Tropical Storm Boost

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The storm, known as Andres, was moving northwest and producing 45 mph winds on Sunday. Those winds were expected to diminish to 35 mph on Monday, then devolve further, turning the system into a tropical depression, possibly by early Tuesday.

Oswant said it does not appear that Andres will guide significant amounts of moisture to Southern California, which is badly in need of rain. And the overall weather in San Diego County will stay fairly stable all week.

The PLOTEC consortium was launched by seven partners across Austria, Italy, Portugal, Spain and the United Kingdom, specialising in OTEC, marine renewable energies, research and infrastructure, plastic composites engineering, renewable materials, policy, economics and environmental aspects and computational modelling tools.

Namely, partners in the project are Global OTEC, Cleantech Engineering Limited, WavEC Offshore Renewables, The Oceanic Platform of the Canary Islands PLOCAN, Quality Culture, Agru Kunststofftechnik Gesellschaft m.b.H., and University of Plymouth School of Engineering, Computing and Mathematics.

The main goal of the project is to design and simulate an OTEC platform capable of withstanding the extreme weather effects of tropical oceans, with a viable cost model, validated by a scaled demonstration of a structure.

50 million island people across the tropics are depending on us to build appropriate solutions which can provide clean, affordable, baseload power within the range of circumstances they experience. To effectively scale OTEC in line with our ambitions, we must develop a credible track record in operating and surviving in tropical storm zones, said Dan Grech, Global OTEC Founder and CEO.

Jos Joaqun Hernndez Brito, PLOCAN CEO, commented: Our civilisation faces an existential challenge to maintain the sustainable environmental conditions that enable our development and evolution.

Some of the blame falls on a wily tropical storm from 2023 that evaded official predictions, spoiling the average track error rate so that this season's notorious cone of uncertainty will bulge in some places and remain virtually unchanged in others.

With the June 1 official start date of hurricane season coming soon, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is looking to a new weather prediction model called the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System, or HAFS, to boost track and intensity forecasts.

HAFS, which uses weather and climate supercomputers installed in 2022, ran side-by-side existing hurricane models last year. It is expected to supplant current forecast models by the end of the 2024 hurricane season.

Pieces of code that go into computer models representing characteristics of the atmosphere, such as temperature, moisture and winds, have gotten better. Computers are running at higher resolutions. And more sophisticated satellites circle the Earth beaming down images so clear, forecasters see towering cloud tops and fields of Saharan dust like never before.

"One thing we are trying to figure out is is this a temporary pause in improvements until we get a next wave of technology or is it something more severe," Cangialosi said about the plateau in track forecasts. "My hunch is it's more temporary."

The size of the hurricane forecast cone is adjusted each year before June 1 based on the error rates of the previous five seasons, so this year's cone builds on forecasts made between 2019 and 2023. The cone, which covers days 1 through 5 of a forecast, is made up of circles sized so that 66% of the time the center of the storm has stayed inside that area.

A smaller forecast track cone means less uncertainty on where a tropical cyclone is headed but notably does not forecast impacts outside of the cone, such as storm surge, flooding rains and damaging winds that can occur in surrounding areas.

One storm that dinged track forecast accuracy last year was the mostly unknown Tropical Storm Philippe, whose lazy meander west of the Leeward Islands was tracked for 14 days by the NHC beginning in late September.

Unrelenting wind shear but incredibly warm water warred with each other on whether to shred the storm to bits or build it up to hurricane status. Philippe acted erratically in slack steering winds, turning north, stalling, drifting south, and then drenching Barbuda before pushing out to sea.

The 2024 hurricane season is forecast to be one of the most active on record with most predictions calling for more than 20 named storms. To help our communities get prepared, The Palm Beach Post is hosting a forum on storm readiness Wednesday, June 5, from 6:15 to 8:30 p.m. at Palm Beach State College's Lake Worth Beach campus. To attend, please scan the QR Code to register or click this link.

Kimberly Miller is a journalist for The Palm Beach Post, part of the USA Today Network of Florida. She covers real estate and how growth affects South Florida's environment. Subscribe to The Dirt for a weekly real estate roundup. If you have news tips, please send them to kmi...@pbpost.com. Help support our local journalism, subscribe today.

DeSantis expanded an executive order Tuesday declaring a state of emergency to include several counties from the Northeast Florida area, while also removing Franklin County from the list. Miami-Dade, DeSoto, and Hardee counties are also no longer considered under a state of emergency.

Earlier Tuesday, DeSantis placed Florida on a Level One readiness alert preparing for the storms arrival, meaning full-scale activation of state and local emergency response agencies and round-the-clock staffing of the Emergency Operations Center in Tallahassee.

DeSantis described a number of weather advisories that Floridians should be aware of depending on their location in the state, such as hurricane warnings, tropical storm warnings, tornado watch, and flash flood risks.

Florida Phoenix is part of States Newsroom, a nonprofit news network supported by grants and a coalition of donors as a 501c(3) public charity. Florida Phoenix maintains editorial independence. Contact Editor Michael Moline for questions: in...@floridaphoenix.com. Follow Florida Phoenix on Facebook and X.

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Nearly six years ago, Hurricane Matthew took an unexpected turn, causing unprecedented flooding in the Outer Banks. Local residents, particularly those with economic challenges, will be better prepared for future storms and disaster-recovery professionals will receive additional training thanks to a $250,000 gift from Dominion Energy to Recover Hampton Roads, an Old Dominion University initiative.

"Old Dominion greatly appreciates Dominion Energy's contribution to our ongoing efforts to provide our region and the world with the tools to rebuild after a life-altering disaster," said President Brian O. Hemphill, Ph.D. "Dominion Energy has made significant investments in offshore wind and other clean energy. And the gift being announced today represents a further commitment to making Coastal Virginia a more resilient place to learn, live and work."

Dominion's gift will help create an online portal that will provide informational resources to the public as well as educational resources to credential disaster-recovery practitioners. Both programs will seek to engage members of vulnerable communities at particular risk when tropical storms hit coastal areas.

The portal will feature "blue skies" informational modules to help residents of Coastal Virginia and other at-risk coastal areas around the country navigate the difficult process of recovering from a disaster, such as a flood or tropical storm. These short modules will provide state-of-the-art guidance for best practices as well as introduce new technologies for resilient living as those become available. The guidance will aid those with few personal and social resources and limited ability to obtain federal and nonprofit assistance to prepare for or recover from natural disasters.

Disaster-recovery professionals - including those in emergency management, planning, social work and construction - as well as volunteers will benefit from noncredit training modules, linked to stackable badges that can become national models for resilience credentialing. These credentials will be targeted to enhance the diversity of professional and volunteer resilience and emergency-response workforces.

The Recover Hampton Roads project was established in 2020 with a five-year, $500,000 grant from the Hampton Roads Community Foundation. It is part of Old Dominion's Institute for Coastal Adaptation and Resilience, run by Jessica Whitehead, Ph.D., the Joan P. Brock Endowed Executive Director.

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