"A Smaller, could not be perturbed
The Summer Gnat displays
Unconscious that his single Fleet
Do not comprise the skies"
How much of the 'universe' can a fly perceive?
How much can a dog? A human? With each step up
more of the universe can be perceived.
So what we perceive is a fraction of what exists.
Perception of an object costs
Precise the Object's loss
Perception in itself a Gain
Replying to its Price
The Object Absolute -- is nought
Perception sets it fair
And then upbraids a Perfectness
That situates so far
Only our imagination can take the small
portion of the universe we can observe
and extrapolate it towards the ideal.
So perception has a price in that we
can only 'see' a fraction of what is there.
But only through intelligence and imagination
can we move beyond the dry details of
what exists and find truth and meaning.
Every ecosystem is a mini universe, with it's
own unique and finely tuned coevolved laws and
constants. No two are alike.
The big problem with conventional reductionist
science is the misguided assumption that
reducing to simplicity will display the
secrets to the universe and nature.
The truths of reality and nature are to
be found by doing exactly the opposite.
/By expanding to ever greater complexity/.
Just as rigorously as they've been searching
for the ultimate simplicity all this time.
And here's how it works.
Search for the most complex system one can
possibly imagine. For instance the stock market
where each 'system' or chart pattern has as
variables /countless/ educated and intelligent
people /furiously interacting/.
And their interactions are based on rumors
and feelings etc.
A combinatorial nightmare no computer could
possibly keep pace. A level of complexity
beyond all utterances.
The truth of nature and the universe can
be seen in the 'perfect rumor.
The perfect rumor has two properties.
1) the source of the rumor must be rock solid
For instance, a report the product has a flaw
or good news as the case may be, but from the
say the New York Times or the like where
one can have great confidence in the news.
The technical term would be a static attractor
but at it's maximum possible value.
2) but the details of the flaw, or news is so vague
and limited that no expert analysis could determine
if the news is insignificant or magnificent
The range spans the opposite extremes in possibility
as in the Mona Lisa smile.
The technical term would be a chaotic attractor
but as it's maximum possible value.
When the rumor has both of these qualities
something rather magical happens.
People are drawn in like moths to a flame.
The high level of uncertainty in the
perfect rumor translates to a high level
of total system complexity.
And a high level of system complexity translates
to a high level of...volatility.
Like water suddenly boiling.
The disturbance, or rumor, via the new found
volatility pushes the system /far from it's
normal equilibrium/ and towards it's own
breaking point. When driven to it's tipping
point, but not beyond, that is when emergence
takes over.
And suddenly out of the cacophony of noise
simple, predictable behavior, like bird
flocking, takes shape.
The volatility produced at such a disturbance
driven tipping point accounts for the added
value in the expression...
...."the whole is more than it's sum".
At the edge, the whole becomes more than
it's sum. New found 'energy' is attracted
from outside the system.
The emergent behaviors displayed is the source of
new creations and the driving impetus behind
continued evolution. Whether for a universe, a forest
or ideas.
But it can only be seen and observed at
the highest possible system complexity.
Static and chaotic attractors at simultaneous
maximums...
....yields maximum system complexity = maximum
system uncertainty = maximum system volatility
= more than it's sum = new emergent properties
= creation and evolution.
For instances... look at these 3 stock charts.
I'm going to list 3...recent charts so you
can see the SAME'universal' simple predictable
pattern emerge in all three, even though
they are all unique systems.
From last Thursday ticker TBIO. News comes
out at 7:30 am that someone has chosen
it's clinical platform, but there's no
details of sales etc, just good news.
It could be a minor boost in sales or
it could be huge, it's too soon to know
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/transgenomic-announces-leading-clinical-laboratory-123000836.html
But the uncertainty causes the herds to predictably
assume the best case scenario and the stock in
....minutes goes from 14 million shares a day
to 60 million a day. Here's the chart pattern.
From $.30 cents a share to $1.50 (yeehaw~)
http://elite.finviz.com/publish/011717/TBIOi15211315108i.png
Another example today ticker BNTC. News comes out
this morning that it's drug received a positive
status, it'll probably take years for this
to produce sales, but in minutes the ticker
goes from 16 thousand shares a day to 9 million
and the price goes from $2.20 to $4 in less
than an hour.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/benitec-receives-orphan-drug-designation-100000133.html
And here's the chart pattern.
http://elite.finviz.com/publish/011717/BNTCi1211918996i.png
A third example from today, ticker PULM same kind
of news, a positive designation which could
take years to pan out.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/pulmatrix-drug-candidate-receives-qualified-144500653.html
And here's the chart pattern, see a 'pattern'
developing? Put the 3 side by side, even
though they are unique systems, at such
high levels of volatility = uncertainty = complexity
that.../same simple predictable/ pattern emerges
and the price more than doubles in hours.
http://elite.finviz.com/publish/011717/PULMi1212546821i.png
Notice they're all biotechs, rumor heaven.
But more to the point, there's a herd of traders
all looking for the same set of circumstance.
Good news combined with a large spike in volume
and that beautiful and easily recognizable flag pattern
early in the morning.
Point is, at the highest levels of complexity
one doesn't even need to know so much as
the NAME of the company (reductionist details)
to predict it's behavior, simply and accurately.
As complexity steadily increases so does the
difficulty of predicting, but once at the
.....peak...complexity for that system suddenly
it becomes nice and calm and simple.
At least as long as the volatility lasts which
is usually a couple hours to a couple days.
s
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> Bill
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