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Different forecasts for warm spell

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Len

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Jul 27, 2024, 2:20:31 PM7/27/24
to Weather and Climate
The Met office are going for 28C max on Tues and Weds  here in Wembury.
Beeb more conservative with 25 and 24C.
We shall see.

Len
Wembury, SW Devon coast

Graham Easterling

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Jul 27, 2024, 4:24:44 PM7/27/24
to Weather and Climate
Beeb always seem more conservative. They are more like the 'old' MetO forecasts. I have to say the new forecasts are generally very accurate here as far as temperature is concerned.

20.6C max here today.

Graham
Penzance

Graham Easterling

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Jul 28, 2024, 11:01:35 AM7/28/24
to Weather and Climate
BBC now shows 21C for Penzance for Monday, MetO 24C.

As the wind is forecast to be  ENE-NE, rather than an onshore SE like today, I know which one I'd go for.

Graham
Penzance

On Saturday 27 July 2024 at 19:20:31 UTC+1 Len wrote:

Len

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Jul 31, 2024, 6:13:23 PM7/31/24
to Weather and Climate
So Met Office forecast was about right.
Actual Max Tuesday 27.0C, forecast 28C
Actual Max Wednesday 27.5C, forecsat 28C

Len
Wembury

Graham Easterling

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Aug 1, 2024, 4:57:40 AM8/1/24
to Weather and Climate
For Penzance - forecasts at the time of your original post

Tuesday  Actual Max 24.7C, forecast 25C
Wednesday Actual Max 26.4C, forecast 23C

The temperature forecasts have been very good lately. I think the discrepancy for yesterday was due to the expectation at the time of more of a N airflow over west Cornwall by daytime Wednesday. In practice, the gentle N breeze of Tuesday dropped out to give near calm conditions and no sea breeze yesterday.

The fresher air has now arrived, but still set to be a lovely warm day.

Prom 09:50

2024-08-01 09_55_57-Capture.png

Graham
Penzance
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