Storm Floris

[Freddie]

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/news-and-media/media-centre/weather-and-climate-news/2025/storm-floris-named-as-strong-winds-and-heavy-rain-forecast

[Graham Easterling]

It seems strange to me that an event only warranting a yellow warning becomes a named storm. I realise that being summer people are out and about camping, but the dangers of tents blowing away could be covered in the warning. In fact perhaps upgrade to an orange warning for that reason, but a named storm for gusts of 60-70 on exposed coasts in NW Scotland? 

Graham

Penzance

On Friday, 1 August 2025 at 14:29:32 UTC+1 Freddie wrote:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/news-and-media/media-centre/weather-and-climate-news/2025/storm-floris-named-as-strong-winds-and-heavy-rain-forecast

[Freddie]

It's still a long way off, Graham, so confidence in precise details - particularly specific locations - is still low.  The yellow and naming is a heads-up.  There will definitely be an amber warning unless something drastically changes in the forecast - which is unlikely as confidence in the development of the feature is high (in terms of broad track and depth).

[Graham Easterling]

What impresses me is the fact the models were predicting it some days ago. In fact, if my memory serves me correctly, GFS was the first to predict a deep depression crossing NW Scotland about a week ago now.

I still think that the MetO grid system for yellow/amber/red says it all and named storms should be kept (if you must have them) for something which has a high probabilty of something exceptional. The naming at this stage rather conflicts with the level of warning based on the grid system, which is still yellow

Mind you. I'd be packing up my tent tomorrow if I was camping in the distant north!

Graham

[Ashley haworth-roberts]

I think, with the long lead-in about a likely very intense depression, the forecasters were always expecting something unusually deep for August even if the exact track was unclear. Given that Monday is the late summer bank  holiday in Scotland, and given that as confidence grew and narrower zone amber warning appeared probable (issued today) I think the Met Office decided on Friday (when weekend hikers and mountaineers etc would pay greater attention) that they should declare it to be Floris (perhaps a little risky that early but it looks to have paid off). Winds in Glasgow and to the north and west, possibly exceeding 85 mph in exposure, look dangerous with trees in full leaf and perhaps some 'funnelling' along the central belt.