ANAMBRA-2010: Final Results & Analysis for Anambra-2010 Governorship Election from Form EC8D

[Mobolaji ALUKO]

 

February 8, 2010 

 

Dear All:

The February 6 governorship elections in Anambra State have come - but have not gone yet.

I had two favored candidates that were declared first and second; the more favored that was declared to have  lost;  and my party that was declared to have lost. 

The devil is in the details - which I provide below.  It is a mixed bag.

From all indications, the elections were free to the extent that:

1.  those who went to the polls as registered voters and found their names on the voters' register in their polling units were able to vote.  [If we assume that 1.845 million is the correct number of registered voters, then 301,232 total votes amounts to only 16.3% of the registered voters.]

2.  those who voted had their votes counted, announced and collated properly.

3.  an insignificant number of voters were physically prevented from attempting to vote or actually voting.

The elections were not fair to the extent that:

1.  a significant number (apparently a maximum as high as 83.7%) could not vote if they tried or wanted to because their names were not on the register.

2.  quite a number of the polls were not open from 10 am to 4 pm as required, with some opening as late as 2 pm.

The elections were credible to the extent that:

1.  a winner with the highest number of votes with votes above 25% in 2/3rds of the states has been properly declared - and that is incumbent Peter Obi, [Congratulations!]

2.  for this writer, neither PDP's Chukwuma Soludo or PDP-surrogate Andy Uba won.  [Under normal circumstances, PDP should not be contesting any elections for the next five years, with the way Nigeria is right now.]

The elections were not credible to the extent that:

1.  the declared winner got only 34.4% of the recorded votes and 5.3% of the registered voters. 

2.  the voters' register was thoroughly messed up by INEC.

3.  Dr. Maurice Iwu is incredibly still in charge of INEC, with a currently illegal composition (only 3 National Commissioners instead of 12) and without quorum (which should be 5, but there are only four total INEC commissioners.)

And there you have it.  We shall see.

 

Bolaji Aluko

Buried in 30 inches of snow in Burtonsville, MD

Waiting for 6 more inches

 

____________________________________________________________________________________

 

                                          Map of Anambra State

      (Showing LGAs and Senatorial Districts (in color code))

 

                                        

SUMMARY of SUMMARIES OF RESULTS OF GUBERNATORIAL ELECTIONS

 

1.  Peter Obi [97,843 votes (34.4% of total votes); 13 LGAs (won): Aguata (6.4% of his total votes, 33.3% of Aguata votes), Anambra West (3.1%, 26.3%), from Anaocha (15.0%, 74.6%), Awka North, (3.8%, 31.9%), Awka South (6.2%, 38.3%), Ekwusigo  (4.1%, 38.2%), Ihiala (6.1%, 37.4%), Njikoka (5.6%, 41.9%), Ogbaru (5.4%, 48.8), Onitsha North (6.7%, 53.2%), Onitsha South (10.2%, 58.6%), Orumba North (6.4%, 40.1%), Orumba South (2.6%, 28.5%)]             
2. Chris Ngige [60,240 votes (21.2%); 4 LGAs won: Dunukofia (4.7%, 33.0%), Idemili North (13.2%, 70.9%), from Idemili South (15.0%, 54.7%); Nnewi North (6.6%, 36.4%)]
3. Chukwuma Soludo [59,355 votes (20.9%); 2 LGAs won: Anambra East (4.6%, 37.7%), Oyi (7.4%, 38.5%]; Soludo is from Aguata LG.
4. Andy Uba [26,106 votes (9.2%); 1 LGA won: Ayamelum (24.1%, 28.9%)]; Uba is from Aguata LG
5. Nicholas Ukachukwu [20,777 votes (7.3%); 1 LGA won: from Nnewi South (26.8%, 41.5%)]
6. Uche Ekwunife [9,595 votes (3.4%), zero LGAs won]; Ekwunife is from Anaocha LG
7. 19 Other Candidates [10,631 votes (3.7%); zero LGAs won]

25 Candidates total [284,547 total votes, 21 LGAs]

 

DETAILS OF RESULTS

 

LGA	LGA NAME	Population (2006 Census)         A	TOTAL No. of Registered Voters (initial)     B	TOTAL No. of Registered Voters (final)     C	C/A %    D		Peter Obi   APGA       E	Chris Ngige   AC       F	Charles Soludo   PDP       G	Andy Uba   LP       H	Nicholas Ukacukwu   HDP       I	Uche Ekwunife   PPA       J	K=    E+F+G+H+I+J		Total Votes recorded         L	Total Votes Rejected         M	Total Votes           N	Winner	% Recorded Votes
1	Aguata	369,972	89,500	94,557	25.6		6235	1881	5269	3395	487	346	17613		18721	1747	20468	Obi	33.3
2	Ayamelum	158,152	84,454	105,959	67.0		4322	2433	5756	6301	1395	1098	21305		21766	999	22765	Uba	28.9
3	Anambra East	152,149	29,239	44,500	29.2		1889	754	2720	390	684	299	6736		7212	593	7805	Soludo	37.7
4	Anambra West	167,303	82,138	87,687	52.4		2941	1281	2716	1962	1020	963	10883		11193	674	11867	Obi	26.3
5	Anaocha	284,215	96,597	104,233	36.7		14693	1646	1614	462	229	561	19205		19693	919	20612	Obi	74.6
6	Awka North	112,192	84,727	99,003	88.2		3716	1454	2086	1193	1713	1132	11294		11652	557	12209	Obi	31.9
7	Awka South	189,654	76,519	78,188	41.2		6082	3718	3094	1588	354	312	15148		15877	967	16844	Obi	38.3
8	Dunukofia	96,517	55,101	58,550	60.7		1319	2823	2257	632	754	260	8045		8547	481	9028	Ngige	33.0
9	Ekwusigo	158,429	57,469	73,562	46.4		4030	2454	2912	649	1207	503	11755		12304	713	13017	Obi	32.8
10	Idemili North	431,005	96,366	105,854	24.6		1181	7936	1036	398	166	159	10876		11188	590	11778	Ngige	70.9
11	Idemili South	206,816	77,942	110,773	53.6		2049	9043	2520	760	935	671	15978		16533	688	17221	Ngige	54.7
12	Ihiala	302,277	78,237	83,348	27.6		5996	1803	4945	523	1458	461	15186		16029	1013	17042	Obi	37.4
13	Njikoka	148,394	79,417	84,910	57.2		5445	2931	1816	1060	353	754	12359		12985	768	13753	Obi	41.9
14	Nnewi North	155,443	104,107	113,013	72.7		3234	3970	2418	227	562	182	10593		10921	535	11456	Ngige	36.4
15	Nnewi South	233,362	54,925	65,384	28.0		2061	2469	1994	490	5577	246	12837		13451	632	14083	Ukachukwu	41.5
16	Ogbaru	223,317	106,414	113,713	50.9		5280	1870	1806	862	487	197	10502		10830	600	11430	Obi	48.8
17	Onitsha North	125,918	80,739	83,665	66.4		6602	2459	2125	477	412	104	12179		12408	1093	13501	Obi	53.2
18	Onitsha South	137,191	95,084	97,228	70.9		10017	3511	1624	860	543	206	16761		17089	884	17973	Obi	58.6
19	Orumba North	172,773	75,826	88,278	51.1		6298	1270	4371	2059	696	445	15139		15696	864	16560	Obi	40.1
20	Orumba South	184,548	64,216	67,935	36.8		2589	1649	1902	1226	921	326	8613		9099	550	9649	Obi	28.5
21	Oyi	168,201	73,679	84,475	50.2		1864	2885	4374	592	824	370	10909		11353	818	12171	Soludo	38.5
	TOTAL	4,177,828	1,642,696	1,844,815	44.1		97843	60240	59355	26106	20777	9595	273916		284547	16685	301232	Obi	34.4