How Driverless Cars Will Disrupt the Airline Industry

[Dave Brough]

In the past, commercial airlines and automobiles have shared a symbiotic relationship and rarely compete directly with each other except for very short flights. However, with driverless vehicles on the horizon, the airline industry may find a competitor unlike anything they have seen in the past. This paper shows that many will switch. More here.

Imagine if that competitor is 200 mph dual-mode using guideway. 

Dave Brough

[Jerry Roane]

Dave Brough

You forgot the most important factor in the fly or drive decision.  The energy to power a four-passenger guideway vehicle is 5 cents a mile so comparing a fare price on a 1,500 mile trip would compare to $18.75 per seat plus profits, tolls and taxes.    Airlines pay a lot more for fuel so they cannot compete on price only speed of longer flights. 

Jerry Roane 

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[Dave Brough]

Jerry -

If you can travel 3 times as fast with no hassles and in car-comfort, plus you can carry 4 or more riders for the price of one, I suggest that there would be a significant induced demand for guideway at least up to 1,000 miles and likely more. Issues like Boeing's MAXX encourage options. Maybe Elon has a place in the grand scheme after all.

Dave Brough
  

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