The climate models relied upon by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are known to overestimate warming compared to observations. Depending upon the region (global? U.S.?), temperature metric (surface? deep ocean? lower atmosphere?) and time period (last 150 years? last 50 years?) the average model over-estimate of warming can be either large or small.
The following plot shows the 50-year area-averaged temperature trend during 1973-2022 for the 12-state corn belt as observed with the official NOAA homogenized surface temperature product (blue bar) versus the same metric from 36 CMIP6 climate models (red bars, SSP245 emissions scenario, output here).
This kind of sanity check is needed because efforts to change U.S. energy policy are based upon climate model predictions, which are often wildly out of line with observed history. This is why environmentalists emphasize models (which can show dramatic change) over actual observations (which are usually unremarkable).
GDP is based upon the address of the taxpayer, thus all the profits from major corporations are attributable to a single address. Indeed, by far most of the wealthiest most profitable corporations currying favor of the US government are in the blue states.
One of the aggravating features of the mainstream media is the tolerance of the use of Gross State Product contribution vs federal income tax to show that blue states are better than red states. Their tolerance is perhaps due to their ignorance of the measures. Gross State Product is not government expenditures. Gross State Product due to federal spending spending in the state is not the same thing as federal spending in the state. The latter includes welfare payments while the former does not. Yes, California payments in federal income tax exceeds its Gross State Product due to federal spending. This imbalance no doubt is due to the high incomes of of those in the entertainment industry as well as Silicon Valley. However, when welfare spending is included, California receives more federal dollars than it pays in federal income tax.
Overall, the balance of payments between the states and the federal government was $2.8 trillion in the states favor. This was the second largest net deficit in history, second only to the $3.1 trillion gap recorded in 2020.
I do not think that you understand the issue. For most people, the issue of GSP contribution compared to federal tax dollars is not of particular interest. But that is often the metric used to mislead people on the distribution of non-GSP payments across various states and on issue of dependency on the federal budget.
If you want to say that blue states tend to have higher incomes than red states, there is no debate on that issue. Contrary to media imagery, the Republican Party is the party of the low-incomes, particularly the working low-incomes. Meanwhile, through their connections in government, the wealthy find sympathetic ears for programs, loopholes, and treatment that protect and enhance their wealth. Yes, the well-known wealthy people are Democrats who help shape and take advantage of how the government tilts the playing field.
I do not think a Yes But followed by a rant counters my demonstration that your analysis was pure baloney, Enquirer. Red states bite the hand that feed them while crying about God and Freedumb. That you caution this red baiting with more empty rhetoric tells more about your sorry self than anything.
Your right Willard. The Red States are trying to get those federal funds spent on socialism out of their states as the money is used to squash coal production, oil production, even farm production, ranching, forestry lock downs. Turn off the federal spending in enforcing that crap and see what happens.
Lower gravity less weight.
But though though less mass of air at surface.
If have lower density air which is 15 C, it would be less cold.
And less density hot air would likewise heat less- but
this never been a problem in regard on Earth.
But mainly I thinking of it, as climate question: How much effect does having 1 gee gravity, affect our global average temperature.
And I was wondering mostly about troposphere and tropopause above it.
What is the agricultural intensification?
Definition. Source. References. An increase in agricultural production per unit of inputs (which may be labour, land, time, fertilizer, seed, feed or cash).
Maintaining moderate activity, and room for it to get busy in next week. No one has predicted it right, but still no one predicted it
wrong, yet. {Unless you count my guess that it would be a lot more active in June].
In terms Hurricane season, it seems everyone is going with a normal one.
Gov. Greg Abbott approved this week a law that will eliminate city and county ordinances like Austin and Dallas mandated water breaks. Texas is one of the states where most workers die from high temperatures.
As opposed to what? Instantaneous magic cooling? You might as stick to pointless trolling. If you get good enough, you might even be able to annoy someone! You dont seem to be succeeding all that well at present.
The outright provable deception is the real issue. People and organizations that are purposefully deceptive are not to be trusted. Jurors sitting for a trial are given various instruction by the judge. Two are very important and translate to daily life: Statements by the attorneys are not facts. If you believe a witness has lied, you can disregard their entire testimony.
You must be able to state the specific impact of CO2 from human activity on any climate factor be it atmospheric temperature, ocean temperature, ocean salinity, snowfall, storm frequency or severity, drought frequency or severity, etcetera.
We are in the coldest last couple millions years as compared to last tens of millions of years. Our interglacial period has been the coolest, and we are thousands of years from the warmer part of this cooler interglacial period.
The issue this year is simple. We still have the La Nina effect, less water vapor and high pressure in high latitudes from where the air flows south. With low solar activity, there is a stagnation of zonal circulation in the North Pacific and Atlantic.
Since even the warmists acknowledge regional climate length periods of cooling and warming and even claim them to be out of sync with true forcings. . . .even asking such a question calls into question as to how well they have thought out their own theory.
The classic explanation was after a 60 year one degree advance in temperatures at the end of the Maunder Minimum the feedback system continued with sufficient feedback cooling to offset the LIA recovery until the ice advanced to lower elevations where they stopped providing new acreages of cooling feedback. . . .then an ice area change pause ensued as the LIA recovery again became realized in climate temperatures and beginning to sponsor its own positive feedback program with retreating glacial ice.
So what shell is the pea under Nate? Have a statistically sensible argument to make here in this game of sneaking peas out from under shells. Apparently not! You have chosen to renege every time you have been challenged on this.
bdgwx says:
Models dont handle the suppression well because of a lack adequate land use inputs and parameterization schemes. Here is but an extremely small subset of the available literature within just the last few years.
WASHINGTON (AP) The Supreme Court on Thursday issued a surprising ruling in favor of Black voters in a congressional redistricting case, ordering the creation of a second district with a large Black population.
Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Brett Kavanaugh joined with the courts liberals in affirming a lower-court ruling that found a likely violation of the Voting Rights Act in an Alabama congressional map with one majority Black seat out of seven congressional districts in a state where more than one in four residents is Black.
For over a decade, Alabamas residential electricity bills have been in the top three highest in the nation. Spikes in natural gas prices and home heating costs are compounding the problem for Alabamians.
And while Remley and others are adjusting their budgets, Alabama Power raked in higher profits than comparable electric utilities in other southern states, an investigation by the Opelika-Auburn News and Dothan Eagle found.
Documents recently posted online suggest that Alabama Power engaged in a multi-million dollar effort to monitor environmental groups, exert pressure on regulators, and conduct other political activities.
The records appear to be contracts between Alabama Power and companies controlled by Joe Perkins, a longtime Alabama-based political consultant whose companies have been connected to numerous utility-adjacent controversies, including the ghost-candidate election scandals in Florida and the North Birmingham bribery scandal in 2018, which has been referred to as Alabamas Watergate.
According to data from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Alabama Powers James H. Miller Jr. Electric Generating Plant in Jefferson County emitted more greenhouse gases than any other power plant, oil and gas refinery or factory in the country in 2021.
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