No, it is not like that. It is not a normal distribution, you need to plot the cumulative distribution of flow and calculate the interval between 2.5 and 97.5. See if you can follow the attached Excel file calculation.
Karim
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Dr. K.C. Abbaspour
Eawag, Swiss Federal Institute for Aquatic Science and Technology
Ueberlandstr. 133, P.O. Box 611, 8600 Duebendorf, Switzerland
email: abba...@eawag.ch
phone: +41 58 765 5359
fax: +41 58 765 5375
http://www.eawag.ch/index_EN
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hi Dr. Karim,As I understand about your figure on 95PPU, n simulations lead to n discharge outputs over a simulation period. For example, I have a 120- month simulation, after running n simulations I will have 95PPU of discharge for each month. Am I correct?I Look forward to hearing from youKind regardsAnh
On Fri, May 8, 2020 at 12:58 AM 2w2e <abbasp...@gmail.com> wrote:
You are calculating 95% confidence interval of a normal distribution. This is not 95ppu. Use the following:--
On Friday, January 22, 2016 at 9:48:47 PM UTC+1, fatemeh babakhani wrote:Hello Dr. Abbas pourWould you please let me know how SWATCUP estimates 95PPU region?Once I used Normal Distribution Curve and following equations for estimating Upper Boundary and Lower Boundary of 95PPU.U95PPU= Mean+1.96*Standard Deviation/ (Simulation Number)^.5L95PPU=Mean-1.96*Standard Deviation/ (Simulation Number)^.5But the 95PPU region which I was found was too narrower than 95PPU of SWATCUP! I was wondering if SWATCUP used Normal Distribution Curve.Thank you so much!Fatemeh
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