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Jan 15, 2026, 11:59:41 AM (4 days ago) Jan 15
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A dispatch on Sweden's climate retreat |
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Activist Greta Thunberg’s home country Sweden was once a stalwart for green policies and the clean energy transition. Not anymore. 

Today’s newsletter looks at why the green dream is on life support in Sweden as politicians have grown skeptical and investors become wary of giant projects. 

In the US, investors feel emboldened and are putting record funding into critical minerals and rare earths. Just yesterday, Trump issued a new supply chain proclamation as his administration vows to cut into China’s overwhelming lead in producing rare earths.

Subscribe to Bloomberg News to see how the energy transition is playing out in every region of the world. 

Sweden’s green stumble

By Charlie Duxbury and Lars Paulsson

Six years ago, the cobbled square outside Sweden’s parliament buzzed with energy as Greta Thunberg and her “Fridays for Future” demonstrators urged passing lawmakers to act on climate change through loudhailers and whistles.

On a recent Friday, it was far different. Two protesters, a small cardboard sign and a quiet vigil.

The energy that’s drained out of the campaign mirrors a broader deflation of green ambitions in Sweden and across the continent. Populist groups are pushing back against environmental initiatives, spurred on in part by Donald Trump’s anti-green agenda, and there’s been a weakening of near-term emission-reduction measures, especially where climate and cost-of-living policies have clashed.

Greta Thunberg and other demonstrators outside the Swedish Parliament in 2020. Photographer: JONATHAN NACKSTRAND/AFP

The shift is widespread, but it marks a particularly sharp turn for Sweden, long a European leader on climate defense, driving aggressive emissions cuts through fossil fuel taxes and support for cleaner industries.

Now, skepticism has taken hold in parliament, the environmental drive gone into reverse, and investors in giant clean industrial projects are getting cold feet. Among those at risk is the world’s biggest new green steel plant, strapped for cash before it’s even started production.

“We were one of the first economies in the world that really showed that we could decouple economic development from emissions,” said Johan Rockstrom, a Swedish scientist and director of The Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. “Now we're losing that reputation of being a country that others respect.”

The construction site of Stegra's green steel plant in June 2025. Photographer: Jonathan Nackstrand/AFP

The most high-profile commercial failure has been Northvolt AB. Once Europe’s best hope for local battery production for car makers and others, cost overruns and production delays pushed it into bankruptcy. After it ran into trouble, the government refused to bail it out.

Stegra AB — the startup behind the green steel facility — has also received a cold shoulder from fiscal policymakers in Stockholm as it tries to raise capital to avert a funding crisis.

With the next general election just eight months away, battle lines have already emerged around climate issues, and whoever wins will be hugely important to companies with ambitious projects. Opposition parties — including the Social Democrats and Greens — say they will renew the green push through an extension of credit guarantees and grants for emission-lowering industries, as well as a new state green investment bank.

Read the full story to see how Sweden’s green credentials eroded and what it would take to build them back up.

A heavy task

1,650
Steel plants worldwide that will need to be decarbonized in coming years to meet stricter emissions targets, according to McKinsey & Co

An alliance to counter China

Consistent government support to get these industries off the ground remains critical.”
Keith Norman
Chief marketing officer at Lyten
The US battery maker that bought the site of the Northvolt battery plant after the company went bankrupt, but is yet to start operations

Building a US supply chain

By Emily Forgash and Coco Liu

US President Donald Trump has vowed to cut into China's overwhelming lead in producing critical minerals as part of his national security push, including a new supply chain proclamation on Wednesday. In response, investors are pouring a record amount of money into US startups, providing support to an industry that also plays a key role in the energy transition.

The minerals — a set of 17 metallic elements — are used in products ranging from smartphones and electric vehicles to fighter jets. China controls roughly 60% of the world’s rare earth mining output and more than 90% of the global refining capacity, according to an October report by the International Energy Agency. That leaves industries in the US exposed to potential supply shocks.

Venture capitalists invested more than $628 million in US startups working on rare earth minerals in 2025, according to PitchBook data, accounting for 90% of all funding globally. That represents a nearly 3,000% jump compared to 2024, and doesn’t account for government deals, including the US Defense Department’s $400 million equity investment in July into MP Materials Corp., a publicly traded rare earth manufacturer.

US companies looking to buy rare earths are also showing increased interest in sourcing the materials at home. Five days after the Pentagon’s investment, Apple Inc. agreed to buy $500 million of rare earth products from MP.

“Rare earths are top of mind right now,” said Zachary Bogue, co-founder and managing partner at DCVC whose firm backed two US-based rare earth startups last year. “There’s geopolitical tensions. The US can no longer rely on China for rare earths and critical minerals.”

The Trump administration has taken steps to support the US rare earths sector for national security purposes, saying it will guarantee minimum prices for producers and coordinating with allies to develop alternative supply chains. That federal support is making investing in rare earth startups a safer bet.

These efforts will also offer a less risky supply of the elements to green tech companies, which are major buyers of the materials. Electric mobility, from vehicles and buses to bikes, accounted for 22% of rare earth permanent magnet demand in the US last year, according to Benchmark Minerals, which tracks rare earth prices and data. The defense sector, meanwhile, accounted for 12%.

For now, though, high costs and slow permitting are challenging rare earth startups’ ability to scale rapidly. With investors flocking to the sector, there is also a risk of overheating. Rajesh Swaminathan, a partner at Khosla Ventures, examined several rare earth magnet startups last year but decided against investing. He said the combination of these startups being at “very early stage” yet having “super high valuation” made him hesitant to place a bet.

But James Lindsay, director of investments at Builders Vision, an investing platform founded by billionaire Lukas Walton, pointed to the US oil and gas industry’s transition from relative irrelevance in 2005 to becoming a global leader towards the end of the 2010s. The growth of the oil and gas industry required more capital than what it would likely take to build out a strong US rare earth supply chain, he said, and it shows that “a 15-year cycle has been done before.”

Read the full story to find out what startups are leading the charge.

This week’s Zero

Ever since the Paris Agreement was signed in 2015, governments have been trying to nudge big financial players to move more money into climate solutions. The idea was to drive action through data disclosure and net-zero goals, but that hasn’t yielded the results they hoped for. Have they got their approach to climate finance wrong? Lisa Sachs, director of Columbia University’s Center on Sustainable Investment, makes the case this week on the Zero podcast.

Listen now, and subscribe on AppleSpotify or YouTube to get new episodes of Zero every Thursday.

More from Green 

Chisom Osinachi runs a convenience store in Akanu and can now keep it open until 10 p.m. after solar streetlights were installed in her community. Photographer: RACHEL SEIDU

When night falls in Akanu in southeast Nigeria, the streets are lit. That’s something people in the rural settlement of 100,000 haven’t seen since 2020, when access to the national grid in the area broke down and was never repaired.

For Mercy Kalu, who runs a roadside restaurant, shop and bar, business is booming. “Our people go to bed early, like fowl, when there is no light,” she says. Now “people go to their farms in the day and come here in the night to pick up their soap, cream, sachet water and soft drinks. What I used to sell in a week, I can sell in three days.”

Solar power is what’s driving this transformation across Africa’s most populous nation. After decades of having to retire at dusk or rely on noisy, smelly and expensive diesel generators, local communities are able to take the energy supply into their own hands, thanks to the availability of cheap solar panels and battery storage. In the year to June, Nigeria imported 1,721 megawatts of photovoltaic panels—enough to meet 5% of the country’s demand—up from less than 500MW in 2021, according to climate think tank Ember. Nigeria has become second only to South Africa for solar imports on the continent. (Figures directly measuring solar deployment aren’t available.)

Read the full story on Bloomberg.com

Clean energy projects are poised for a revival in mergers and acquisitions activity on the strengthening outlook for electricity demand and as expectations on asset valuations converge, according to some of the sector’s top dealmakers.

Weak oil prices are making it harder for the shipping industry to decarbonize, according to the president of commodities giant Cargill Inc.’s freight-trading business.

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