On 12/07/2022 20:06, Ian Jackson wrote:
> In message <tajfuj$20oc3$
1...@dont-email.me>, Java Jive
> <ja...@evij.com.invalid> writes
>
>
>
>>
>> To blame Remainers for the failure of Brexshit is to blame the
>> messenger for the message, and is the surest sign yet that Brexshit is
>> just another irrational political religion.
>>
>
> What I can't understand is how have Remainers been able to make Brexit
> go badly?
The referendum was won by those who wanted Brexit, and if Parliament had
got behind the result, a decent severance would have been possible.
However, Cameron promised to deliver the result of the Referendum
whatever it was, and resigned instead as soon as he found out that the
outcome was not the "Remain" that he expected, and his successor was a
Remainer too. The Remainers had the majority in Parliament, and that
fact encouraged the EU's negotiators to foil attempts to undermine their
control. Thus the Remainers encouraged the EU to be awkward, and they
could block in Parliament the Brexit legislation that the public thought
they would get after winning the referendum. Teresa May was a remainer
tasked with the job of delivering Brexit and she negotiated with an EU
that wanted to punish Britain for daring to want to leave, and so
between them they cobbled together something that the press were
describing as Brexit In Name Only because it didn't break the EU ties,
and they blocked that four times too, and they blocked the "No Deal"
last resort. Effectively they adopted a "The answer is No, whatever the
question" attitude to retain the status quo for as long as possible.
That was the driver for the outcome that Brexit would go badly.
After Teresa May ran out of options and resigned, the leadership contest
was won by Boris, and he managed to get a waiver from Cameron's Fixed
Term Parliament Act by using his right as a newly appointed Prime
Minister to threaten asking the Queen to dissolve Parliament and order a
General Election unless he was given permission by Parliament to call a
General Election.
By claiming he had an "oven ready" deal he managed to get a large
majority at the General Election that followed. However, being Boris
his oven ready deal was an exaggeration because negotiating a very
different deal would have taken years, so what he had was just May's
BRINO, with an added concession that the EU and the UK could mutually
agree alterations to it. The EU has refused to amend it at all so no
changes could be agreed. That is why Northern Ireland is nominally part
of the UK but it remains in the EU Customs Union.
>
> The process of Brexit has been (and still is being) handled entirely by
> the Government, which owes its 2019, 80-seat majority to its firmly
> pro-Brexit manifesto. While the Remainers can grumble and criticise till
> they're all blue in the face, they have little or no control over what
> is happening.
What was actually needed was a Parliament with the guts to follow up
Teresa May's mantra that "No Deal is better than a bad deal" and vote
for a No Deal. Britain buys more from the EU than the EU buys from us
so it would have hurt the EU's budget far more than it would have
damaged ours. Faced with that reality the EU would then be trying to
salvage something from the wreckage rather that remaining in the driving
seat. But neither the Remainers in the other parties nor sufficient of
the newly elected Conservatives were prepared to vote for a No Deal, and
that effectively killed some of the benefits that Brexit could have
delivered.
Some benefits have been delivered. Trade Deals have been made with other
countries which would never have been possible under EU rules, and if
the coronavirus pandemic hadn't interfered with world trade that would
have brought a Brexit dividend in cheaper goods in the shops by now. It
was the pandemic and Russia's invasion of Ukraine that wrecked that
ideal, not Brexit itself.
The other benefit is that Britain had a Covid vaccine available in bulk
and was delivering it to the UK population long before the EU had a
vaccination policy; and with their "Punish Britain" attitude they
claimed that the Astra Zeneca vaccine was unusable and by buying it and
then refusing to use it they condemned many of their citizens to an
avoidable Covid death, while removing from the market the available
stocks that could have been supplied to poorer countries and so
increased their death rates too.
There are other complications remaining from the half in and half out
situation we are currently in, but the above will give you a flavour of
how we are where we are, and how different it might have been if
Parliament had got wholly behind the referendum decision.
Jim