High-end plug-in hybrids

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Dave Thompson

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Nov 12, 2007, 1:51:11 PM11/12/07
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It isn’t great news that we turn to technology to “solve” our GHG problems.  But plug-in hybrids are coming – this one and others.

Dave

 

 

 

Plug-in sports car to hit showrooms in 2010.  From Grist: http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2007/11/9/145814/981/?source=daily

 

Terry Dyck

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Nov 13, 2007, 1:04:01 PM11/13/07
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Hi David,
 
If technology could reduce or maybe even eliminate GHG, why is that not a good thing?  Right now technology is being used to create many electronic devices that are increasing energy needs; is that not the type of technology we should critisize instead?
 
Terry Dyck


From: davidt...@telus.net
To: trans-...@googlegroups.com
Subject: [trans-action] High-end plug-in hybrids
Date: Mon, 12 Nov 2007 11:51:11 -0700

Dave Thompson

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Nov 13, 2007, 5:47:28 PM11/13/07
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If technology could reduce or maybe even eliminate GHG, why is that not a good thing? 

 

  • Plug in hybrids won’t address crashes, the more cars – more sprawl – more car dependency vicious circle, or the huge embedded energy and pollution of car manufacturing (about ¼ of a car’s lifetime environmental footprint).  And given the methods of generating electricity employed across the North American electricity market, plug-ins also won’t eliminate GHGs.  Yes, they are better than fossil fuel powered cars, but they are far from being an adequate “solution”.

 

 Right now technology is being used to create many electronic devices that are increasing energy needs; is that not the type of technology we should critisize instead?

 

  • Well, transportation is the topic of this particular list serve, and it is by far the fastest growing sector of GHG emissions in Canada.  But I certainly agree we need to think beyond transportation.  However, criticizing isn’t what we need; we need to make environmental damage more expensive, and other things cheaper.  Until we do so, our pricing system will continue to encourage environmental harm.

 

Cheers,

Dave

 

 



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Jym Dyer

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Nov 13, 2007, 11:26:23 PM11/13/07
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http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2007/11/9/145814/981/?source=daily

> If technology could reduce or maybe even eliminate GHG, why is
> that not a good thing?

=v= It turns out that hybrid technology, as currently deployed,
isn't doing much about GHG. Carbon and fuel efficiency are very
closely linked, and hybrids aren't as fuel-efficient as we'd
been led to believe.

=v= The U.S. standards for calculating MPG ratings were revised
for the 2008 model year so as to more accurately reflect actual
results. Under the new formula, the 2008 Toyota Prius is the
most fuel-efficent new car, with 48 MPG/city and 45 MPG/hwy:

http://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/best/bestworstNF.shtml

However, on the same website, we can look at the comparable fuel
efficiency of cars all the way back to 1985, when we see that
the car with the highest MPG was the 1985 Honda Civic, which got
40 MPG/city and 48 MPG/hwy.

=v= That's not a lot of progress over the last 22 years. There
are better uses for this technology, but primarily it's been
deployed to make people complacent about wasteful individual
car use.

> Right now technology is being used to create many electronic
> devices that are increasing energy needs; is that not the type
> of technology we should critisize instead?

=v= The plug-in hybrids are poised to do exactly the same thing.
More complacency: The technology is touted as a way to achieve
a hundred miles per gallon or more, completely ignoring the
"gallons" that go into the electricity.

=v= As we've seen with electric cars, advocates will swear up
and down that they'll only recharge their cars off-peak, that
they'll only use renewable energy sources, etc., but when they
find that to be inconvenient, they'll plug in at high noon.
<_Jym_>


Mike McArthur

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Nov 14, 2007, 11:11:31 AM11/14/07
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" Plug in hybrids won't address crashes, the more cars more sprawl more car dependency vicious circle, or the huge embedded energy and pollution of car manufacturing (about ¼ of a car's lifetime 
environmentalfootprint). And given the methods of generating electricity employed across the North American electricity market, plug-ins also won't eliminate GHGs."
 
When you consider the "huge embedded energy and pollution of ____ manufacturing", you can insert a lot of things, including...the bicycle. Now I'm not saying bicycles are bad overall, but by this logic one can't ignore the non-renewable minerals and fossil fuels which go into bicycle frames and parts etc.. I'd also argue that proponents of plug-ins would say that this technology is to replace, not supplement portions of new car sales. So, I'm not sure the" more cars more sprawl" is really the issue for this technology in comparison to other car options. 
 
Tolling and congestion charges for car commuters along with tighter controls on industrial air and water emissions would be better ways to fight sprawl and environmental pollution than killing new technology like plugins.  
 
Mike
 
----- Original Message -----
From: Dave Thompson <davidt...@telus.net>
Date: Tuesday, November 13, 2007 2:48 pm
Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-end plug-in hybrids
To: trans-...@googlegroups.com

> If technology could reduce or maybe even eliminate GHG, why is
> that not a
> good thing?
>
>  
>
> * Plug in hybrids won’t address crashes, the more cars – more
> sprawl –
> more car dependency vicious circle, or the huge embedded energy and
> pollution of car manufacturing (about ¼ of a car’s lifetime
> environmentalfootprint).  And given the methods of
> generating electricity employed across
> the North American electricity market, plug-ins also won’t
> eliminate GHGs.
> Yes, they are better than fossil fuel powered cars, but they are
> far from
> being an adequate “solution”.
>
>  
>
>  Right now technology is being used to create many
> electronic devices that
> are increasing energy needs; is that not the type of technology
> we should
> critisize instead?
>
>  
>
> * Well, transportation is the topic of this particular list
> serve, and
> it is by far the fastest growing sector of GHG emissions in
> Canada.  But I
> certainly agree we need to think beyond transportation.  However,
> criticizing isn’t what we need; we need to make environmental
> damage more
> expensive, and other things cheaper.  Until we do so, our
> pricing system
> will continue to encourage environmental harm.
>
>  
>
> Cheers,
>
> Dave
>
>  
>
>  
>
>   _____ 
>
> From: trans-...@googlegroups.com [mailto:trans-
> act...@googlegroups.com]On Behalf Of Terry Dyck
> Sent: November 13, 2007 11:04 AM
> To: trans-...@googlegroups.com
> Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-end plug-in hybrids
>
>  
>
> Hi David,
>  
> If technology could reduce or maybe even eliminate GHG, why is
> that not a
> good thing?  Right now technology is being used to create
> many electronic
> devices that are increasing energy needs; is that not the type
> of technology
> we should critisize instead?
>  
> Terry Dyck
>
>   _____ 
>
> From: davidt...@telus.net
> To: trans-...@googlegroups.com
> Subject: [trans-action] High-end plug-in hybrids
> Date: Mon, 12 Nov 2007 11:51:11 -0700
>
>
> It isn’t great news that we turn to technology to “solve” our
> GHG problems.
> But plug-in hybrids are coming – this one and others.
>
>
> Dave
>
>
>  
>
>
>  
>
>
>  
>
>
> Plug-in sports car to hit showrooms in 2010.  From Grist:
> <http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2007/11/9/145814/981/?source=daily>

Richard Campbell

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Nov 14, 2007, 1:14:36 PM11/14/07
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Seriously Mike, the embedded energy involved in making a bicycle is
much, much less than than of producing a plug-in hybrid and the
batteries for the hybrid. If you are concerned about the energy that is
involved in producing a bicycle, there is no way you could support the
production of plug-in hybrid. The reality is that there are over 6
billion people on the planet. We must come up with sustainable
solutions that can be used by everyone on the planet. The environmental
impact of 6 billion people owning plug-in hybrids would be
devastating. The bicycle, on the other hand, can be reasonable
transportation for 6 billion people. If there is a concern regarding
embedded energy, bicycles can even be made from bamboo.

With hundreds of millions of people in China and India working very
hard to improve their standard of living, we must show leadership by
rejecting automobile use here and massively improve transit and
cycling. By showing that people in the so-call developed world are
willing to give up automobile use, hopefully people considering buying
automobiles in other countries will be inspired to continue bicycle and
us public transit. I really don't see any other option.

It is time to get out of the North American mindset and start thinking
globally.

Richard

Terry Dyck

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Nov 14, 2007, 2:05:08 PM11/14/07
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Hi Richard,
 
I totally understand the need for bicycles and transit, however, those are great solutions for transporting people but there is also a need for transporting goods.  We need cleaner freight carriers.  There is also the problem in rural Canada were there is no transit and the winters are too cold and icy for bikes.
 
Terry Dyck

Terry Dyck

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Nov 14, 2007, 2:29:27 PM11/14/07
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Hi Jym,
 
Isn't the idea of plug in hybrids to be totally electric when driving in the city?  We need to work on our other energy needs as well so we should be using solar, wind, waves, geothermal, etc. for all of our electricity needs.  Then we can work on the biggest cause of GHG which is methane.  Eat those vege's.
 
Terry Dyck


> From: j...@econet.org
> To: trans-...@googlegroups.com
> Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-end plug-in hybrids

Mike McArthur

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Nov 14, 2007, 2:32:34 PM11/14/07
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Good points Terry. I agree that rural Canada is and will be far from the bike through our relatively harsh winters. Transit investments into communities with low economies of scale are cost-prohibitive in many cases. Aging Canadian boomers in these communities will continue to rely on cars, so why not a clean alternative like a plugin or biodiesel ? These advances are far closer to fruition than widespread rural transit improvements so I'd argue they have the potential for quicker reduction in transportation's GHG footprint (for moving people or goods) in Canada.
 
mike
> act...@googlegroups.com]On Behalf Of Terry Dyck> > > Sent:
> November 13, 2007 11:04 AM> > > To: trans-
> act...@googlegroups.com> > > Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-

> end plug-in hybrids> > >> > >  > > >> > > Hi David,> >
> >  > > > If technology could reduce or maybe even eliminate
> GHG, why is> > > that not a> > > good thing?  Right now
> technology is being used to create> > > many electronic> > >
> devices that are increasing energy needs; is that not the type>
> > > of technology> > > we should critisize instead?> > >  >
> > > Terry Dyck> > >> > >   _____ > > >> > > From:
> davidt...@telus.net> > > To: trans-...@googlegroups.com>
> > > Subject: [trans-action] High-end plug-in hybrids> > > Date:
> Mon, 12 Nov 2007 11:51:11 -0700> > >> > >> > > It isn’t great
> news that we turn to technology to “solve” our> > > GHG
> problems.> > > But plug-in hybrids are coming – this one and
> others.> > >> > >> > > Dave> > >> > >> > >  > > >> > >> >
> >  > > >> > >> > >  > > >> > >> > > Plug-in sports car
> to hit showrooms in 2010.  From Grist:> > >
> <http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2007/11/9/145814/981/?source=daily>> > > http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2007/11/9/145814/981/?source=daily> > >> > >> > >  > > >> > >> > > </html> > >> > >> > >> > >> > > _________________________________________________________________
> R U Ready for Windows Live Messenger Beta 8.5? Try it today!
> http://entertainment.sympatico.msn.ca/WindowsLiveMessenger
>

Terry Dyck

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Nov 14, 2007, 2:47:34 PM11/14/07
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Hi Dave,
 
What is the adequate solution?
 
Terry Dyck


Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-end plug-in hybrids
Date: Tue, 13 Nov 2007 15:47:28 -0700

Daniel Say

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Nov 14, 2007, 3:05:25 PM11/14/07
to trans-...@googlegroups.com, Daniel Say
>
> Hi Richard,
>
> I totally understand the need for bicycles and transit, however, those are great solutions for transporting people but there is also a need for transporting goods. We need cleaner freight carriers. There is also the problem in rural Canada were there is no transit and the winters are too cold and icy for bikes.
>
In northern China where I have lived, they still push
their bikes through the snow, as carriers, if nothing
else and downhill rides, because they buses are too
few, too full (all those fat winter coats means fewer
can get on) and dangerous (pickpockets and pocket/purse
slashers mainly).

So some do ride their bikes. But they'd love a car
instead.

Consider winterized tricycle recumbents which have
been featured in Ottawa bike news.
[ 3 wheels don't fall down, studded tires, thick/thin
lube and carrying all sorts of thermos heating fluids ]

Linkname: Winter Riding notes from the Edmonton Bike Club
URL: http://www.freenet.edmonton.ab.ca/ebc/winter.htm

Linkname: contents (html version of PDF)
URL:
http://72.14.253.104/search?q=cache:ZhVs48VhByUJ:www.velovision
.com/mag/issue9/contents.pdf+Ottawa+recumbent+velovision+winter
&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=3&gl=sh&ie=UTF-8
Linkname: http://www.velovision.com/mag/issue9/contents.pdf

Dave Thompson

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Nov 14, 2007, 3:29:45 PM11/14/07
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Just forwarding this on behalf of Paul Bogeart.

 

List Admin – could you please contact Paul about his inability to post?

 

Cheers,
Dave

 

 


From: paul bogaert [mailto:pol...@gmail.com]

all good points but the main point is we will have to dramatically change

the way we do almost everything in order to hope to have the planet remain
liveable for our grandchildren. this main point includes not using almost
any motor vehicles and not being able to live in the countryside and hope

to drive to wal mart every weekend. that will just not continue to work for
very long and it has already gone on far too long! the hope that too many
people have that clean burning technomobiles will allow us to keep buying

farmland for subdivisions and reducing highway congestion to reduce
greenhouse gas is distracting from the real discussion that should be
happening. we have to slow down and stop racing over the planet and filing

our pockets with loot. we have to fundamentally change the way we live. NO
CARS. they ARE killing us no matter what they are powered with and the list
is long with so many other things we need to stop using. Hybrids and biofuels

are not solutions. they slightly mitigate the huge problem of overuse of
motor vehicles.

paul



--
world bicycle domination approaches!

_AVG certification_.txt

Dave Thompson

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Nov 14, 2007, 4:10:29 PM11/14/07
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I don’t pretend to know “the” solution, and doubt that there is one.  But there are several things that would move us closer to a sustainable transportation system – much closer than banking on a technological salvation.  

 

  • Conservation is essential; we cannot forever increase our environmental load on a finite planet and think that bandaids are going to make it all OK.  Many cultures have learned this lesson the hard way in the past; unfortunately there are a lot of people that don’t know history (or pre-history) and prefer to keep their heads firmly in the sand (which is, like, so Mayan).

 

  • We need to develop our cities and transit systems to accommodate efficient transportation needs of a majority of people.  Over 80% of Canadians live in cities, so let’s not make the rural few into an excuse not to do anything about the transportation options of the majority. 

 

  • We need to employ full cost accounting and internalize environmental externalities.  If we continue to allow a flawed market to steer people and corporations into environmentally-harmful choices, guess where we’re all gonna end up.

 

OK so there are a few thoughts.  No silver bullets.  Not an exhaustive list.  But it’s clear that we need to think big – well beyond the kind of thinking that got us here in the first place.  That guy with the bad hair put it better: “problems cannot be solved at the same level of consciousness that created them”.

 

Cheers,
Dave

 

PS Just to repeat, transportation is the largest and by far the fastest-growing sector of GHG emissions in Canada; not sure what an earlier post was referencing with methane, but whatever it is, it’s wrong; methane isn’t significantly involved in transportation.


</html

Jym Dyer

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Nov 14, 2007, 10:27:04 PM11/14/07
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> Isn't the idea of plug in hybrids to be totally electric when
> driving in the city?

=v= I've never heard that, nor do I quite understand it.

> We need to work on our other energy needs as well so we should
> be using solar, wind, waves, geothermal, etc. for all of our
> electricity needs.

=v= Of course. Unfortunately, nobody has really bothered to
tally up the increased demand for electricity from plug-in
hybrids if they were to be deployed in large numbers. There
are just blithes assumption that they'll be recharged off-peak
(which, as I've mentioned, has already not held true for EVs)
or that renewable energy sources will suffice.
<_Jym_>

Richard Campbell

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Nov 15, 2007, 3:55:09 AM11/15/07
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Unfortunately hybrids, plug-in hybrids, hydrogen, bio-fuels etc. are
all really just part of the propaganda campaign from the automobile
industry to try and convince people that there is a future for the
automobile. The green car is simply a carrot hung in front of people so
they continue to drive their polluting cars with the illusion someday
they will be able to drive a car that does not harm the environment.
Unfortunately that day never comes. The last 40 years is clear evidence
of that. It is time to say enough is enough and provide people with
great transit and cycling facilities. The automobile industry has had
its chance and blown it.

We won't get fooled again!!!

Richard

Terry Dyck

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Nov 15, 2007, 12:34:06 PM11/15/07
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Hi Dave,
 
Some very good thoughts there and hopefully there is a solution.  It is interesting that you mentioned the Mayans.  Maybe the solution will happen when we reach the new age of the Mayan calender.  A society that focusses more on good social and natural values rather than materialistic values.
About methane.  The international panel on climate change has a 400 page U.N. report entitled, Livestock's Long Shadow, which states that Livestock produce a huge amount of methane, which is 24 times more potent than CO2 as a Green House Gas.  The report claims that livestock produce more GHG than cars.
Regardless we still need to work on eliminating CO2 from transportation.
 
Terry Dyck



From: davidt...@telus.net
To: trans-...@googlegroups.com
Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-end plug-in hybrids
Date: Wed, 14 Nov 2007 14:10:29 -0700

Mike McArthur

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Nov 15, 2007, 2:36:23 PM11/15/07
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A transportation plan without buy-in from industry and/or government will remain just that - a plan. We can dream of a utopia where cars are not needed as an end-point, but that still leaves us with:
 
How do we get there?
 
We need  a transition plan. Now plugins, biofuels and other alternate forms may not be the end game, but they do represent a transition away from the ways of old. It's not a silver bullit and a Terry mentioned, it's just way we can move forward in reducing GHG footprint whilst getting to a sustainable transportation system.
 
 Going "cold turkey" off cars for the aging boomers who've driven all their lives just isn't going to fly in a country as dispersed as Canada. Polluter pay, rising energy costs along with policy changes for road pricing for insurance, tolls and congestion charges will also be part of a transition plan which weens Canadians from cars just as many european cultures have done in the post-war decades.
Mike
----- Original Message -----
From: Richard Campbell <richard.cam...@gmail.com>
Date: Thursday, November 15, 2007 12:55 am
Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-end plug-in hybrids
To: trans-...@googlegroups.com

>

Terry Dyck

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Nov 15, 2007, 2:59:37 PM11/15/07
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Hi Richard,
 
You will still have to address the need to transport goods and services.  We need an alternative, sustainable source of energy to deliver basic products that we need such as food from farmers feilds, etc.

 
Terry Dyck

> From: richard.cam...@gmail.com
> Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-end plug-in hybrids

Terry Dyck

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Nov 15, 2007, 3:26:14 PM11/15/07
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Hi Jym,
 
If driven properly at low speeds a plug in hybrid car could totally
run on electric power.  What would be a good aproach is to have hybrids no bigger than a smart car and with a diesel engine to use only recycled restaurant oils or other biodiesel made from non food crops.  We can develop transport trucks, trains and buses on this type of hybrid - biodeisel energy.
  One of the biggest users of energy and water is the oil industry.  They use enormous amounts of energy, especially in the tar sands.  To eliminate that polluter alone would greatly reduce GHG. Then we can work on alternative sources of energy to produce electricity.

 
Terry Dyck

> From: j...@econet.org
> To: trans-...@googlegroups.com
> Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-end plug-in hybrids

Chris Keam

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Nov 15, 2007, 3:25:42 PM11/15/07
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> Going "cold turkey" off cars for the aging boomers who've driven
> all their lives just isn't going to fly in a country as dispersed
> as Canada.

90% of Canadians live within 160 km of the U.S. border (CIA
factbook). Four-fifths live in urban areas (Statscan). Geography is
not the issue.

As for the aging boomers (I'm 44 so I almost qualify)... they can
take a bite of my hairy biker ass if they think they deserve to be
coddled all the way to the grave so my kid can freeze in the dark.
Excuse my impoliteness, but the belief that one's comfort is somehow
an inherent right is a load of bollocks, esp. when it comes at such a
high environmental cost.

Further, the roads are dangerous enough without a large cohort of
citizens with failing eyesight and reduced reaction time driving
around in S.O.V.s.

paul bogaert

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Nov 15, 2007, 6:07:54 PM11/15/07
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on my tombstone might be written

          paul bogaert
    resting here after riding and
being killed by a biodiesel smart car
    1965 - 2025

grow more food in your community garden

yes the boomers and the technogeeks and all of us spoiled people are not going to go willingly down the path of sustainability and especially not cold turkey if our lives depended on it.
because it might nay WILL be uncomfortable.

how will we pull the big plows and deliver the food when oil runs really low? there are needs or functions which arguably are reasonably met with the use of motor (biodiesel, hydrogen, plastic bag burning) vehicles, but moving all of our lazy coddled bodies around one by one is not reasonable by a long shot.

pol

Andrew Gray

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Nov 15, 2007, 7:13:14 PM11/15/07
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On Nov 14, 2007 12:29 PM, Dave Thompson <davidt...@telus.net> wrote:
>
>
>
>
> Just forwarding this on behalf of Paul Bogeart.
>
> [snipped for length]

>
> we have to fundamentally change the way we live. NO
>
> CARS. they ARE killing us no matter what they are powered with and the list
>
> is long with so many other things we need to stop using. Hybrids and
> biofuels
>
>
> are not solutions. they slightly mitigate the huge problem of overuse of
>
> motor vehicles.
>
>
>
> paul
>

I agree with this. I don't really care what's under the hood. Cars are
everywhere and we keep giving more space over to them and building
more infrastructure for them.

I watched the Orson Welles film "The Magnificent Ambersons" on the
weekend. He made it in 1942 and it is set around the turn of the
century, in the early days of the automobile. This is a speech from
the movie, made by the character Eugene Morgan who is a pioneering
horseless carriage entrepreneur (George has just said that cars are no
good, as a way to personally attack Eugene):

"I'm not sure George is wrong about automobiles. With all their speed
forward, they may be a step backward in civilization. It may be that they
won't add to the beauty of the world or the life of men's souls. I'm
not sure. But automobiles have come. And almost all outward things are
going to be different because of what they bring. They're going to alter
war and they're going to alter peace. And I think men's minds are going
to be changed in subtle ways because of automobiles. And it may be that
George is right. It may be that in ten or twenty years from now, if we
can see the inward change in men by that time, I shouldn't be able to
defend the gasoline engine but would have to agree with George: that
automobiles had no business to be invented."

Chris Keam

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Nov 15, 2007, 7:27:19 PM11/15/07
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From Velonews magazine, some cyclist horror stories about the bias against cyclists in auto/bike collisions.


CK

Eleanor Blue

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Nov 15, 2007, 7:36:57 PM11/15/07
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The author of this article is going to be speaking tomorrow and Saturday at major events here in Portland ask for justice, equality, and respect in all aspects of transportation.

bikeportland.org/wearealltraffic

If any of you will be in town this weekend, please consider joining us.
Elly

Jym Dyer

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Nov 15, 2007, 7:34:01 PM11/15/07
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>> Unfortunately, nobody has really bothered to tally up the
>> increased demand for electricity from plug-in hybrids if they
>> were to be deployed in large numbers. There are just [blithe
>> assumptions] that they'll be recharged off-peak (which, as

>> I've mentioned, has already not held true for EVs) or that
>> renewable energy sources will suffice.

> If driven properly at low speeds a plug in hybrid car could


> totally run on electric power.

=v= Oh, you've tallied that up, have you? Not just making
blithe assumptions, right? Because otherwise it seems as if
you completely and absolutely and totally ignored what I wrote
right there in the text that you excerpted and replied to.

=v= Therefore, I look forward to your rigorous math supporting
that statement.

> What would be a good aproach is to have hybrids no bigger
> than a smart car and with a diesel engine to use only recycled
> restaurant oils or other biodiesel made from non food crops.
> We can develop transport trucks, trains and buses on this type
> of hybrid - biodeisel energy.

=v= And I look forward to more rigorous math supporting this.
<_Jym_>

Terry Dyck

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Nov 17, 2007, 3:54:04 PM11/17/07
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Hi Jym,
 
No math, however, lots of philosophy.  What ever small steps we can take right now to slow down global warming is better than burning fossil fuels.  Why was there no response to my statement about the energy used to produce petroleum?

 
Terry Dyck

> From: j...@econet.org
> To: trans-...@googlegroups.com
> Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-end plug-in hybrids

Richard Campbell

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Nov 23, 2007, 3:38:45 AM11/23/07
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As I suspected, one of the main problems will be finding enough
materials to make the batteries, to power enough electric cars to make
a difference, at a reasonable cost (or at all).

Lithium seems to be the worse off:
http://www.meridian-int-res.com/Projects/EVRsrch.htm

Nickel is not far behind:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000080&sid=aRI2UXm5EuJE

Zinc is making some noises:
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/zinc-supplies-quietly-running-
out/story.aspx?guid=%7B665D425C-2280-42D8-9BDC
-78FDB342005E%7D&print=true&dist=printTop

Beyond the batteries, we just don't have the materials available for
even a quarter of the people on the planet to own a car.

Richard

Dave Thompson

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Nov 26, 2007, 6:31:48 PM11/26/07
to trans-...@googlegroups.com

Sorry for the delayed reply. 

 

Agree we need to reduce GHGs from both.  And yes, that UN FAO report does state that livestock is responsible for more GHGs than transport http://www.fao.org/ag/magazine/0612sp1.htm .  But:

1.       it also points out the methodology, which it acknowledges is not one that scientists “usually” use, and which actually counts some transportation in with the livestock emissions. 

2.       also, it’s a global report, and the rest of the world don’t drive like Canadians drive.  The Canadian data is here: http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/ghg/inventory_e.cfm.

 

Don’t take the above as me defending Big Agribiz; it’s an incredibly polluting business.  As the Union of Concerned Scientists notes, cars and meat are the two biggest areas where individuals could do something to reduce their ecological footprint - not recycling, not switching to compact fluorescents - but reducing car use and meat consumption.


</html

Terry Dyck

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Nov 27, 2007, 11:59:52 PM11/27/07
to trans-...@googlegroups.com
Hi Dave,
 
Excellent summary comment.  Drive less and consume less meat; an easy solution to help people with their ecological footprint.
Thanks for that.
 
Terry Dyck



From: davidt...@telus.net
To: trans-...@googlegroups.com
Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-end plug-in hybrids
Date: Mon, 26 Nov 2007 16:31:48 -0700

Richard Campbell

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Nov 30, 2007, 3:36:13 AM11/30/07
to trans-...@googlegroups.com
Yet another reason why plug-in hybrids and just regular old hybrids
won't really get the job done.

Richard

http://www.planetark.com/avantgo/dailynewsstory.cfm?newsid=45617

Energy Efficiency Fails to Cut Consumption - Study

TORONTO - American consumers are driving bigger gas-guzzling cars and
buying more air conditioners and refrigerators as the overall energy
efficiency of such products improves, a report released on Tuesday
found.

In what the study calls "the efficiency paradox," consumers have taken
money saved from greater energy efficiency and spent it on more and
bigger appliances and vehicles, consuming even more energy in the
process.

"While seemingly perverse, improvements in energy efficiency result in
more of the good being consumed -- not less," said Jeff Rubin, chief
economist and chief strategist at CIBC World Markets, which conducted
the study.

The study concludes that stricter energy efficiency regulations aren't
the answer to concerns over climate change and the depletion of oil
supplies.

"The problem is, energy efficiency is not the final objective," Rubin
said. "Reducing energy consumption must be the final objective to both
the challenges of conventional oil depletion and to greenhouse gas
emissions."

The study found that energy use increased by 40 percent from 1975 to
2005 while energy efficiency improved in the same period. The sectors
with the greatest increases in energy use -- transportation and
residential -- are also the areas where the US government is promoting
energy efficiency the most.

The average mileage per gallon of gasoline has increased since 1980,
but Americans have responded by driving larger vehicles and further.
The average American drove 9,500 miles annually in 1970. These days he
or she drives more than 12,000 miles.

The energy used to heat and cool homes is also rising as homes become
larger. The study notes the area of the average home has increased from
1,000 square feet in the 1950s to the current 2,500 square feet. More
households are also buying air conditioners.

Rubin believes energy efficiency is needed more than ever, but that
government's current initiatives won't help.

"In order for efficiency to actually curb energy usage, as opposed to
energy intensity, consumers must be kept from reaping the benefits of
those initiatives in ever-greater energy consumption," he said.

(Reporting by Sharon Ho; editing by Frank McGurty)

Story Date: 29/11/2007

On 27-Nov-07, at 8:59 PM, Terry Dyck wrote:

> Hi Dave,
>  
> Excellent summary comment.  Drive less and consume less meat; an easy
> solution to help people with their ecological footprint.
> Thanks for that.
>  
> Terry Dyck
>
>

>> From: davidt...@telus.net
>> To: trans-...@googlegroups.com
>> Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-end plug-in hybrids
>> Date: Mon, 26 Nov 2007 16:31:48 -0700
>>
>> Sorry for the delayed reply. 
>>  
>> Agree we need to reduce GHGs from both.  And yes, that UN FAO report
>> does state that livestock is responsible for more GHGs than transport
>> http://www.fao.org/ag/magazine/0612sp1.htm .  But:
>> 1.       it also points out the methodology, which it acknowledges is
>> not one that scientists “usually” use, and which actually counts some
>> transportation in with the livestock emissions. 
>> 2.       also, it’s a global report, and the rest of the world don’t
>> drive like Canadians drive.  The Canadian data is here:
>> http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/ghg/inventory_e.cfm.
>>  
>> Don’t take the above as me defending Big Agribiz; it’s an incredibly
>> polluting business.  As the Union of Concerned Scientists notes, cars
>> and meat are the two biggest areas where individuals could do
>> something to reduce their ecological footprint - not recycling, not
>> switching to compact fluorescents - but reducing car use and meat
>> consumption.
>>  
>> Cheers,
>> Dave
>>  
>>

>> From: trans-...@googlegroups.com
>> [mailto:trans-...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Terry Dyck
>> Sent: November 15, 2007 10:34 AM
>> To: trans-...@googlegroups.com
>> Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-end plug-in hybrids
>>  
>>
>> Hi Dave,
>>  
>> Some very good thoughts there and hopefully there is a solution.  It
>> is interesting that you mentioned the Mayans.  Maybe the solution
>> will happen when we reach the new age of the Mayan calender.  A
>> society that focusses more on good social and natural values rather
>> than materialistic values.
>> About methane.  The international panel on climate change has a 400
>> page U.N. report entitled, Livestock's Long Shadow, which states that
>> Livestock produce a huge amount of methane, which is 24 times more
>> potent than CO2 as a Green House Gas.  The report claims that
>> livestock produce more GHG than cars.
>> Regardless we still need to work on eliminating CO2 from
>> transportation.
>>  
>> Terry Dyck
>>
>>

>> From: trans-...@googlegroups.com
>> [mailto:trans-...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Terry Dyck
>> Sent: November 14, 2007 12:48 PM
>> To: trans-...@googlegroups.com
>> Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-end plug-in hybrids
>>  
>>
>> Hi Dave,
>>  
>> What is the adequate solution?
>>  
>> Terry Dyck
>>

>> From: trans-...@googlegroups.com
>> [mailto:trans-...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Terry Dyck
>> Sent: November 13, 2007 11:04 AM
>> To: trans-...@googlegroups.com
>> Subject: [trans-action] Re: High-end plug-in hybrids
>>  
>>
>> Hi David,
>>  
>> If technology could reduce or maybe even eliminate GHG, why is that
>> not a good thing?  Right now technology is being used to create many
>> electronic devices that are increasing energy needs; is that not the
>> type of technology we should critisize instead?
>>  
>> Terry Dyck
>>

Katherine Muncaster

unread,
Nov 30, 2007, 1:02:25 PM11/30/07
to trans-...@googlegroups.com
Its worth reading Nic Rivers (author of Hot Air)'s comments on that article, below.
==
All -�

A quick clarification. �The rebound effect theory (Khazoom/Brookes theory) basically says the following:�

(1) investments in energy efficiency are likely to make a service cheaper. (2) If so, that service is likely to be used more intensively. �

For example, investments in home insulation mean that a home can be heated with less cost. �If the theory holds, then people with more home insulation are likely to set their thermostats at higher temperatures, thereby eroding some of the energy savings gained by adding extra home insulation.

There have been dozens of attempts to quantify the magnitude of the rebound effect by economists. �Although, like John says, there is significant uncertainty regarding its true magnitude, estimates generally fall within the 5-25% range, meaning that between 5-25% of the savings that should have happened from undertaking an energy efficiency measure are typically eroded by the rebound effect. �

Note that this means that the quote in the newspaper that was sent around is not justified by empirical estimates. �The quote said "the Khazzoom-Brookes postulate argues that improvements in energy efficiency can work to increase, rather than decrease, energy consumption." �Any estimates I've seen of the rebound effect suggest that energy efficiency measures will still reduce energy consumption, just not by as much as might be expected if the rebound effect were ignored.

As I said, there have been lots of studies on this�phenomenon. �I attach a survey article by three respected economists that summarizes many of them.

Nic
 
----- Original Message -----
rebound effect.pdf
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