Hi Justin
A very interesting and comprehensive report. The detailed recording of the precise locations on buildings with photographs is very important for future reference, as in future years Swifts may well be seen entering different parts of the same buildings, allowing confirmation of multiple nests
One particular point to note - Swift Mapper records up to about 2020 were based on postcodes, and if I understand them correctly, the nest is somewhere in the entered postcode area, with the marker probably being central in that area. I don't think precise locations for these records can therefore be assumed.
You will find that as you survey in consecutive years, the number of nests builds up. This is because you know where to look for the existing nests, and have more time to find new ones. Having surveyed for four years in Hertfordshire, I can tell you that you can never find all of the nests, and there are always many more than you think there are. Looking at the survey area you have, I would fully expect that you eventually find several times the number you have in one year. For this reason it may be too early to confirm any sort of decline in numbers.
I would definitely recommend trying the call and response survey method early in the morning, where you play the calls and listen for responses. You can easily record 10-20 nests in a single morning by targeting known nest sites. The method does not by any means not find all of the nests, but allows survey work on a much larger scale, as it reduces the need to stand and wait in a single location in the evening. (My estimate is that at least 500 nests were recorded by this method in Herts in 2025). I will be posting some further details of the survey method at some point in the next few weeks.
Best wishes
Graham Knight
Sawbridgeworth Swifts