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Len
CAPE is just potential, but for the bulk of England it doesn't look like that potential will be put to any use!
Bruce.
Richard Dixon
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Jul 19, 2016, 5:18:40 AM7/19/16
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Is that a maximum of >3000 J/kg I can see over SW Manchester/Cheshire?
Richard
Len Wood
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Jul 19, 2016, 7:37:17 AM7/19/16
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Depends on vertical wind shear too Bruce Might need to work out some bulk Richardson numbers.
If they are around 50 or below, thunderstorms are more likely.
I see there is some activity off Brest atm.
Len Wembury.
Richard Dixon
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Jul 19, 2016, 7:41:25 AM7/19/16
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On Tuesday, 19 July 2016 12:37:17 UTC+1, Len Wood wrote:
I see there is some activity off Brest atm.
Interesting that none of the models appear to have got this area of showers...
Richard
xmetman
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Jul 19, 2016, 7:47:03 AM7/19/16
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It needs a trigger, and you would think the switch to fresher air over the SW overnight would be enough to do it, but there seems to be no related weather with this airmass change in the south of the country.