Dear All
Over
the past few days grid connected wind in
the UK has increased from 4351 MW to 4491
MW.
The increase in wind
power is not prevented some very low wind
periods recently. It dropped to 92 MW on
12th April at 9.00am. A similar drop
occurred about a fortnight earlier. In other
words on the basis of capacity wind
requires 98-99% "back up" from some other
power source. If one works on the assumption
that peak wind output is about 80% of
capacity in Britain (in Spain it seems to be
about 70%), this still means that the back
up is extremely high.
As I keep pointing
out, elaborate least squares approaches to
calculating how much back up is needed are a
waste of time.
What is not a problem
is compensating for the daily changes in
output
Fred