On 2/19/2019 3:06 PM, Ernest Major wrote:
> On 19/02/2019 19:06, Burkhard wrote:
>> Ron Dean wrote:
>>> On 2/11/2019 10:55 AM, Glenn wrote:
>>>> On Monday, February 11, 2019 at 5:30:05 AM UTC-7, Burkhard wrote:
>>>>> zencycle wrote:
>>>>>> On Friday, February 8, 2019 at 2:55:09 PM UTC-5, Glenn wrote:
>>>>>>> On Friday, February 8, 2019 at 12:00:08 PM UTC-7, Burkhard wrote:
>>>>>>>>
dthe...@gmail.com wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Firstly, wrong on its own terms, as these "other forms of
>>>>>>>> evidence" are
>>>>>>>> of course observations. Science frequently postulates entities and
>>>>>>>> processes that can only indirectly be observed (otherwise, you
>>>>>>>> would
>>>>>>>> really not need science, just a list of things you see)
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Second, it makes an arbitrary and ultimately meaningless
>>>>>>>> distinction
>>>>>>>> between historical sciences and other scientific disciplines.
>>>>>>>> Forensic
>>>>>>>> sciences are an obvious example where we use scientific methods to
>>>>>>>> form
>>>>>>>> reliable theories about singular past events - maybe you suggest we
>>>>>>>> should empty our prisons and only convict if there were several
>>>>>>>> eyewitnesses?
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Hmmmmmm, reliable, eh.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> "In 2009, the National Academy of Sciences evaluated the state of
>>>>>>> forensic science and, shockingly, concluded that many of the
>>>>>>> techniques used in court actually have no scientific validity. This
>>>>>>> means that the science used to convict the accused is neither
>>>>>>> reliable, nor robust and cannot be trusted in a court of law."
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/we-must-strengthen-the-science-in-forensic-science/
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Thanks for comparing evolution to forensics.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> It's always so cute when you pretend you know what you're taliking
>>>>>> about, glenn. Of course, a good analogy for your debating skills is
>>>>>> that a broken clock is right twice a day. Burkhard may not have
>>>>>> chosen the best analogy, but as usual with half-wits like you and
>>>>>> slowstan, you don't bother to read past a headline. Guess where this
>>>>>> snippet came from:
>>>>>>
>>>>>> "Forensic techniques such as fingerprints and firearms analysis were
>>>>>> developed by law enforcement to help solve crimes. Unlike DNA
>>>>>> analysis, these practices were not borne of science, and evolved in
>>>>>> a legal system that is binary, adversarial and absolute, requiring
>>>>>> verdicts of guilty or not guilty. In contrast, mainstream science
>>>>>> functions with an acceptance that all knowledge is provisional and
>>>>>> certainty is described by probability. These two approaches create
>>>>>> tremendous tension between the ways scientists and legal
>>>>>> practitioners perceive evidence."
>>>>>>
>>>>>> thanks for playing.....
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Glenn linked to the NAS report on forensic science? Now that's funny
>>>>> :o). My team contributed to it, and my then co-director and
>>>>> collaborator
>>>>> Colin Aitken is cited several times. We've done more direct work
>>>>> for our
>>>>> UK review.
>>>>>
>>>>> And no, the report does not say that forensic science is unreliable -
>>>>> Glenn is of course welcome to commit a crime, leave his DNA and
>>>>> fingerprints all over the place, and then submit the report in his
>>>>> defense- should be fun. Or as the report says:
>>>>>
>>>>> "For decades, the forensic science disciplines have produced valuable
>>>>> evidence that has contributed to the successful prosecution and
>>>>> conviction of criminals as well as to the exoneration of innocent
>>>>> people. Over the last two decades, advances in some forensic science
>>>>> disciplines, especially the use of DNA technology, have demonstrated
>>>>> that some areas of forensic science have great additional potential to
>>>>> help law enforcement identify criminals. Many crimes that may have
>>>>> gone
>>>>> unsolved are now being solved because forensic science is helping to
>>>>> identify the perpetrators."
>>>>>
>>>>> If you look at the Innocence project for instance, the pretty
>>>>> consistent
>>>>> pattern is people getting exonerated through forensic (mainly DNA)
>>>>> evidence for convictions based on flawed eyewitness evidence
>>>>> (including
>>>>> false confessions, if you consider the suspect as eyewitness)
>>>>>
>>>>> Are there problems in the way forensic science is sometimes practices,
>>>>> especially in the US? Of course. Unrealistic expectations in jurors
>>>>> and
>>>>> lawyers caused by TV programs, an increasing workload with stagnating
>>>>> funding )especially for defense work), an increasing breadth of
>>>>> techniques that cause tension between the need to specialize and still
>>>>> to keep an overview of the entire investigation etc etc.
>>>>>
>>>>> The problem in most of the areas of improvement is not the science,
>>>>> but
>>>>> the forensic laboratory infrastructure. This includes lack of
>>>>> mandatory
>>>>> and robust certification standards for labs, mandatory training
>>>>> pathways
>>>>> into the profession, and also investment in things like modern
>>>>> equipment
>>>>> and comprehensive data sets. Or as the report put it right at the
>>>>> beginning:
>>>>>
>>>>> "There are scores of talented and dedicated people in the forensic
>>>>> science community, and the work that they perform is vitally
>>>>> important.
>>>>> They are often strapped in their work, however, for lack of adequate
>>>>> resources, sound policies, and national support".
>>>>>
>>>>> So what is needed is more money, and more public sector structures -
>>>>> both unfortunately anathema to the current US government, which
>>>>> promptly
>>>>> closed down the the National Commission on Forensic Science. I
>>>>> mean, why
>>>>> spend money on criminal justice if "thoughts and prayers" are so much
>>>>> cheaper
>>>>>
>>>>> There have been some forensic disciplines where the problem is more
>>>>> fundamental, bitemark evidence probably the most dramatic case. There
>>>>> the self-regulatory mechanisms of scientific practice were
>>>>> systematically sidelined. The report makes a couple of recommendations
>>>>> on how to rectify this.
>>>>>
>>>>> So yes, there is always room for improvement, but the report makes it
>>>>> clear that this is improvement of something that has already
>>>>> dramatically changed the accuracy and reliability of trial decision
>>>>> making for the better.
>>>>
>>>> As - its getting better all the time.
>>>>
>>>>> To read it as Glenn does is just your average quote mine.
>>>>
>>>> I read it the way it was printed. That's better than whitewashing it.
>>>>
>>>> Another "quotemine":
>>>>
>>>> "Historically, forensic science has had a huge impact on identifying
>>>> and confirming suspects in the courtroom, and on the judicial system
>>>> more generally. And yet, a 2009 report from the U.S. National Academy
>>>> of Sciences (NAS) identified numerous shortcomings in the field,
>>>> including an absence of a scientific basis for most forms of forensic
>>>> evidence, a lack of uniform standards and the need for independence
>>>> from law enforcement. In short, the report called for nothing less
>>>> than major reform."
>>>>
>>>>
https://www.livescience.com/49929-faulty-forensic-science-failing-united-states-court-system.html
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Burkhard "DNA OK"?
>>>>
>>>> DNA tests in forensic science can't be separated from "Forensic
>>>> Science".
>>>>
>>>> "Analysts are picking up DNA transferred from one person to another by
>>>> way of an object that both of them have touched, or from one piece of
>>>> evidence to another by crime scene investigators, lab techs—or when
>>>> two items jostled against each other in an evidence bag."
>>>>
>>>> Read more at
>>>>
>>>>
http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2016/03/forensics-gone-wrong-when-dna-snares-innocent
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>> I think we are missing a golden opportunity by ignoring the recently
>>> discovered homeobox genes.
>>>
>>
>> You might want to rethink this. Isn't your claim that they are highly
>> conserved? That makes them pretty useless to differentiate between
>> possible perpetrators, don't you think?
>>
>
> I thought perhaps he was changing the subject away from forensic
> science, but tens of thousands of papers (Google Scholar gives 177,000
> results for homeobox) is hardly ignoring them.
>
It's true that perhaps most biologist know about this topic and have
advanced papers regarding this discovery, but the rank and file don't
seem to know anything about them.