Trump vs. Xi Jinping's Trade War Situation -- Wei Jingsheng | 川普对阵习近平贸易战的态势 -- 魏京生
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Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1710-W1239
魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号：A1710-W1239
Release Date: February 12, 2025
发布日：2025年2月12日
Title: Trump vs. Xi Jinping's Trade War Situation -- Wei Jingsheng
标题：川普对阵习近平贸易战的态势 -- 魏京生
Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)
此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）
Note: Please use "Simplified Chinese (GB2312)" encoding to view the Chinese parts of this release. If this mail does not display properly in your email program, please send your request for special delivery to us or visit:
http://www.weijingsheng.org/report/report2025/report2025-2/WeiJS250212onTrumpDtoXiJPtradewarA1710-W1239.htm which contains identical information.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Trump vs. Xi Jinping's Trade War Situation
-- Wei Jingsheng
Recently, there has been too much news about Trump in the United States, so no one has paid attention to how Comrade Xi Jinping in China responded to the trade war; or who benefits from the trade war situation. However, Xi's response is related to the interests of the Chinese people. How to deal with it is directly related to the lives of the Chinese people, and it is important to pay attention.
Most economists, including Chinese economists, think that the main reason for China's economic downturn is insufficient domestic consumption. To put it bluntly, the Chinese people have no money to buy things, and the overproduction in China has to find a way out through foreign trade. If the foreign trade market is blocked, an economic crisis will occur in China.
What is an economic crisis? It means that when a large number of goods cannot be sold after production, and wealth or value stops outside the economic cycle. The economy is forced to shrink, and the working class falls into unemployment and poverty. This is an economic crisis that has happened before. Now Xi Jinping's economic policy is accelerating the creation of this economic crisis, just so that the officials and businessmen who control capital in China can earn excess profits.
Now that Trump has come to power, it is clear that he wants to start a trade war with China, the country with the largest trade deficit. Trump has adopted a cautious attitude towards this biggest trade war, which can affect the world economy, and he has given Xi Jinping an opportunity to adjust the economy in China. At present, only a 10% tariff has been imposed on the basis of past tariffs – he is waiting for Xi Jinping to automatically adjust the economic policy.
However, Xi Jinping not only did not change the economic policy of plundering excess profits, not only did he not start to expand domestic consumption in China, but instead adopted a counter-tariff policy by claiming retaliatory measures. You go to other people's markets to make money and sell products, what can you use to retaliate against them? It is you who survive on their markets, not they who survive on yours. Once high tariffs are imposed, China's cheap goods will be forced to reduce prices, or even lose money in an effort just to sell.
If the surplus goods cannot be exported or cannot make money, while China's own market cannot accommodate these goods, then an economic crisis will come. The economic scale in China will shrink further, a large number of workers will further lose their jobs, and the lives of ordinary Chinese will become more difficult. So now the Chinese upper class of officials and businessmen are transferring assets and fleeing, and no one is considering how the country and the people will live next, leaving the disaster for the average Chinese to bear.
So in this Sino-US trade war, Trump can be said to have a sure win, while Xi Jinping has no countermeasures. Xi must take a compromising and coordinating stance and strive to ease the trade war with the USA. Only by using the time of easing to expand domestic consumption can an economic crisis be avoided and the economy gotten back on track in China.
The United States has also experienced serious economic crisis. But it has a democratic system. The government must consider issues for the people and the country, and will not think of running away from the USA to live. They have invented many ways to boost the consumer market. China can learn from their successful experiences and invent new ways based on its own national conditions. The direction is to expand domestic consumption and increase people's income.
There are many smart people in China, and the income of Chinese people is very low. Thus there is a lot of room in this regard. Why can't the problem be solved? It involves the issue of the political system. If China has a system that is responsible to the people, this problem is actually very easy to solve. But China's political system is only responsible to the upper echelons of officials and businessmen, not to the people, so of course there is no need to consider the average Chinese.
So China's problem is not just an economic problem, it is first of all a political problem. Many Chinese think that politics has nothing to do with them, that it is the business of officials. In fact, it is wrong -- this is directly related to the lives of you ordinary people. Even if you don't care about politics, politics will care about you. The bureaucratic capitalists, which are a combination of officials and businessmen in China, have monopolized politics and thus wealth in China. Now they have also monopolized the wealth that you deserve, and are moving this wealth to a safe zone to enjoy by themselves secretly, laughing at you as fools. Wake up, the well-off life that you got from exports in the past years is disappearing, and disaster is coming to you.
(This English version is translated by Ciping HUANG, without any compensation. Wei Jingsheng and the Wei Jingsheng Foundation appreciate her decades of contribution, especially for allowing the use and distribution of her translations of these commentaries.)
Original link of this commentary:
https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/guandian/pinglun/weijingsheng/2025/02/12/us-china-trade-war-chinas-stance/
To hear Mr. Wei Jingsheng's related commentary, please visit:
http://www.weijingsheng.org/RFA/RFA2025/WeiJS250211onTrumpDtoXiJPtradewar.mp3
Related screenshot of Wei Jingsheng's commentary on RFA website:
http://www.weijingsheng.org/pic/newsletters/newsletters2025/newsletters2025-1/WeiJSonTrumpDtoXiJPtradewar250212RFApage.jpg
(Written and recorded on February 11, 2025. Broadcasted by Radio Free Asia on Feb. 12, 2025.)
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The Wei Jingsheng Foundation and the Overseas Chinese Democracy Coalition are dedicated to the promotion of human rights and democratization in China. We appreciate your assistance and help in any means. We pledge solidarity to all who struggle for human rights and democratic governance on this planet.
You are welcome to use or distribute this release. However, please credit with this foundation and its website at: www.weijingsheng.org
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For news and information for Overseas Chinese Democracy Coalition and human rights and democracy movement as whole, especially our Chinese Labor Union Base.
You may contact Ciping Huang at: H...@Weijingsheng.org or
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Wei Jingsheng Foundation's postal address is:
Wei Jingsheng Foundation, P. O. Box 15449, Washington, DC 20003, USA
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中文版
Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1710-W1239
魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号：A1710-W1239
Release Date: February 12, 2025
发布日：2025年2月12日
Title: Trump vs. Xi Jinping's Trade War Situation -- Wei Jingsheng
标题：川普对阵习近平贸易战的态势 -- 魏京生
Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)
此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）
Note: Please use "Simplified Chinese (GB2312)" encoding to view the Chinese parts of this release. If this mail does not display properly in your email program, please send your request for special delivery to us or visit:
如有中文乱码问题，请与我们联系或访问：
http://www.weijingsheng.org/report/report2025/report2025-2/WeiJS250212onTrumpDtoXiJPtradewarA1710-W1239.htm
-----------------------------------------------------------------
川普对阵习近平贸易战的态势
-- 魏京生
最近美国关于川普的新闻太多，所以大家都没注意小习同志面对贸易战，是怎么应对的；或者说贸易战的态势对谁有利。这可是关乎中国老百姓的利益，如何应对直接关系到老百姓的生活，不可不察。
大多数经济学家，包括中国的经济学家都认为，中国经济不景气的主要原因，是国内的消费不足。直白地说就是老百姓没钱买东西，生产过剩只好在外贸上边找出路。如果外贸市场被堵死了，就会发生经济危机。
什么是经济危机呢？就是大量商品生产以后卖不出去，财富或者说价值停止在经济循环之外。经济被迫收缩，工薪阶层陷入失业和贫困。这就是曾经发生过的经济危机。现在习近平的经济政策正在加速制造这个经济危机，只为了掌握资本的官商上层能够赚取超额的利润。
现在川普上台了，摆明了要和最大的贸易逆差国中国展开贸易战。川普对于这场最大的贸易战，可以影响世界经济的贸易战采取了谨慎的态度，或者说给了习近平调整经济的机会。目前仅仅在过去税收的基础上加征了百分之十的税收，等待习近平自动调整经济政策。
可是习近平不但不改变掠夺超额利润的经济政策，不但不开始扩大中国国内的消费，反而采取了对着干的反关税政策：声称什么报复措施。你到人家的市场上去赚钱，推销产品，你拿什么报复人家呢？是你靠人家的市场生存，不是人家靠你的市场生存。一旦高额的关税开始征收，中国的廉价商品就会被迫降价，甚至赔本赚吆喝。
过剩的商品不能出口或者不能赚钱，中国自己的市场又不能容纳这些商品，那就是经济危机来临的时刻了。中国经济规模將进一步萎缩，大量工人进一步失业，老百姓的日子更加难过。所以现在中国的官商上层阶级都在转移资产外逃，没人考虑国家和人民下一步怎么过日子，把灾难留给韭菜们自己承受。
所以在这场中美贸易战中，川普可以说稳操胜券。习近平没有什么反制的手段，必须采取妥协和协调的立场，争取缓和贸易战。利用缓和的时间扩大国内的消费，才能避免经济危机，使得经济重新走上正轨。
美国也曾经发生过严重的经济危机。但美国有民主制度，政府必须为人民和国家考虑问题，不会想到润出美国过小日子。他们发明了很多提振消费市场的办法，中国可以向人家成功的经验学习，也可以根据自己的国情发明新的办法。方向就是扩大国内的消费，提高人们的收入。
中国的聪明人很多，中国老百姓的收入很低，这方面的空间很大。为什么就不能解决问题呢？这就牵涉到政治制度的问题上来了。如果中国有对人民负责的制度，这个问题其实很容易解决。但中国的政治制度只对官商上层负责，不对老百姓负责，当然也就沒必要考虑老百姓了。
所以中国的问题不仅仅是经济问题，它首先是一个政治问题。很多老百姓以为政治和自己无关，那是当官的事情。其实错了--这和你们老百姓的生活直接有关。你们不关心政治，可政治关心你们。官商结合的官僚资产阶级垄断了中国的政治，也就垄断了财富。现在他们还垄断了你们应该得到的财富，并且正在转移到安全地带自己偷着乐，笑话你们这群韭菜是傻瓜。醒醒吧，前几年靠出口得到的小康生活正在消失，灾难正在走向你们。
(本评论的英文版本由黄慈萍翻译。魏京生和魏京生基金会感谢她数十年来相关的无偿贡献，特别是使用和发布此译文的许可。)
评论的原始链接：
https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/guandian/pinglun/weijingsheng/2025/02/12/us-china-trade-war-chinas-stance/
相关录音：
http://www.weijingsheng.org/RFA/RFA2025/WeiJS250211onTrumpDtoXiJPtradewar.mp3
自由亚洲电台发表魏京生相关评论的网页截图：
http://www.weijingsheng.org/pic/newsletters/newsletters2025/newsletters2025-1/WeiJSonTrumpDtoXiJPtradewar250212RFApage.jpg
（撰写并录音于2025年2月11日。自由亚洲电台2025年2月12日播出。）
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魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号：A1710-W1239
Release Date: February 12, 2025
发布日：2025年2月12日
Title: Trump vs. Xi Jinping's Trade War Situation -- Wei Jingsheng
标题：川普对阵习近平贸易战的态势 -- 魏京生
Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)
此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）
Note: Please use "Simplified Chinese (GB2312)" encoding to view the Chinese parts of this release. If this mail does not display properly in your email program, please send your request for special delivery to us or visit:
http://www.weijingsheng.org/report/report2025/report2025-2/WeiJS250212onTrumpDtoXiJPtradewarA1710-W1239.htm which contains identical information.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Trump vs. Xi Jinping's Trade War Situation
-- Wei Jingsheng
Recently, there has been too much news about Trump in the United States, so no one has paid attention to how Comrade Xi Jinping in China responded to the trade war; or who benefits from the trade war situation. However, Xi's response is related to the interests of the Chinese people. How to deal with it is directly related to the lives of the Chinese people, and it is important to pay attention.
Most economists, including Chinese economists, think that the main reason for China's economic downturn is insufficient domestic consumption. To put it bluntly, the Chinese people have no money to buy things, and the overproduction in China has to find a way out through foreign trade. If the foreign trade market is blocked, an economic crisis will occur in China.
What is an economic crisis? It means that when a large number of goods cannot be sold after production, and wealth or value stops outside the economic cycle. The economy is forced to shrink, and the working class falls into unemployment and poverty. This is an economic crisis that has happened before. Now Xi Jinping's economic policy is accelerating the creation of this economic crisis, just so that the officials and businessmen who control capital in China can earn excess profits.
Now that Trump has come to power, it is clear that he wants to start a trade war with China, the country with the largest trade deficit. Trump has adopted a cautious attitude towards this biggest trade war, which can affect the world economy, and he has given Xi Jinping an opportunity to adjust the economy in China. At present, only a 10% tariff has been imposed on the basis of past tariffs – he is waiting for Xi Jinping to automatically adjust the economic policy.
However, Xi Jinping not only did not change the economic policy of plundering excess profits, not only did he not start to expand domestic consumption in China, but instead adopted a counter-tariff policy by claiming retaliatory measures. You go to other people's markets to make money and sell products, what can you use to retaliate against them? It is you who survive on their markets, not they who survive on yours. Once high tariffs are imposed, China's cheap goods will be forced to reduce prices, or even lose money in an effort just to sell.
If the surplus goods cannot be exported or cannot make money, while China's own market cannot accommodate these goods, then an economic crisis will come. The economic scale in China will shrink further, a large number of workers will further lose their jobs, and the lives of ordinary Chinese will become more difficult. So now the Chinese upper class of officials and businessmen are transferring assets and fleeing, and no one is considering how the country and the people will live next, leaving the disaster for the average Chinese to bear.
So in this Sino-US trade war, Trump can be said to have a sure win, while Xi Jinping has no countermeasures. Xi must take a compromising and coordinating stance and strive to ease the trade war with the USA. Only by using the time of easing to expand domestic consumption can an economic crisis be avoided and the economy gotten back on track in China.
The United States has also experienced serious economic crisis. But it has a democratic system. The government must consider issues for the people and the country, and will not think of running away from the USA to live. They have invented many ways to boost the consumer market. China can learn from their successful experiences and invent new ways based on its own national conditions. The direction is to expand domestic consumption and increase people's income.
There are many smart people in China, and the income of Chinese people is very low. Thus there is a lot of room in this regard. Why can't the problem be solved? It involves the issue of the political system. If China has a system that is responsible to the people, this problem is actually very easy to solve. But China's political system is only responsible to the upper echelons of officials and businessmen, not to the people, so of course there is no need to consider the average Chinese.
So China's problem is not just an economic problem, it is first of all a political problem. Many Chinese think that politics has nothing to do with them, that it is the business of officials. In fact, it is wrong -- this is directly related to the lives of you ordinary people. Even if you don't care about politics, politics will care about you. The bureaucratic capitalists, which are a combination of officials and businessmen in China, have monopolized politics and thus wealth in China. Now they have also monopolized the wealth that you deserve, and are moving this wealth to a safe zone to enjoy by themselves secretly, laughing at you as fools. Wake up, the well-off life that you got from exports in the past years is disappearing, and disaster is coming to you.
(This English version is translated by Ciping HUANG, without any compensation. Wei Jingsheng and the Wei Jingsheng Foundation appreciate her decades of contribution, especially for allowing the use and distribution of her translations of these commentaries.)
Original link of this commentary:
https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/guandian/pinglun/weijingsheng/2025/02/12/us-china-trade-war-chinas-stance/
To hear Mr. Wei Jingsheng's related commentary, please visit:
http://www.weijingsheng.org/RFA/RFA2025/WeiJS250211onTrumpDtoXiJPtradewar.mp3
Related screenshot of Wei Jingsheng's commentary on RFA website:
http://www.weijingsheng.org/pic/newsletters/newsletters2025/newsletters2025-1/WeiJSonTrumpDtoXiJPtradewar250212RFApage.jpg
(Written and recorded on February 11, 2025. Broadcasted by Radio Free Asia on Feb. 12, 2025.)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
This is a message from WeiJingSheng.org
The Wei Jingsheng Foundation and the Overseas Chinese Democracy Coalition are dedicated to the promotion of human rights and democratization in China. We appreciate your assistance and help in any means. We pledge solidarity to all who struggle for human rights and democratic governance on this planet.
You are welcome to use or distribute this release. However, please credit with this foundation and its website at: www.weijingsheng.org
Although we are unable to afford to pay royalty fees at this time, we are seeking your contribution as well. You may send your articles, comments and opinions to: H...@weijingsheng.org. Please remember, only in text files, not in attachments.
For website issues and suggestions, you may contact our professional staff and web master at: webm...@Weijingsheng.org
To find out more about us, please also visit our websites at:
www.WeiJingSheng.org and www.ChinaLaborUnion.org
For news and information for Overseas Chinese Democracy Coalition and human rights and democracy movement as whole, especially our Chinese Labor Union Base.
You may contact Ciping Huang at: H...@Weijingsheng.org or
Wei Jingsheng Foundation office at: 1-202-270-6980
Wei Jingsheng Foundation's postal address is:
Wei Jingsheng Foundation, P. O. Box 15449, Washington, DC 20003, USA
You are receiving this message because you had previous shown your interest in learning more about Mr. Wei Jingsheng and the Chinese Democratic Movement. To be removed from the list, simply reply this message and use "unsubscribe" as the Subject. Please allow us a few days to process your request.
*****************************************************************
中文版
Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1710-W1239
魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号：A1710-W1239
Release Date: February 12, 2025
发布日：2025年2月12日
Title: Trump vs. Xi Jinping's Trade War Situation -- Wei Jingsheng
标题：川普对阵习近平贸易战的态势 -- 魏京生
Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)
此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）
Note: Please use "Simplified Chinese (GB2312)" encoding to view the Chinese parts of this release. If this mail does not display properly in your email program, please send your request for special delivery to us or visit:
如有中文乱码问题，请与我们联系或访问：
http://www.weijingsheng.org/report/report2025/report2025-2/WeiJS250212onTrumpDtoXiJPtradewarA1710-W1239.htm
-----------------------------------------------------------------
川普对阵习近平贸易战的态势
-- 魏京生
最近美国关于川普的新闻太多，所以大家都没注意小习同志面对贸易战，是怎么应对的；或者说贸易战的态势对谁有利。这可是关乎中国老百姓的利益，如何应对直接关系到老百姓的生活，不可不察。
大多数经济学家，包括中国的经济学家都认为，中国经济不景气的主要原因，是国内的消费不足。直白地说就是老百姓没钱买东西，生产过剩只好在外贸上边找出路。如果外贸市场被堵死了，就会发生经济危机。
什么是经济危机呢？就是大量商品生产以后卖不出去，财富或者说价值停止在经济循环之外。经济被迫收缩，工薪阶层陷入失业和贫困。这就是曾经发生过的经济危机。现在习近平的经济政策正在加速制造这个经济危机，只为了掌握资本的官商上层能够赚取超额的利润。
现在川普上台了，摆明了要和最大的贸易逆差国中国展开贸易战。川普对于这场最大的贸易战，可以影响世界经济的贸易战采取了谨慎的态度，或者说给了习近平调整经济的机会。目前仅仅在过去税收的基础上加征了百分之十的税收，等待习近平自动调整经济政策。
可是习近平不但不改变掠夺超额利润的经济政策，不但不开始扩大中国国内的消费，反而采取了对着干的反关税政策：声称什么报复措施。你到人家的市场上去赚钱，推销产品，你拿什么报复人家呢？是你靠人家的市场生存，不是人家靠你的市场生存。一旦高额的关税开始征收，中国的廉价商品就会被迫降价，甚至赔本赚吆喝。
过剩的商品不能出口或者不能赚钱，中国自己的市场又不能容纳这些商品，那就是经济危机来临的时刻了。中国经济规模將进一步萎缩，大量工人进一步失业，老百姓的日子更加难过。所以现在中国的官商上层阶级都在转移资产外逃，没人考虑国家和人民下一步怎么过日子，把灾难留给韭菜们自己承受。
所以在这场中美贸易战中，川普可以说稳操胜券。习近平没有什么反制的手段，必须采取妥协和协调的立场，争取缓和贸易战。利用缓和的时间扩大国内的消费，才能避免经济危机，使得经济重新走上正轨。
美国也曾经发生过严重的经济危机。但美国有民主制度，政府必须为人民和国家考虑问题，不会想到润出美国过小日子。他们发明了很多提振消费市场的办法，中国可以向人家成功的经验学习，也可以根据自己的国情发明新的办法。方向就是扩大国内的消费，提高人们的收入。
中国的聪明人很多，中国老百姓的收入很低，这方面的空间很大。为什么就不能解决问题呢？这就牵涉到政治制度的问题上来了。如果中国有对人民负责的制度，这个问题其实很容易解决。但中国的政治制度只对官商上层负责，不对老百姓负责，当然也就沒必要考虑老百姓了。
所以中国的问题不仅仅是经济问题，它首先是一个政治问题。很多老百姓以为政治和自己无关，那是当官的事情。其实错了--这和你们老百姓的生活直接有关。你们不关心政治，可政治关心你们。官商结合的官僚资产阶级垄断了中国的政治，也就垄断了财富。现在他们还垄断了你们应该得到的财富，并且正在转移到安全地带自己偷着乐，笑话你们这群韭菜是傻瓜。醒醒吧，前几年靠出口得到的小康生活正在消失，灾难正在走向你们。
(本评论的英文版本由黄慈萍翻译。魏京生和魏京生基金会感谢她数十年来相关的无偿贡献，特别是使用和发布此译文的许可。)
评论的原始链接：
https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/guandian/pinglun/weijingsheng/2025/02/12/us-china-trade-war-chinas-stance/
相关录音：
http://www.weijingsheng.org/RFA/RFA2025/WeiJS250211onTrumpDtoXiJPtradewar.mp3
自由亚洲电台发表魏京生相关评论的网页截图：
http://www.weijingsheng.org/pic/newsletters/newsletters2025/newsletters2025-1/WeiJSonTrumpDtoXiJPtradewar250212RFApage.jpg
（撰写并录音于2025年2月11日。自由亚洲电台2025年2月12日播出。）
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