Hi Cole
I hope your exam went well!
I've been looking through Zach's draft paper that you've linked.
His construction X does not seem to include the exitless loops you have in your X. It contains only paths.
Quote: "Lemma 5.7. Comps(X) is a set of paths."
To shore up your proof we'd need an algorithm to show how to turn Zach's X into your X.
This might be technically challenging.
One issue is that Zach has defined "early exit" based on the order that the first permutation in each 1 cycle appeared in the original superpermutation.
But when following your construction we will need to change this order around as we deal with each early exit in turn, which will get very messy.
e.g. If I add 2 permutations M ....43512 and N .35124 to the end of my (horrendous) example above
The initial exitless path from your paper must here begin ABIEL MNJ-- where ABIEL is a 1-cycle and MNJ is the start of another
But you'll notice that J occurred in the original superpermutation before M. In Zach's X we therefore have ABIEL be one exitless path, with J--MN in some separate path.
So your described general structure for X is not compatible with Zach's original definition of X.
Another issue is that we are potentially adding a lot of repeat 1-loops when building your X.
As you can see in my (horrendous) example, it is possible for a superpermutation to exit early from a 1-loop multiple times. Each time, your construction adds another copy of that 1-loop.
As I mentioned in my first reply, I'm not sure that it's obvious that an element of X_3 won't end up containing more than one of these copies, in which case it would self-intersect.
A lot of the discussion of X_3 in your paper assumes no self-intersection.
So I think that assuming the algebra in your paper contains no errors, you've only shown this lower bound for superpermutations with certain kinds of good behaviour - which need fleshing out in a bit more detail.
Regards
Tom