 Planning Kickoff Telecon Thursday at 2000z
To: ham...@googlegroups.com <ham...@googlegroups.com>
Hi everyone!
This Thursday, Sept 1 at 4 PM Eastern (2000z) will be the first of our weekly Solar Eclipse QSO Party Planning telecons! Please join us at the following Zoom link:
https://scranton.zoom.us/j/286316405?pwd=QWdwMlFPbDlYeXg5ZDg1dmYzeFdCUT09
The next solar eclipses will be October 14, 2023 (Annular) and April 8, 2024 (Total).
We will start off with a seminar regarding the upcoming Solar Cycle 25, given by Frank Howell K4FMH. It will be important to understand the background propagation conditions generated by the new solar cycle when interpreting the upcoming SEQP data.
I look forward to seeing you there!
73 Nathaniel W2NAF
Dr. Frank Howell K4FMH will present a seminar based on his two-part article in the July & August 2022 issues of the Radio Society of Great Britain’s RadCom journal, written with Dr. Scott McIntosh of NCAR in Colorado, titled, “On the Cusp of a Scientific Revolution?” The seminar includes the latest theory construction and model estimation. The seminar will be held on September 1, 2022 at 4 PM Eastern (2000z) during the weekly Solar Eclipse QSO Party Zoom Telecon. Frank is Professor Emeritus at Mississippi State University, Affiliated Faculty at Emory University, and a scientific member of HamSCI.
Abstract: Sunspots are the Dow Jones Industrial Index for hams. We are faithful to the sine wave model of the approximate 11-year cycle with the official NASA/NOAA predictions being our Holy Grail. I’ll address the following issues. How did we get to this sine wave conception? How do scientific paradigms compete and change? A new competing paradigm by the McIntosh team has been proposed. What’s new? What’s both the theoretical and empirical basis for this Kuhnian revolution in predictions? For Cycle 25, I’ll compare the official NASA/NOAA versus McIntosh team projections of SSNs and how they are constructed. I’ll also show how they compare to observed sunspots in the Cycle. Can we now better predict the underlying phenomena driving the amplitude and transition of a cycle? This model competition may well parallel the Newton-Einstein paradigm clash a century ago where science hung in the balance while solar eclipse photo plates were taken in Brazil and the Island of Principe. Now, we can follow along and see: will there be a scientific revolution in sunspot prediction?
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Dr. Nathaniel A. Frissell, Ph.D., W2NAF
HamSCI Lead / Assistant Professor
Department of Physics and Electrical Engineering
University of Scranton
(973) 787-4506
Please follow the HamSCI Community Participation Guidelines at http://hamsci.org/hamsci-community-participation-guidelines.
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