Fwd: A climate finance facelift

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Nov 4, 2025, 9:24:51 AM (5 days ago) Nov 4
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Rethinking the multitrillion-dollar transition |
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United Nations climate talks officially kick off next week. We’re tracking what’s happening in the run-up to the COP30 summit.

Today’s newsletter takes you to Sao Paulo, where bankers are meeting to discuss the future of climate finance, and to Brussels, where ministers are gathering to hash out a last-minute deal on emissions. EU Commissioner Teresa Ribera spoke to us about the pressures the bloc is facing.

Bloomberg Green is also hosting an event in Sao Paulo today on finance, carbon markets and climate risk. Speakers include Brazil Finance Minister Fernando Haddad, COP30 CEO Ana Toni, and others from JPMorgan, HSBC, BloombergNEF and more. The event kicks off at 9 a.m. BRT (7 a.m. EDT). Follow the livestream at bloomberg.com.

Subscribe to Green Daily for free to stay up to date with COP30 breaking news, exclusive content and in-depth analysis.

A new climate finance model

By Alastair Marsh

Climate finance as we know it has reached the end of its useful life and needs to be thrown out.

That’s the view of Rhian-Mari Thomas, a former Barclays banker who now runs the London-based Green Finance Institute. Gone are the days of bankers on bicycles handing out bamboo business cards, as they did in Glasgow for the COP26 summit in 2021. Gone, too, are most of the commitments to net zero alliances unveiled back then. 

The grand emissions-cutting proclamations and broad industry coalitions of yesteryear served a purpose in galvanizing initial progress, but if the trillions of dollars needed to fund emissions reductions and adaptation are to flow, a new model is needed, she said.

Rhian-Mari Thomas Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg

“We’re probably coming to the limits of some of the approaches that we’ve taken so far as a climate finance community: some of the longer-term commitments and the really big tent initiatives,” Thomas said in an interview. “It’s done a fantastic job at elevating the prominence of this agenda and making people realize that climate really is the business of business, but we’ve started running into the limitations of that.”

Climate finance has had a turbulent half-decade. In 2021, banks and asset managers were busily declaring their dedication to net zero alliances with the ostensible goal of slashing financed emissions. But as post-lockdown and wartime economies guzzled energy and drove up interest rates, commitment to financing a green transition quickly began to fade. President Donald Trump’s return to the White House has since fueled a downright hostile political mood toward the green economy.

Despite the fraught political backdrop, dollars are still flowing into low-carbon assets. BloombergNEF estimates that global investment in the energy transition surpassed $2 trillion for the first time last year. Green stocks are soaring and banks are generating more in fees from green fixed-income deals than from their fossil-fuel equivalents, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

And yet, annual investment is running at just 37% of the levels required for the rest of this decade if the world is to get on track for net zero by 2050, BNEF said. For now, reaching 1.5C remains an abstract and unlikely goal.

Against that backdrop, the GFI is proposing a new model of so-called structured coordination that it’s dubbed “transactions to transitions.” The idea is to gather key actors to work together on clearly defined real economy outcomes, such as scaling up specific technologies like sustainable aviation fuel or carbon dioxide removal, or by increasing the flow of private-sector investment in nature restoration.

Instead of grand chief executive-level dialogs, GFI would convene expert teams from across the value chain, spanning policymakers to industry, development banks to institutional investors, to work on specific solutions for funding green activities. 

“The thing that’s been keeping me awake at night for years now is, you’ve got a financial sector that’s focused on transactions and you’ve got government and a scientific imperative that’s focused on transitions, and those two things need to find a way to align better,” Thomas said. “Otherwise we’re going to continue to have this implementation-execution gap and frustration.”

As to how this might work in practice, Thomas gives the example of so-called nature-based solutions. GFI has mapped out a possible pathway that begins with government targets on nature restoration and would also include policies and regulations that support it, as well as the design of financial products that could bring the necessary capital and a new mechanism for embedding nature metrics into company valuations, she said.

Success for such coordinated actions will require a new approach to partnership between the public and private sector, GFI said.

This should include finding ways to connect political commitments — in particular a country’s nationally determined contribution submitted under the Paris Agreement — with the origination of transactions the private sector wants to invest in. For now, the public and private sectors often talk past each other and are misaligned, Thomas said.

“The public sector is asking where the promised investment is, and the private sector is asking where is the policy and where is the pipeline?” Thomas said. “Governments are very much focused on sectoral and economic transitions and financial institutions are looking for transactions that meet their risk-adjusted returns and their fiduciary duty mandates. And those two things aren’t necessarily aligned.”

Read more about how Wall Street’s AI agenda is spilling into climate talks. Please subscribe to Bloomberg News to get the latest on energy transition financing.

A big opportunity

$1.5 trillion
The amount of cumulative investments in sustainable fuels needed between now and 2035 if the world wants to accelerate their deployment, according to a recent International Energy Agency report.

What really matters

“We’ve come to realize that we don’t really need big commitments or big numbers”
Daniel Hanna
Barclays’s group head of sustainable and transition finance
The finance industry should be more focused on where it spends its energies in support of decarbonization

EU under pressure

By John Ainger and Ewa Krukowska

The next stage of Europe’s climate transition hangs in the balance, with ministers meeting in Brussels today for the last chance to hash out a deal emissions cuts through 2040 and to sign off on an updated climate pledge before the COP30 leaders’ summit starts in Belém later this week.

A common position on both the climate goal to cut emissions 90% by 2040 from 1990 levels, and on the UN pledge would show that the European Union is still a leader in the fight against global warming, in a marked contrast to the US under Trump.

Teresa Ribera Photographer: Simon Wohlfahrt/Bloomberg

“Pitifully, the president of the United States doesn’t seem to care about the future of his own country in relation to other countries or in relation to their own capacities to develop leading positions in new markets,” Teresa Ribera, the EU’s climate commissioner, said in an exclusive interview in Sao Paulo. “Europe needs to be that democratic powerhouse that ensures clean solutions for today’s problems.”

The bloc’s broad consensus on climate has  splintered, giving way to trade protectionism and policies that seek to counter the impact of rising energy costs. Support for the 2040 goal requires a qualified majority of the EU’s 27 member states. Much will come down to the position of France and Germany, the bloc’s two biggest economies, but also smaller member states like Belgium and Greece.

Even with assurances over support for key industries, such as steel and cement, a number of EU members are expected to oppose some of the targets. Europe is under pressure from parts of the private sector too after over three dozen chief executive officers sent a letter last month to French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz calling for ESG rules to be abolished.

“If we kill the tools that allow us to build a different economy, we will get trapped in the irrelevance,” Ribera said. “We can simplify whatever we want if it doesn’t undermine the possibility to achieve our targets. But we can’t hide the fact that there may be some willing to deregulate and go back into darkness.”

Read more on today’s meeting of European environment ministers in Brussels and the full story on our exclusive interview with European commissioner Teresa Ribera on Bloomberg.com.

More from Green

The Turkey pavilion at COP29 in Baku, Azerbaijan Photographer: Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg

Global efforts to slash emissions are set to pick up significantly in the years to come.

That’s according to an analysis of the G20 countries by London Stock Exchange Group. The findings, which point to “a material acceleration in global emission cuts post 2030,” are based on official submissions to the United Nations, as well as public announcements from government officials. 

“It’s not all doom and gloom,” said Jaakko Kooroshy, LSEG’s global head of sustainable-investment research. The implied emissions cuts amount to “material progress, even though we remain off track for below 2C,” he said. LSEG’s analysis indicates an additional reduction in greenhouse gas pollution of as much as 18% over five years, compared with existing 2030 targets.

Only 64 countries, representing about a third of global emissions, submitted Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) by the Sept. 30 deadline. LSEG said while the UN’s NDC report only includes countries that submitted reports through the end of September, its own analysis also comprises announcements from October, which it says has “shifted the landscape.” Faster emissions reductions are mainly tied to progress made in China and Turkey, LSEG said.

Read the full story on Bloomberg.com

Projects combining private and public capital to cut emissions or adapt to climate change have stalled at a dangerously low level, according to a fresh report.

European Union carbon futures rose through a key technical level of €80 on Monday, after Germany announced new support for energy-intensive industries that is expected to lift emissions.

Photo finish

Photographer: Amanda Kolson Hurley

Bloomberg Green editor Amanda Kolson Hurley found some time on Monday to visit the Sao Paulo Museum of Art. The museum is currently hosting a Histories of Ecology exhibition that examines the relations between humans and the environment in the context of the climate crisis.

Though it may sound inspired by COP30, the museum says it’s “not a direct response to the conference but rather proposes a broader perspective” that expands what ecology means. Even if you don’t have time for the exhibit, swinging by to check out the iconic building designed by Brazilian architect Lina Bo Bardi is worth a trip.

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