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The insurance industry's "structural challenge"
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Home insurance is essential for recovering after disaster hits. But, as an increasing number of homeowners are finding out, payouts may not be enough to rebuild

Today’s newsletter looks at what can be done to help bridge the growing gap at a time when extreme weather is worsening. Plus, US President Donald Trump has a plan to make tech giants pay for surging power bills tied to AI data centers.

For all the latest on climate and energy news, subscribe to Bloomberg News.

A rude awakening

By Leslie Kaufman

A year after the Los Angeles wildfires, many survivors face the same problem: Their insurance policies aren’t paying out enough to cover the cost of rebuilding.

It’s a tragic predicament. And it will happen again when the next disaster hits.

Since the 1990s, American homes have been systematically underinsured in the event that they are completely destroyed. Study after study shows that, counter to the public’s understanding, many home insurance policies are not required to cover total replacement of homes.

The trend, though decades old, has been somewhat hidden. But climate-driven events that cause massive destruction, especially wildfires, are revealing just how pervasive and severe the problem has become.

A home is engulfed in flames during last year’s Eaton Fire. Photographer: JOSH EDELSON/AFP

“Climate change did not cause underinsurance, but it does expose it and amplify it,” said Kenneth Klein, a professor at the California Western School of Law specializing in the topic.

Global warming is creating a hotter and drier world. Combined with more construction in areas with lots of flammable vegetation — the wildland-urban interface — it’s led to a rise in damaging fires in the US. Researchers at the University of Colorado Boulder in 2023 found that wildfires in Western states destroyed 243% more buildings in the decade between 2010 and 2020 than in the previous decade. The fires in LA claimed in excess of 15,000 structures.

United Policyholders, an advocacy group, was formed in part to help homeowners not being adequately covered for rebuilding costs after the Oakland firestorm of 1991. The group began sending surveys to wildfire survivors in 2007, and since then, an average of two-thirds of respondents said they had found themselves underinsured, by an average amount of $200,000 or more.

Acute demand for labor and materials can send prices soaring after a disaster, and it’s hard for the insurance industry to know before an event occurs how much costs will go up.

That wouldn’t have been a problem before the 1990s, according to Klein, because until then most US home insurance policies included a guaranteed clause to replace no matter the cost. But as American houses got bigger and more expensive, the guarantee lost ground to replacement-cost-value coverage, which sets an upper limit on how much the insurance company will pay out.

Most major insurers use third-party estimator tools to determine the upper limit. Consumer advocates and plaintiffs’ attorneys have charged that such tools routinely underestimate rebuilding costs, which in turn helps insurers keep premiums low and sales strong on the front end.

“If any state legislature were to pass a law” that made it the insurer’s responsibility to fully restore a fire-damaged home, said United Policyholders Executive Director Amy Bach, “the problem would be solved because to avoid litigation liability, insurers would figure out how to get it right.”

disaster-recovery reform bill recently introduced in the California state senate would require insurance companies to at least offer guaranteed replacement cost policies.

Colorado Insurance Commissioner Michael Conway said his state considered a similar measure but decided “it would destroy our market.” Most big insurers don’t even write guaranteed replacement cost policies anymore, he said, and aren’t interested in doing so, at least for Colorado customers.

Conway has other ideas for how to cut rates, for example, by getting insurance companies to credit homeowners for steps taken to reduce their risk of wildfire. In the meantime, he worries, “the next big hailstorm, we are going to see a wave of underinsurance there, too.”

Read the full story, including more about the risk tools insurers use.

The pace of disaster

43%
The percentage of the world's most costly fires since 1980 that have happened in the past 10 years.

The true cost

"Once I got to the bottom line, I saw it costs a lot more than my insurance is covering. And there are things I lost that you can’t put a price on."
Pauline Ching
Ching was one of the thousands who lost there homes to the Eaton Fire, and like many other homeowners, she's found that insurance isn't enough to cover the cost of rebuilding.

Data centers’ bill comes due

By Jennifer A Dlouhy and Naureen S Malik

President Donald Trump and the governors of several US Northeastern states agreed to push for an emergency wholesale electricity auction that would compel technology companies to effectively fund new power plants.

The unprecedented plan, set to be announced Friday morning, seeks to address growing tensions over how the nation can supply electricity to power-hungry data centers — seen as necessary to help win the global AI race — without simultaneously hiking utility bills for homes and businesses.

The Trump administration and some US governors plan to direct grid operator PJM Interconnection LLC to hold an auction for tech companies to bid on 15-year contracts for new electricity generation capacity.

An Amazon Web Services data center in Ashburn, Virginia. Photographer: Lexi Critchett/Bloomberg

If the auction proceeds as envisaged, tech giants would pay for power over the duration of the contracts, whether they use the electricity or not, providing secure revenues for years in a market notorious for price volatility and generator bankruptcies.

The auction would deliver contracts supporting the construction of some $15 billion worth of new power plants, said a White House official granted anonymity to detail the approach.

Still, representatives of PJM won’t be in attendance when the plan is laid out Friday.

“We don’t have a lot to say on this,” PJM spokesman Jeffrey Shields said by email. “We were not invited to the event they are apparently having tomorrow and we will not be there.”

The White House didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment.

Read the full story to find out what comes next.

A cheap, fast option

Trump vocally opposes green energy, but hindering renewable energy projects risks slowing the AI boom — and could exacerbate rising electricity prices, a slew of data suggests.

Renewable energy so far remains the fastest and cheapest option to add power to the grid. Nearly 80% of the planned power plant capacity in the pipeline is tied to renewable sources, according to filings with federal regulators and grid operators compiled by Cleanview.co, an energy data company.

Most solar, batteries and wind farms don’t require lengthy air-quality permits, and thus take less than five years to complete. Some are built within a year-and-a-half, according to BloombergNEF. The timeline for deploying natural gas plants is three-and-half to five years on average, and will likely grow longer due to supply chain backlogs, it said. Lead times for utility-scale gas-fired plants have stretched by 35%, or more than a year, since 2023, its analysis shows.

Ultimately, the mismatch between the speed at which companies are building data centers and that at which electricity generation is coming online bodes well for renewable energy. 

Read the full story here.

This week’s Zero

Ever since the Paris Agreement was signed in 2015, governments have been trying to nudge big financial players to move more money into climate solutions. The idea was to drive action through data disclosure and net-zero goals, but that hasn’t yielded the results they hoped for. Have they got their approach to climate finance wrong? Lisa Sachs, director of Columbia University’s Center on Sustainable Investment, makes the case this week on the Zero podcast.

Listen now, and subscribe on AppleSpotify or YouTube to get new episodes of Zero every Thursday.


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