Fwd: AI bubble fears come for utilities

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Loretta Lohman

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Nov 28, 2025, 4:01:27 PM (8 days ago) Nov 28
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The AI boom has been good for things data centers rely on, like electricity. Utility stocks have soared this year as companies look to cash in on data centers’ voracious energy demand. But tech stocks pulling back have dragged utilities down, too.

Today’s newsletter breaks down the tight relationship and the risks for utilities if the AI bubble pops. Plus, a look ahead at a crucial meeting that will decide if FEMA survives. 

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An uneasy relationship

By Josh Saul and Monique Mulima

The artificial-intelligence boom’s promise of runaway electricity demand has jolted shares of US power companies to all-time highs. But those generators and utilities are now learning that the hype comes with an edge: Investors won’t wait forever for results.

Companies that recently hit record valuations are returning to earth as investors realize the massive data-center deals they’d banked on are actually smaller, or slower, than expected.

Constellation Energy Corp. saw shares tumble 11% from an October high after a third-quarter earnings call that yielded no details on new power generation. The headline of one Jefferies analyst note read: “No Data Center Deals.” Similarly, Vistra Corp. has fallen 16% since mid-October as analysts noted a slower pace of data center announcements than they expected.

The S&P 500 Utilities Index is now set to post the worst monthly performance since August, after reaching an all-time high in October.

“These are not your father’s and mother’s utility stocks,” said Mark Malek, chief investment officer at Muriel Siebert & Co. “People are starting to question, ‘Can these companies scale as fast as they want to, are they throwing capital at these projects that’ll never get done?’”

Click here to read the full story.

Price spikes

267%
The amount wholesale electricity costs have risen in parts of the US compared to five years ago. Data centers' demand is creating a huge affordability problem.

Demanding customers

"Take your house and increase that by 10,000. That is the difference between your house and a data center."
Patrick Donnelly
Senior member, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
Data centers' power demand is on another level.

FEMA’s fate

By Zahra Hirji and Lauren Rosenthal

Will the Federal Emergency Management Agency be abolished? That’s the question that’s been looming over the agency since Donald Trump retook the White House. And it may finally be answered in the coming weeks when a review council unveils its recommendations.

A group of high-profile emergency managers, senior administration officials and other politicians selected by Trump has been working on a report based on input from emergency managers, nonprofits and disaster survivors. The council is scheduled to vote on its final recommendations at a public meeting on Dec. 11. But infighting among members has left those recommendations up in the air, according to two people familiar with the matter who weren’t authorized to speak publicly.

Secretary Kristi Noem co-chairs the council. Photographer: Eric Lee/Bloomberg

A draft version suggested that FEMA be preserved and made an independent agency, moving it from under the Department of Homeland Security. But it’s unclear if those top-line recommendations will be passed along to President Trump by DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, who co-chairs the council and has been among the most vocal supporters of eliminating FEMA in its current form. That’s caused confusion and frustration among the other council members in behind-the-scenes conversations over the past few weeks, the people say.

Cameron Hamilton, who briefly served as Trump’s FEMA chief this year and opposes abolishing the agency, has been observing the council’s work from afar. “My concern,” he says, is that Noem and her advisors “are giving the president their feedback and not accurately reflecting the expertise of those around them.”

Noem “has worked with committee members collaboratively on the reform report that will be completed in the coming weeks,” a FEMA spokesperson said in an email. “The claims of her or other political staff altering the report are unequivocally false.”

FEMA has been on the frontlines of responding to increasingly worse weather disasters, but has faced heavy criticism from Trump and Noem for not helping survivors fast enough, focusing too much on climate change, and being biased against Trump supporters.

The review council’s final report will be shared with the president and other top White House officials. While the president may be able to enact some changes directly, any large-scale moves such as closing or renaming the agency will need to go through Congress, emergency management experts say. 

Battle for mandates 

By Frances Schwartzkopff

Amundi says it’s expecting to see more inflows as a result of what it describes as ongoing adjustments in institutional mandates triggered by a growing desire to manage climate risk.

Europe’s largest money manager, which last month reported a record €2.32 trillion ($2.68 trillion) of assets under management, is already seeing the benefits of its focus on climate, according to Jean-Jacques Barberis, Amundi’s head of institutional, corporate clients and ESG.

An emphasis on sustainability has become “a differentiating element to conquer more business on the institutional side,” Barberis said in an interview. “We remain extremely confident.”

How asset managers handle sustainability issues such as climate and equal pay is turning into a litmus test for a growing number of long-term investors. In Europe, Dutch pensions fund PFZW recently reassigned listed-equities mandates worth more than $60 billion, citing sustainability as a key factor. Managers to have lost PFZW contracts in the process include BlackRock Inc. and AQR Capital Management.

And on Wednesday it emerged that New York City Comptroller Brad Lander asked three of the city’s pension funds to drop a BlackRock mandate, citing “inadequate” climate plans. The world’s largest money manager oversees $42.3 billion of index funds for the pensions.

Read the full story here.

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