Good clue. Thanks.
2017/12/14 14:35:17 ossec-analysisd: CRITICAL: (1107): Could not create directory '/logs/archives/2017/Dec' due to [(13)-(Permission denied)].
And then after changing ownership to ossec:ossec there:
2017/12/15 10:11:06 ossec-analysisd: CRITICAL: (1107): Could not create directory '/logs/alerts/2017/Dec' due to [(13)-(Permission denied)].
And then after fixing that we're good.
Minor thing, but the "Migrating from OSSEC" page might mention checking perms in these locations. Somewhere in the migration the user that OSSEC had been running as, "1001," got removed from the system so copying over the prior files from ossec_backup brought in the now-obsolete ownership. At least, OSSEC had been happily running before with user and group as "1001," and neither is in /etc/passwd or /etc/group now.
Best,
Whit