95PPU

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fatemeh babakhani

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Jan 22, 2016, 3:48:47 PM1/22/16
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Hello Dr. Abbas pour

Would you please let me know how SWATCUP estimates 95PPU region?

Once I used Normal Distribution Curve and following equations for estimating Upper Boundary and Lower Boundary of 95PPU.

U95PPU= Mean+1.96*Standard Deviation/ (Simulation Number)^.5
L95PPU=Mean-1.96*Standard Deviation/ (Simulation Number)^.5

But the 95PPU region which I was found was too narrower than 95PPU of SWATCUP! I was wondering if SWATCUP used Normal Distribution Curve.

Thank you so much!
Fatemeh

Abbaspour, Karim

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Jan 25, 2016, 1:56:28 PM1/25/16
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No, it is not like that. It is not a normal distribution, you need to plot the cumulative distribution of flow and calculate the interval between 2.5 and 97.5. See if you can follow the attached Excel file calculation.

Karim

 

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Dr. K.C. Abbaspour
Eawag, Swiss Federal Institute for Aquatic Science and Technology
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email: abba...@eawag.ch
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95PPU.xlsx

fatemeh babakhani

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Aug 30, 2016, 2:58:42 PM8/30/16
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Dear Dr. Abbaspour

Could you please let me know the definition of M 95 PPU? Does M 95 PPU represent the 50% probabilities? or is it the average of all solutions?

Thanks so much!
Fatemeh

Abbaspour

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Aug 30, 2016, 4:17:58 PM8/30/16
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Yes, 50% probability.
Karim

Ankan Jana

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May 7, 2020, 6:30:53 AM5/7/20
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Respected Dr. K C Abbaspour,
Please let me know the type of cumulative distribution. In the excel file, how the frequency is calculated. 

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2w2e

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May 7, 2020, 8:58:45 AM5/7/20
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You are calculating 95% confidence interval of a normal distribution. This is not 95ppu. Use the following:

Capture.JPG

Hoang Anh Nguyen

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May 18, 2020, 11:04:34 PM5/18/20
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hi Dr. Karim, 

As I understand about your figure on 95PPU, n simulations lead to n discharge outputs over a simulation period. For example, I have a 120- month simulation, after running n simulations I will have 95PPU of discharge for each month. Am I correct?

I Look forward to hearing from you
Kind regards
Anh

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k_abb...@yahoo.com

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May 19, 2020, 4:54:53 AM5/19/20
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yes, swatcup calculates 95ppu at every observation point.






On Tuesday, May 19, 2020 at 5:04:34 AM UTC+2, Hoang Anh Nguyen wrote:
hi Dr. Karim, 

As I understand about your figure on 95PPU, n simulations lead to n discharge outputs over a simulation period. For example, I have a 120- month simulation, after running n simulations I will have 95PPU of discharge for each month. Am I correct?

I Look forward to hearing from you
Kind regards
Anh

On Fri, May 8, 2020 at 12:58 AM 2w2e <abbasp...@gmail.com> wrote:
You are calculating 95% confidence interval of a normal distribution. This is not 95ppu. Use the following:

Capture.JPG






On Friday, January 22, 2016 at 9:48:47 PM UTC+1, fatemeh babakhani wrote:
Hello Dr. Abbas pour

Would you please let me know how SWATCUP estimates 95PPU region?

Once I used Normal Distribution Curve and following equations for estimating Upper Boundary and Lower Boundary of 95PPU.

U95PPU= Mean+1.96*Standard Deviation/ (Simulation Number)^.5
L95PPU=Mean-1.96*Standard Deviation/ (Simulation Number)^.5

But the 95PPU region which I was found was too narrower than 95PPU of SWATCUP! I was wondering if SWATCUP used Normal Distribution Curve.

Thank you so much!
Fatemeh

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