This youtube video shows an air source heat pump making 95 F (555 R)
refrigerant with -12 F (448 R) outdoor air...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n8q9jnkaPOk&feature=plcphttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_pump
says the Carnot efficiency limits the
maximum achievable efficiency of a heat
pump to COP = Thot/(Thot-Tcold), using
absolute temperatures, eg
555/(555-448) = 5.2 in the video.
It goes on to say:
>while
current "best practice" heat pumps (ground source system, operating
between
0° and 35° Celsius) have a typical COP around 4, no better than 5,
the
maximum achievable is 12 because of fundamental Carnot cycle limits. This
means
that in the coming decades, the energy efficiency of top-end heat pumps
could at
least double. Cranking up efficiency requires the development of a
better gas
compressor, fitting HVAC machines with larger heat exchangers with
slower gas
flows, and solving internal lubrication problems resulting from
slower gas flow.
Better heat pumps that also AC combined with very cheap
PVs and yearly net
metering for energy storage could kill solar thermal
collectors.
Energy Secretary Chu's 2012 youtube predictions for PV prices
are already out of
date, ie too high...
http://ases.org/conference/Nick