STAR INCONCLUSIVITY: Anambra Gubernatorial Results in Some Details

[Mobolaji Aluko]

STAR INCONCLUSIVITY: Anambra Gubernatorial Results in Some Details

My People:

The long-awaited conduct of this Anambra Gubernatorial Election  on Saturday November 16, 2013, was tawdry, even by INEC's admission. Of the 1,770,125 registered voters, only 451,826  or 25.53% were accredited, and of which 421,052 or 23.79% of the registered voters were valid (16,544 rejected).  However, due to wide-spread irregularities, the polling in 208 Polling Units spread over 14 Local Governments with a total registered voters of 113,113 were cancelled, and now have to go to Supplementary Elections at a date uncertain.

However, the results declared so far are as follows:

 - Obiano of APGA: 174,710 (won in 16 LGs), which is 9.87% of registered voters, and 38.67% of the accredited voters.

 - Nwoye of PDP: 94,956 (2 LGs)

 - Ngige of APC: 92,300 (2 LGs)

 - Ubah of LP: 37,446 (1 LG)

- Ezeemo of PPA: 5,096 (no LG)

Therefore, both Nwoye and Ngige can still overtake Obiano in terms of total voters if all the 113,113 were added to their votes, albeit not in the LGs count.  Consequently, the polling is inconclusive, and, according to INEC, there is need for supplementary polling at a date yet to be announced.

However, INEC cannot and should not, as it has done prematurely and mistakenly,  announce a run-off between just Obiano and Nwoye, since Ngige is still very much mathematically in the electoral mix.

And there you have it.....however way you dice it, it was a very bad day at the office for INEC in Anambra on Saturday.

Bolaji Aluko

Shaking his head

___________________________________________________________

Anambra Gubernatorial Results

Anambra State  Code 04      State Pollng Units Total  = 4608      State Polling Points Total     = 6581

State Registration Points Total = 326

Total Number of Local Governments = 21

No of Local Governments with Some Cancellations = 14   

Total Number of Cancelled Polling Units = 208

Total Number of Votes Cancelled = 113,113

				Party Number		1	2	3	4	5
S/N	NAME OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREA	CODE NO	NO OF REGD VOTERS	NO ACCRDTD VOTERS	% ACCRD of REGD	APC	APGA	LP	PDP	PPA	Total Valid Votes	Total Rejected Votes	LGA TOTAL	% VOTED
	Candidates Name ====>					Ngige	Obiano	Ubah	Nwoye	Ezeemo				to ACCRDTD
1	AGUATA	OO1	100,083	24,883	24.86	5,275	10,180	1,129	4,275	1,574	22,433	752	23,185	93.18
2	AYAMELUM	OO2	57,196	19,726	34.49	1,827	9,121	624	5,681	31	17,284	596	17,880	90.64
3	ANAMBRA EAST	OO3	60,818	25,649	42.17	1,418	15,300	511	5,579	148	22,956	922	23,878	93.10
4	ANAMBRA WEST	OO4	42,060	14,222	33.81	2,478	5,128	321	3,966	101	11,994	583	12,577	88.43
5	ANAOCHA	OO5	76,528	22,869	29.88	3,174	14,563	733	2,948	138	21,556	418	21,974	96.09
6	AWKA NORTH	OO6	44,159	13,094	29.65	1,712	5,385	474	3,943	122	11,636	644	12,280	93.78
7	AWKA SOUTH	OO7	118,117	26,755	22.65	6,596	9,206	1,648	5,689	208	23,347	1,425	24,772	92.59
8	DUNUKOFIA	OO8	45,332	14,933	32.94	3,522	3,670	1,236	4,807	77	13,312	399	13,711	91.82
9	EKWUSIGO	OO9	59,014	17,583	29.79	2,958	6,815	1,692	4,426	124	16,015	671	16,686	94.90
10	IDEMILI NORTH	O1O	173,832	13,942	8.02	7,135	2,795	643	1,462	84	12,119	459	12,578	90.22
11	IDEMILI SOUTH	O11	84,019	20,108	23.93	9,539	3,899	1,021	3,786	183	18,428	585	19,013	94.55
12	IHALA	O12	111,531	25,138	22.54	4,069	10,067	1,854	5,517	533	22,040	1,378	23,418	93.16
13	NJIKOKA	O13	70,519	23,902	33.89	4,585	10,753	754	5,630	120	21,842	916	22,758	95.21
14	NNEWI NORTH	O14	112,358	31,848	28.35	3,076	4,846	18,014	1,942	269	28,147	1,085	29,232	91.79
15	NNEWI SOUTH	O15	57,093	18,331	32.11	2,676	8,145	2,214	3,031	257	16,323	529	16,852	91.93
16	OGBARU	O16	133,717	30,116	22.52	7,687	11,716	954	6,114	264	26,735	1,146	27,881	92.58
17	ONITSHA NORTH	O17	117,332	27,369	23.33	7,616	10,842	776	4,947	107	24,288	1,032	25,320	92.51
18	ONITSHA SOUTH	O18	123,833	23,665	19.11	7,094	9,786	716	3,520	273	21,389	740	22,129	93.51
19	ORUMBA NORTH	O19	61,325	19,312	31.49	3,343	9,161	661	4,567	163	17,895	675	18,570	96.16
20	ORUMBA SOUTH	O2O	46,100	16,449	35.68	3,147	6,338	1,265	4,003	221	14,974	571	15,545	94.50
21	OYI	O21	75,159	21,932	29.18	3,373	6,994	206	9,123	99	19,795	1,018	20,813	94.90
	STATE TOTAL		1,770,125	451,826	25.53	92,300	174,710	37,446	94,956	5,096	404,508	16,544	421,052	93.19
	% of REGISTERED VOTERS					5.21	9.87	2.12	5.36	0.29	22.85	0.93	23.79
	% of ACCREDITED VOTERS					20.43	38.67	8.29	21.02	1.13	89.53	3.66	93.19

SUPPLEMENTARY ELECTION WOES

No.   of PUs to be re-run	No.  of Voters Involved	LG
1	310	AGUATA
3	1247	AYAMELUM
1	250	ANAMBRA EAST
6	2000	ANAMBRA WEST
1	276	ANAOCHA
2	1356	AWKA NORTH
1	249	AWKA SOUTH
0	0	DUNUKOFIA
3	884	EKWUSIGO
160	89997	IDEMILI NORTH
2	800	IDEMILI SOUTH
0	0	IHALA
0	0	NJIKOKA
0	0	NNEWI NORTH
0	0	NNEWI SOUTH
0	0	OGBARU
1	484	ONITSHA NORTH
17	12299	ONITSHA SOUTH
4	588	ORUMBA NORTH
0	0	ORUMBA SOUTH
4	1202	OYI
206	111,942	(208? 113,113?)

_________________________________________________________________

Ngige,Obiano, Ubah and Nwoye

CALL FOR CANCELLATION OF ANAMBRA STATE

GOVERNORSHIP ELECTION

         

We, Senator Dr. Chris Nwabueze Ngige, Dr Patrick Ifeanyi Ubah and Comrade Tony Nwoye, candidates of All Progressives Congress (APC), Labour Party (LP) and Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) respectively, hereby call for the total cancellation of Anambra State Governorship Election held on the 16th Nov. 2013.

We are making this clarion call for total cancellation of the election because it was marred by gross irregularities emanating from:-

1.    Gross manipulation of the Voters Register leading to disenfranchisement of thousands of innocent voters

2.    Illegal removal of result sheets, doctoring of the said result sheets and massive removal of ballot booklet and thumb – printing of the said ballot papers

3.    Harassment and intimidation of Polling Agents and voters by security officials and party thugs

4.    Use of Voters Registers in some Local Government Councils different from the Voters Registers made available to candidates

5.    Late arrival of electoral materials

6.    Manufacturing of results in many polling units where no voting took place

We are of the candid view that the sham election does not reflect the wishes and aspirations of Anambra voters.

Our call for the cancellation of this election is reinforced by the public admission by Professor Attahiru Jega, the INEC chairman that some INEC staff sabotaged the conduct of the Election.

This call for the cancellation of the Election would have been unnecessary if INEC had postponed the conduct of the election after becoming aware of the sabotage of the election by INEC officials

Signed

 

…………………………………………..

Sen. Dr.Chris N. Ngige (APC)

 

…………………………………………..

Dr. Patrick Ifeanyi Ubah (LP)

 

…………………………………………..

Comrade Tony Nwoye (PDP)

17TH NOV. 2013

_____________________________________________________________

[Mobolaji Aluko]

HEN-USA:

Sorry...that is precisely the problem.  It is eyes needed here, not ears.

Moving on.....

Ngige won in two local governments (Idemili North and South), Nwoye also won in two (Dunukofia and Oyi), and Uba won in Nnewi North.  If you add 113,113 

to either Ngige's vote or Nwoye's vote, they each overtake Obiano in TOTAL VOTES but not in LG number of wins.

The Electoral Act requires you to do both in the first round: win BOTH total votes AND LG votes (with some riders).  Otherwise, there must be some run-off

between the two MOST prospective candidates. In this instance, there is little to choose between Nwoye and Ngige in terms of votes, so neither of them

can really be disqualified in terms of a run-off.

QUOTE 

Section 179 of 1999 Nigerian Constitution

179. (1) A candidate for an election to the office of Governor of a State 

 shall be deemed to have been duly elected to such office where, being the 

 only candidate nominated for the election- 

 (a) he has a majority of YES votes over NO votes cast at the election; 

 and 

 (b) he has not less than one-quarter of the votes cast at the election 

 in each of at least two-thirds of all the local government areas in 

 the State, 

 but where the only candidate fails to be elected in accordance with 

 this subsection, then there shall be fresh nominations. 

 (2) A candidate for an election to the office of Governor of a State shall 

 be deemed to have been duly elected where, there being two or more 

 candidates - 

 (a) he has the highest number of votes cast at the election; and 

 (b) he has not less than one-quarter of all the votes cast in each of 

 at least two-thirds of all the local government areas in the State. 

 (3) In default of a candidate duly elected in accordance with subsection

(2) of this section there shall be a second election in accordance with 

 subsection (4) of this section at which the only candidates shall be - 

 (a) the candidate who secured the highest number of votes cast at the 

 election; and 

 (b) one among the remaining candidates who secured a majority of votes 

 in the highest number of local government areas in the State, so 

 however that where there are more than one candidate with a majority 

 of votes in the highest number of local government areas, the 

 candidate among them with the next highest total of votes cast at the 

 election shall be the second candidate. 

 (4) In default of a candidate duly elected under subsection (2) of this 

 section, the Independent National Electoral Commission shall within seven 

 days of the result of the election held under that subsection, arrange for 

 an election between the two candidates and a candidate at such election 

 shall be deemed to have been duly elected to the office of Governor of a 

 State if - 

 (a) he has a majority of the votes cast at the election; and 

 (b) he has not less than one-quarter of the votes cast at the election 

 in each of at least two-thirds of all the local government areas in 

 the State. 

 (5) In default of a candidate duly elected under subsection (4) of this 

 section, the Independent National Electoral Commission shall within seven 

 days of the result of the election held under that subsection, arrange for 

 another election between the two candidates to which that sub-paragraph 

 relates and a candidate at such election shall be deemed to have been duly 

 elected to the office of governor of a State if he has a majority of the 

 votes cast at the election.

UNQUOTE

And there you have it.....it is a fine mess that we have in our hands, Ndi-Anambra!

Bolaji Aluko

On Mon, Nov 18, 2013 at 5:55 PM, HEN-USA <godwi...@yahoo.com> wrote:

I do not see the mathematics that puts Ngige in the running with just 1 LGA win. Is the number of LGA won not part of the calculus here? What percent of LGA counts must state governors win to be victorious? I am all ears.

 

HEN-USA

We Solve Productivity Problems

http://www.citylightgroup.com/

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[Segun Ogungbemi]

Thanks for the update. The issue at hand, I believe,  is not the unpreparedness of INEC but the corrupt system that keeps manifesting itself in the polity. 

We still have a long way to go if democracy is to flourish in this country. INEC must brace up regardless the challenges. No challenges are insurmountable. 

The general elections in 2015 must not be what had taken place in Anambra. The leadership of INEC must pull up their straps and redouble their efforts so that the rest of the world will not jeer at us. 

Segun Ogungbemi. 

Sent from my iPhone

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[Amiel Modupe Fagbulu]

Sent from my iPad

[Yinka Banwo]

Most of the Officers in INEC are agents of  political parties, strategically planted over the years to do the bidding of the party in power either at the state/federal levels. Unless these guys are identified and rooted
out of  office, Nigeria may never witness any free and fair elections, even if you have an Angel as INEC Boss. 

[Ibukunolu Alao Babajide (IBK)]

Maybe the solution is for INEC in one state to go and conduct elections in another state and never in its own state!

Just a thought.

Cheers.

IBK

Sent on BlackBerry wireless

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From: Yinka Banwo <yob...@yahoo.co.uk>

Sender: usaafric...@googlegroups.com

Date: Tue, 19 Nov 2013 01:53:03 +0000 (GMT)

To: usaafric...@googlegroups.com<usaafric...@googlegroups.com>

ReplyTo: usaafric...@googlegroups.com

[Bola Aina]

Suspicion has become the order of the day in our polity, based on our collective previous experiences. However, with the figure above, whatever happen to Nwoye happen to Ngige. It will amount to double standard to pick Nwoye and drop Ngige for possible run-off election. The problem still boils down to the mode of appointment of the Commission members. Each set of the  political appointees end up recruiting the candidates of their god-father that made the appointment possible. The idea of INEC staff of other states conducting an election in a state is not a bad idea, I think that was part of what made the 2011 Election better than others. The ECOMOG approach.

[Anunoby, Ogugua]

Many Nigerians are sick and tired of the refrain that the "system is corrupt". Systems including electoral systems are neither self-generated nor self-generating. They are the constructions or contraptions of critical persons. The do not exist and function outside the intent and control of critical persons- especially their operators. Each country's system is conceived, designed, and operated (controlled and managed) by critical persons.  Is it therefore the system or critical persons that is/are corrupt? If these persons are corrupt, the system will function as it is conceived, designed, and operated to do. Let the people and not the system be blamed. If a system is to change, its critical persons must change first. Corrupt systems are choices. Nigeria can choose different systems than she has so far. Whether or not she will is the question.

 

oa

 

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From: usaafric...@googlegroups.com [usaafric...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Segun Ogungbemi [segun...@gmail.com]
Sent: Monday, November 18, 2013 5:40 PM
To: usaafric...@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: USA Africa Dialogue Series - STAR INCONCLUSIVITY: Anambra Gubernatorial Results in Some Details

[Adediran Bepo]

Hi,

It seems I am not receiving posts from this listserve as before, since I sent the post on Iyayi's death and ASUU Strike. Can someone help out with the cause of this, please. I feel I'm missing out on interesting threads as my own recent posts also come into my spam folder whenever it feels like. I don't know if they get to Prof. Falola.

Abeg, before I shout o!

SOS!

'Diran

Shaking his head

 

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