Talking About China's Politics Next Year at the Winter Solstice -- There Will be Drama in the Chaos (Wei Jingsheng) | 冬至谈明年中国政治 -- 乱中有戏 (魏京生)
3 views
Skip to first unread message
Wei Jingsheng Foundation
Dec 24, 2024, 4:47:47 PM12/24/24
to tw...@googlegroups.com
Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1706-W1235
魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号：A1706-W1235
Release Date: December 23, 2024
发布日：2024年12月23日
Title: Talking About China's Politics Next Year at the Winter Solstice -- There Will be Drama in the Chaos (Wei Jingsheng)
标题：冬至谈明年中国政治 -- 乱中有戏 (魏京生)
Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)
此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）
Note: Please use "Simplified Chinese (GB2312)" encoding to view the Chinese parts of this release. If this mail does not display properly in your email program, please send your request for special delivery to us or visit:
http://www.weijingsheng.org/report/report2024/report2024-12/WeiJS241223on2025ChinesePoliticsA1706-W1235.htm which contains identical information.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Talking About China's Politics Next Year at the Winter Solstice -- There Will be Drama in the Chaos
-- Wei Jingsheng
In ancient times in China, the unified weights and measures were measured in the trading companies in the suburbs of the capital every winter solstice, where the standard was the physical gavel in the hands of the county magistrate, which had a fixed weight and length. At the temperature of the winter solstice, the weight of one Chinese liter of water was one Chinese pound, which was more than 3,000 years earlier than the modern weights and measures invented by Europeans and more than 1,000 years earlier than Emperor Qin Shihuang of the Qin Dynasty. Ancient politics was not that complicated. This weight and measure represented authority and the legitimacy of politics -- credibility and trust.
The current politics of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) lacks this legitimacy. It has no credibility and cannot be trusted. All policies are like a pulling drawer back and forward: What is said does not count, and what counts is not told. The central government deceives the local government, and the local government deceives the people. Small officials deceive big officials, and big officials deceive the emperor. The media and statistics are the biggest liars in the world. How long can this kind of politics be maintained? It will gradually move towards chaos. Now it has already reached a peak of chaos, with a rebellion or a coup about to happen that has been predicted by everyone.
So what is the rule of law that everyone often talks about? It is authority. What is authority? It is credibility. If politics has no credibility and no rule of law, where does authority come from? The theory of the Communist Party is that violent oppression is the most practical, and that power comes from the barrel of a gun. However, even violent institutions must also have credibility and rules to be managed. A violent institution without credibility and rule of law will inevitably fall into civil strife. You can kill others, and others can also kill you. Even the emperor is not a god, and there is no way to stop the backlash of violent institutions.
Xi Jinping has now reached this point. Some time ago, there were rumors on the Internet that there had been a military coup, which frightened Xi Jinping so much that he dared not leave Beijing and did not dare to visit abroad for several months. Recently, he has been traveling to Russia and South America. It seems that he wants to prove that the rumors in the previous period have been broken, but in fact, it is not the case. It only shows that he has reached a compromise with the top military officials and stabilized his backyard, so he dares to go out to visit and satisfy his vanity. Everything else is a rumor.
Just look at how chaotic it has been. He arrested several defense ministers and swept through the Rocket Force and other forces of Zhang Youxia (head of the Chinese military). It is said that Zhang Youxia was forced to turn to the forces that secretly opposed Xi. This is what the overseas media reminded Secretary-General Xi. Under such circumstances, Xi Jinping dares not take the risk of visiting abroad. How many dictators were overthrown when they were overseas? This possibility cannot be ruled out.
What to do? Compromise when you should. After all, saving your life is more important than being arrogant. Fortunately, Zhang Youxia and Secretary-General Xi are childhood friends, so it is easier to ease the relationship. But you have to pay a price. Zhang Youxia also wants to take revenge, so you have to take down some cruel official in exchange. Just like Mao Zedong abandoned Gao Gang in the 1950s and compromised with Liu Shaoqi and Zhou Enlai's group, this time Miao Hua played the role of Gao Gang.
So is it stable? It seems not. If the power of others expands, can the emperor be assured? Can Secretary-General Xi be assured? Of course not, so the commander-in-chief of the army and other commanders were also arrested. Over and over again, the situation gradually gets out of control. The loss of control in all dynasties started from within the ruling class. The rebellion of the common people was often just a fuse, and it never needs the majority that the elites like to talk about.
If we talk about the majority, the majority is the people's will. When the Gang of Four was overthrown (in 1976), it was based on the majority of people's hearts. Since ancient times, when has there been a rebellion with the participation of the majority of people? This is a false proposition, which is helping Xi Jinping to scare the Chinese people. Of course, most people will sweep the snow only in front of their own doorsteps and not care about the frost on other people's roofs. But when the turmoil starts, the officialdom loses its authority, and then it will be the majority.
So there is no need to consider the nonsense of scholars to overthrow tyrants and incompetents. Just like what netizens like to say now: Just do it, shout when you see injustice on the road, which is the tradition of our Chinese culture. Looking ahead and behind, hesitating, this is another tradition of corrupt scholars. So as the old saying goes: The scholars' rebellion will not succeed in ten years. Not even ten years, it has never succeeded.
Without incompetent and tyrannical leaders, people will have the possibility of living a good life in the future. No matter who is in power, it is better than the current situation where the people are living in misery and the officials are living in constant fear. This is not a life for human beings. According to the development trend of the CCP's internal turmoil, there will be drama next year.
(This English version is translated by Ciping HUANG, without any compensation. Wei Jingsheng and the Wei Jingsheng Foundation appreciate her decades of contribution, especially for allowing the use and distribution of her translations of these commentaries.)
Original link of this commentary:
https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/guandian/pinglun/2024/12/23/wjs-zhong-guo-zheng-zhi/
To hear Mr. Wei Jingsheng's related commentary, please visit:
http://www.weijingsheng.org/RFA/RFA2024/WeiJS241222on2025ChinesePolitics.mp3
Related screenshot of Wei Jingsheng's commentary on RFA website:
http://www.weijingsheng.org/pic/newsletters/newsletters2024/newsletters2024-4/WeiJSon2025ChinesePolitics241223RFApage.jpg
(Written and recorded on December 22, 2024. Broadcasted by Radio Free Asia on Dec. 23, 2024.)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
This is a message from WeiJingSheng.org
The Wei Jingsheng Foundation and the Overseas Chinese Democracy Coalition are dedicated to the promotion of human rights and democratization in China. We appreciate your assistance and help in any means. We pledge solidarity to all who struggle for human rights and democratic governance on this planet.
You are welcome to use or distribute this release. However, please credit with this foundation and its website at: www.weijingsheng.org
Although we are unable to afford to pay royalty fees at this time, we are seeking your contribution as well. You may send your articles, comments and opinions to: H...@weijingsheng.org. Please remember, only in text files, not in attachments.
For website issues and suggestions, you may contact our professional staff and web master at: webm...@Weijingsheng.org
To find out more about us, please also visit our websites at:
www.WeiJingSheng.org and www.ChinaLaborUnion.org
For news and information for Overseas Chinese Democracy Coalition and human rights and democracy movement as whole, especially our Chinese Labor Union Base.
You may contact Ciping Huang at: H...@Weijingsheng.org or
Wei Jingsheng Foundation office at: 1-202-270-6980
Wei Jingsheng Foundation's postal address is:
Wei Jingsheng Foundation, P. O. Box 15449, Washington, DC 20003, USA
You are receiving this message because you had previous shown your interest in learning more about Mr. Wei Jingsheng and the Chinese Democratic Movement. To be removed from the list, simply reply this message and use "unsubscribe" as the Subject. Please allow us a few days to process your request.
*****************************************************************
中文版
Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1706-W1235
魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号：A1706-W1235
Release Date: December 23, 2024
发布日：2024年12月23日
Title: Talking About China's Politics Next Year at the Winter Solstice -- There Will be Drama in the Chaos (Wei Jingsheng)
标题：冬至谈明年中国政治 -- 乱中有戏 (魏京生)
Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)
此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）
如有中文乱码问题，请与我们联系或访问：
http://www.weijingsheng.org/report/report2024/report2024-12/WeiJS241223on2025ChinesePoliticsA1706-W1235.htm
-----------------------------------------------------------------
冬至谈明年中国政治 -- 乱中有戏
-- 魏京生
古代每年冬至要在都城郊区的商社里测量统一的度量衡，也就是县太爷手里的那个惊堂木。冬至的温度下一升水的重量就是一斤，比欧洲人发明的现代度量衡早了三千多年，比秦始皇早了一千多年。古代政治没那么复杂，这个度量衡就是权威的代表，就是政治的合法性 -- 信用和信任。
现在共产党的政治恰恰就缺乏这个合法性，没有信用，也得不到信任。各项政策都是拉抽屉，说了不算，算了不说。中央骗地方，地方骗人民。小官骗大官，大官骗皇上。媒体和统计更是天下一大骗。这种政治能够维持多久呢？会逐渐走向混乱。现在已经达到了混乱的高峰，就快要造反或者政变了，大家都预测到了。
大家经常谈论的法治是什么呢？就是权威。权威是什么呢？就是信用。政治没有信用，没有法制，那哪来的权威呢？共产党的理论就是暴力压迫最实用，枪杆子里面出政权。可是暴力机构也要有信用有法度才能管理。一个不要信用不讲法制的暴力机构，必然会陷入内乱。你可以杀别人，别人也可以杀你，就是皇帝也不是神仙，没办法阻止暴力机构的反噬。
现在的习近平已经走到了这一步。前一段时间网上盛传军事政变了云云，吓得习近平不敢离开北京，几个月不敢出访。最近一会儿俄罗斯，一会儿南美洲跑得挺欢。似乎想要证明前一段的谣言不攻自破了，其实不然。这说明他和军方高层达成了妥协，稳定了后院，才敢出去访问满足虚荣心，其它都是谣言。
看看有多乱吧。抓走了几任国防部长，横扫了火箭军等等张又侠的势力。据说逼得张又侠倒向了暗中倒习的势力。这倒是海外媒体提醒了小习书记。在这种形势下习近平可不敢冒险出访。有多少独裁者是在出访的时候被推翻的呀，不排除这种可能。
怎么办？该妥协时就妥协，保命比耍横重要。好在张又侠和咱小习书记是发小，比较容易缓和关系。可是你也得付出代价呀。人家张又侠也要报一箭之仇，你得拿下手的酷吏来交换。就像五十年代毛泽东抛弃高岗，向刘少奇、周恩来集团妥协一样。这次苗华就扮演了高岗的角色。
于是就稳定了吗？似乎没有。别人的势力如果扩大了，皇上能放心吗？咱们习总能放心吗？当然不能，于是就有陆军总司令等等司令们也被抓起来了。反反复复没完没了，局势逐渐就走向了失控。历朝历代的失控，都是从统治阶级内部开始的。老百姓造反往往只是个导火索，而且从来不需要精英们爱说的什么大多数。
要说大多数，老百姓的人心所向才是大多数。打倒四人帮的时候，就是依靠人心所向的大多数。自古以来的造反什么时候有过大多数人参与？这是个伪命题，是在帮助习近平吓唬老百姓。大多数老百姓当然是各扫门前雪，莫管他人瓦上霜。但是动乱一起，官方丧失了权威，到那时候就是大多数了。
所以推翻暴君昏君不需要考虑秀才们的胡言乱语。就像现在网民们爱说的那句话一样：干就是了，路见不平一声吼，这是咱们中华文化的传统。瞻前顾后，犹犹豫豫，这是腐儒们的另一个传统。所以古语说：秀才造反，十年不成。何止十年，从来就不成。
没有了昏君和暴君，将来人们才有可能过上好日子。不管谁执政，都比现在这样民不聊生官不聊生的要好，这就不是人过的日子。按照中共内乱的发展趋势来看，明年有戏。
(本评论的英文版本由黄慈萍翻译。魏京生和魏京生基金会感谢她数十年来相关的无偿贡献，特别是使用和发布此译文的许可。)
评论的原始链接：
https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/guandian/pinglun/2024/12/23/wjs-zhong-guo-zheng-zhi/
相关录音：
http://www.weijingsheng.org/RFA/RFA2024/WeiJS241222on2025ChinesePolitics.mp3
自由亚洲电台发表魏京生相关评论的网页截图：
http://www.weijingsheng.org/pic/newsletters/newsletters2024/newsletters2024-4/WeiJSon2025ChinesePolitics241223RFApage.jpg
（撰写并录音于12月22日。自由亚洲电台2024年12月23日播出。）
------------------------------------------------------------------
魏京生基金会及中国民主运动海外联席会议以推动中国的人权与民主为己任。
我们欢迎任何形式的帮助与贡献。我们愿与世界上为人权与民主而奋斗的人们一起努力。
我们希望您能够帮助我们散发我们的资料。但请标明出处与我们的网址：www.weijingsheng.org
欢迎投稿（暂无稿费）或批评建议，请寄信箱： H...@WEIJINGSHENG.ORG
魏京生基金会电话： 1-202-270-6980
通讯地址：Wei Jingsheng Foundation, PO Box 15449, Washington, DC 20003, USA
魏京生基金会及中国民主运动海外联席会议网址：WWW.weijingsheng.org
中国团结工会的网址为：www.ChinaLaborUnion.org
阁下之所以收到本信，是因为阁下以前曾表示有兴趣了解魏京生先生和中国民主运动。
倘若阁下希望不再收到类似信息，请回复本信并用unsubscribe 作为主题(Subject)。
魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号：A1706-W1235
Release Date: December 23, 2024
发布日：2024年12月23日
Title: Talking About China's Politics Next Year at the Winter Solstice -- There Will be Drama in the Chaos (Wei Jingsheng)
标题：冬至谈明年中国政治 -- 乱中有戏 (魏京生)
Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)
此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）
Note: Please use "Simplified Chinese (GB2312)" encoding to view the Chinese parts of this release. If this mail does not display properly in your email program, please send your request for special delivery to us or visit:
http://www.weijingsheng.org/report/report2024/report2024-12/WeiJS241223on2025ChinesePoliticsA1706-W1235.htm which contains identical information.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Talking About China's Politics Next Year at the Winter Solstice -- There Will be Drama in the Chaos
-- Wei Jingsheng
In ancient times in China, the unified weights and measures were measured in the trading companies in the suburbs of the capital every winter solstice, where the standard was the physical gavel in the hands of the county magistrate, which had a fixed weight and length. At the temperature of the winter solstice, the weight of one Chinese liter of water was one Chinese pound, which was more than 3,000 years earlier than the modern weights and measures invented by Europeans and more than 1,000 years earlier than Emperor Qin Shihuang of the Qin Dynasty. Ancient politics was not that complicated. This weight and measure represented authority and the legitimacy of politics -- credibility and trust.
The current politics of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) lacks this legitimacy. It has no credibility and cannot be trusted. All policies are like a pulling drawer back and forward: What is said does not count, and what counts is not told. The central government deceives the local government, and the local government deceives the people. Small officials deceive big officials, and big officials deceive the emperor. The media and statistics are the biggest liars in the world. How long can this kind of politics be maintained? It will gradually move towards chaos. Now it has already reached a peak of chaos, with a rebellion or a coup about to happen that has been predicted by everyone.
So what is the rule of law that everyone often talks about? It is authority. What is authority? It is credibility. If politics has no credibility and no rule of law, where does authority come from? The theory of the Communist Party is that violent oppression is the most practical, and that power comes from the barrel of a gun. However, even violent institutions must also have credibility and rules to be managed. A violent institution without credibility and rule of law will inevitably fall into civil strife. You can kill others, and others can also kill you. Even the emperor is not a god, and there is no way to stop the backlash of violent institutions.
Xi Jinping has now reached this point. Some time ago, there were rumors on the Internet that there had been a military coup, which frightened Xi Jinping so much that he dared not leave Beijing and did not dare to visit abroad for several months. Recently, he has been traveling to Russia and South America. It seems that he wants to prove that the rumors in the previous period have been broken, but in fact, it is not the case. It only shows that he has reached a compromise with the top military officials and stabilized his backyard, so he dares to go out to visit and satisfy his vanity. Everything else is a rumor.
Just look at how chaotic it has been. He arrested several defense ministers and swept through the Rocket Force and other forces of Zhang Youxia (head of the Chinese military). It is said that Zhang Youxia was forced to turn to the forces that secretly opposed Xi. This is what the overseas media reminded Secretary-General Xi. Under such circumstances, Xi Jinping dares not take the risk of visiting abroad. How many dictators were overthrown when they were overseas? This possibility cannot be ruled out.
What to do? Compromise when you should. After all, saving your life is more important than being arrogant. Fortunately, Zhang Youxia and Secretary-General Xi are childhood friends, so it is easier to ease the relationship. But you have to pay a price. Zhang Youxia also wants to take revenge, so you have to take down some cruel official in exchange. Just like Mao Zedong abandoned Gao Gang in the 1950s and compromised with Liu Shaoqi and Zhou Enlai's group, this time Miao Hua played the role of Gao Gang.
So is it stable? It seems not. If the power of others expands, can the emperor be assured? Can Secretary-General Xi be assured? Of course not, so the commander-in-chief of the army and other commanders were also arrested. Over and over again, the situation gradually gets out of control. The loss of control in all dynasties started from within the ruling class. The rebellion of the common people was often just a fuse, and it never needs the majority that the elites like to talk about.
If we talk about the majority, the majority is the people's will. When the Gang of Four was overthrown (in 1976), it was based on the majority of people's hearts. Since ancient times, when has there been a rebellion with the participation of the majority of people? This is a false proposition, which is helping Xi Jinping to scare the Chinese people. Of course, most people will sweep the snow only in front of their own doorsteps and not care about the frost on other people's roofs. But when the turmoil starts, the officialdom loses its authority, and then it will be the majority.
So there is no need to consider the nonsense of scholars to overthrow tyrants and incompetents. Just like what netizens like to say now: Just do it, shout when you see injustice on the road, which is the tradition of our Chinese culture. Looking ahead and behind, hesitating, this is another tradition of corrupt scholars. So as the old saying goes: The scholars' rebellion will not succeed in ten years. Not even ten years, it has never succeeded.
Without incompetent and tyrannical leaders, people will have the possibility of living a good life in the future. No matter who is in power, it is better than the current situation where the people are living in misery and the officials are living in constant fear. This is not a life for human beings. According to the development trend of the CCP's internal turmoil, there will be drama next year.
(This English version is translated by Ciping HUANG, without any compensation. Wei Jingsheng and the Wei Jingsheng Foundation appreciate her decades of contribution, especially for allowing the use and distribution of her translations of these commentaries.)
Original link of this commentary:
https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/guandian/pinglun/2024/12/23/wjs-zhong-guo-zheng-zhi/
To hear Mr. Wei Jingsheng's related commentary, please visit:
http://www.weijingsheng.org/RFA/RFA2024/WeiJS241222on2025ChinesePolitics.mp3
Related screenshot of Wei Jingsheng's commentary on RFA website:
http://www.weijingsheng.org/pic/newsletters/newsletters2024/newsletters2024-4/WeiJSon2025ChinesePolitics241223RFApage.jpg
(Written and recorded on December 22, 2024. Broadcasted by Radio Free Asia on Dec. 23, 2024.)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
This is a message from WeiJingSheng.org
The Wei Jingsheng Foundation and the Overseas Chinese Democracy Coalition are dedicated to the promotion of human rights and democratization in China. We appreciate your assistance and help in any means. We pledge solidarity to all who struggle for human rights and democratic governance on this planet.
You are welcome to use or distribute this release. However, please credit with this foundation and its website at: www.weijingsheng.org
Although we are unable to afford to pay royalty fees at this time, we are seeking your contribution as well. You may send your articles, comments and opinions to: H...@weijingsheng.org. Please remember, only in text files, not in attachments.
For website issues and suggestions, you may contact our professional staff and web master at: webm...@Weijingsheng.org
To find out more about us, please also visit our websites at:
www.WeiJingSheng.org and www.ChinaLaborUnion.org
For news and information for Overseas Chinese Democracy Coalition and human rights and democracy movement as whole, especially our Chinese Labor Union Base.
You may contact Ciping Huang at: H...@Weijingsheng.org or
Wei Jingsheng Foundation office at: 1-202-270-6980
Wei Jingsheng Foundation's postal address is:
Wei Jingsheng Foundation, P. O. Box 15449, Washington, DC 20003, USA
You are receiving this message because you had previous shown your interest in learning more about Mr. Wei Jingsheng and the Chinese Democratic Movement. To be removed from the list, simply reply this message and use "unsubscribe" as the Subject. Please allow us a few days to process your request.
*****************************************************************
中文版
Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1706-W1235
魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号：A1706-W1235
Release Date: December 23, 2024
发布日：2024年12月23日
Title: Talking About China's Politics Next Year at the Winter Solstice -- There Will be Drama in the Chaos (Wei Jingsheng)
标题：冬至谈明年中国政治 -- 乱中有戏 (魏京生)
Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)
此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）
如有中文乱码问题，请与我们联系或访问：
http://www.weijingsheng.org/report/report2024/report2024-12/WeiJS241223on2025ChinesePoliticsA1706-W1235.htm
-----------------------------------------------------------------
冬至谈明年中国政治 -- 乱中有戏
-- 魏京生
古代每年冬至要在都城郊区的商社里测量统一的度量衡，也就是县太爷手里的那个惊堂木。冬至的温度下一升水的重量就是一斤，比欧洲人发明的现代度量衡早了三千多年，比秦始皇早了一千多年。古代政治没那么复杂，这个度量衡就是权威的代表，就是政治的合法性 -- 信用和信任。
现在共产党的政治恰恰就缺乏这个合法性，没有信用，也得不到信任。各项政策都是拉抽屉，说了不算，算了不说。中央骗地方，地方骗人民。小官骗大官，大官骗皇上。媒体和统计更是天下一大骗。这种政治能够维持多久呢？会逐渐走向混乱。现在已经达到了混乱的高峰，就快要造反或者政变了，大家都预测到了。
大家经常谈论的法治是什么呢？就是权威。权威是什么呢？就是信用。政治没有信用，没有法制，那哪来的权威呢？共产党的理论就是暴力压迫最实用，枪杆子里面出政权。可是暴力机构也要有信用有法度才能管理。一个不要信用不讲法制的暴力机构，必然会陷入内乱。你可以杀别人，别人也可以杀你，就是皇帝也不是神仙，没办法阻止暴力机构的反噬。
现在的习近平已经走到了这一步。前一段时间网上盛传军事政变了云云，吓得习近平不敢离开北京，几个月不敢出访。最近一会儿俄罗斯，一会儿南美洲跑得挺欢。似乎想要证明前一段的谣言不攻自破了，其实不然。这说明他和军方高层达成了妥协，稳定了后院，才敢出去访问满足虚荣心，其它都是谣言。
看看有多乱吧。抓走了几任国防部长，横扫了火箭军等等张又侠的势力。据说逼得张又侠倒向了暗中倒习的势力。这倒是海外媒体提醒了小习书记。在这种形势下习近平可不敢冒险出访。有多少独裁者是在出访的时候被推翻的呀，不排除这种可能。
怎么办？该妥协时就妥协，保命比耍横重要。好在张又侠和咱小习书记是发小，比较容易缓和关系。可是你也得付出代价呀。人家张又侠也要报一箭之仇，你得拿下手的酷吏来交换。就像五十年代毛泽东抛弃高岗，向刘少奇、周恩来集团妥协一样。这次苗华就扮演了高岗的角色。
于是就稳定了吗？似乎没有。别人的势力如果扩大了，皇上能放心吗？咱们习总能放心吗？当然不能，于是就有陆军总司令等等司令们也被抓起来了。反反复复没完没了，局势逐渐就走向了失控。历朝历代的失控，都是从统治阶级内部开始的。老百姓造反往往只是个导火索，而且从来不需要精英们爱说的什么大多数。
要说大多数，老百姓的人心所向才是大多数。打倒四人帮的时候，就是依靠人心所向的大多数。自古以来的造反什么时候有过大多数人参与？这是个伪命题，是在帮助习近平吓唬老百姓。大多数老百姓当然是各扫门前雪，莫管他人瓦上霜。但是动乱一起，官方丧失了权威，到那时候就是大多数了。
所以推翻暴君昏君不需要考虑秀才们的胡言乱语。就像现在网民们爱说的那句话一样：干就是了，路见不平一声吼，这是咱们中华文化的传统。瞻前顾后，犹犹豫豫，这是腐儒们的另一个传统。所以古语说：秀才造反，十年不成。何止十年，从来就不成。
没有了昏君和暴君，将来人们才有可能过上好日子。不管谁执政，都比现在这样民不聊生官不聊生的要好，这就不是人过的日子。按照中共内乱的发展趋势来看，明年有戏。
(本评论的英文版本由黄慈萍翻译。魏京生和魏京生基金会感谢她数十年来相关的无偿贡献，特别是使用和发布此译文的许可。)
评论的原始链接：
https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/guandian/pinglun/2024/12/23/wjs-zhong-guo-zheng-zhi/
相关录音：
http://www.weijingsheng.org/RFA/RFA2024/WeiJS241222on2025ChinesePolitics.mp3
自由亚洲电台发表魏京生相关评论的网页截图：
http://www.weijingsheng.org/pic/newsletters/newsletters2024/newsletters2024-4/WeiJSon2025ChinesePolitics241223RFApage.jpg
（撰写并录音于12月22日。自由亚洲电台2024年12月23日播出。）
------------------------------------------------------------------
魏京生基金会及中国民主运动海外联席会议以推动中国的人权与民主为己任。
我们欢迎任何形式的帮助与贡献。我们愿与世界上为人权与民主而奋斗的人们一起努力。
我们希望您能够帮助我们散发我们的资料。但请标明出处与我们的网址：www.weijingsheng.org
欢迎投稿（暂无稿费）或批评建议，请寄信箱： H...@WEIJINGSHENG.ORG
魏京生基金会电话： 1-202-270-6980
通讯地址：Wei Jingsheng Foundation, PO Box 15449, Washington, DC 20003, USA
魏京生基金会及中国民主运动海外联席会议网址：WWW.weijingsheng.org
中国团结工会的网址为：www.ChinaLaborUnion.org
阁下之所以收到本信，是因为阁下以前曾表示有兴趣了解魏京生先生和中国民主运动。
倘若阁下希望不再收到类似信息，请回复本信并用unsubscribe 作为主题(Subject)。
Reply all
Reply to author
Forward
0 new messages