From the Editors…
This Week goes to Washington to see what the transportation thinkers are
thinking. Reported by Daniel Carleton.
The end of the era
of seemingly free money
By October [1908] the race to become
the [Georgia & Florida] shop town was in full swing. Civic boosters realized
that inducements were expected; railroads had long made such demands.
Understandably officials received several proposals for “this ripe, mellow
plum.” Augusta offered thirty acres and $20,000 or $30,000 without the land;
Douglas tendered 100 acres and $10,000, Hazlehurst volunteered 100 acres and
$5000, and Vidalia replicated the Hazlehurst deal. Valdosta, though, did not
propose a specific amount of either real estate or cash incentives. - H.
Roger Grant, Rails Through the Wiregrass, A History of the Georgia &
Florida Railroad, Northern Illinois University Press, 2006
One might
be forgiven the notion for thinking the above transactions were translated from
ancient hieroglyphics on some wall in the Valley of the Kings. It is almost
impossible to believe that this was just over a century ago, let alone the
notion that, once upon a time, cities would do all that they could to coerce a
private transportation company to build infrastructure there. It was quid pro
quo; the railroads received the land and resources for infrastructure, and the
town received a source of stable employment and property taxes.
It was at
about the same time that maleficent forces of social engineering began to upend
this long standing balance. In 1906, the Hepburn Act gave teeth to the perceived
weak Interstate Commerce Commission. This exercise would cause apoplexy for
private investment to the American Railroads over the next seven decades. Then,
following advances in internal combustion (and forgetting the lesson of the
National Road debacle of the early Nineteenth Century), minions of a
“Progressive” bent set an agenda that fomented a litany stipulating that capital
investment and maintenance of transportation infrastructure be the exclusive
purview of minor and major branches of government. Instead of voluntarily ceding
money and property for the benefit of the greater good, both would now be taken
with or without consent under the auspices of the National Interest. One century
later, we are just beginning to awaken to the aftermath of this
invocation.
More than just another Friday in
Washington
Sponsored by Norfolk Southern and hosted by The
Washington Post at its building in Washington, D.C. was the conference entitled
Fixing America’s Foundation: Rebuilding Transportation Infrastructure held
October 14, 2011. Highlights of the discourses were covered in a special section
of the October 23rd Washington Post. All those from the Post who were involved
in this affair are to be commended for opening their “home” to us outsiders for
a glimpse into their world.
Even so, as with most modern media, an
enlightened look at its coverage reveals just how disconnected the Fourth Estate
has become with the infrastructure which makes everything else work. On the
front of the special section is an illustrated panorama depicting planes,
trains, automobiles, and ships, with a number worked into each stylized
depiction. The number is purported to reflect the ranking of domestic
infrastructure as calculated by The Global Competitiveness Report 2011-12, World
Economic Forum, but there is no formula given as to how this status was
obtained. If the picture is to be believed, then American railroad
infrastructure is 20th in the world, as are U.S. roads. Domestic air travel
infrastructure is 31st and ports are 23rd. Moreover, in the opening paragraph
introducing the discussion, it was stated, “There was an epic push to build
railroads in this country a century ago and then an impressive plan to build
interstate highways from 1956 to 1992. But little investment and maintenance has
happened since.” Comparing the initial construction of railroads and
highways totally misses the point, and is enough to give a historian a migraine;
but to say there has been “little investment and maintenance” in railroads will
give the railroad proponent chest pains.
“We need to find pots of
money…”
U.S. Department of Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood
highlighted the plans of the administration: Fifty billion dollars for roads,
bridges, transit, and high-speed rail. It is easy to see that the Secretary
still believes in the concept of the money trough: “…We need to find pots of
money to do big things and to leverage that money against private money in the
country. No better way to do it than the infrastructure bank.” The
railroads, even when they were built with public money, were owned, operated and
maintained with private money. The interstate highway program was different,
relying on a trust fund held by the federal government.
Florida’s
favorite son, U.S. Representative John Mica, Chairman of the House
Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, sees the problem quite differently.
He does not reject the idea of infrastructure banking outright; however he does
point out other limiting issues: “It’s a good idea, but I have 33 states that
already have infrastructure banks, and we had some of them testify. They have no
money. It would take a year to set up an infrastructure bank under the terms of
the legislation that we’ve reviewed. It would take about $270 million [per year]
to operate it in the incumbent bureaucracy, plus having people on bended knees
to get an approval.” It would appear Mr. Mica has a handle on what all is
involved in the workings of dispensing public monies.
As for the local
scene, perhaps Richard Sarles, General Manager and CEO of WMATA said it
best:
“We talk about Washington Metro, it’s an example of what happens
after ribbons are cut. Systems are ignored. It begins to set and decay. When
decay sets in, there’s less popular support for funding. And when that happens,
you’re in a slow, agonizing descent to the bottom.”
(As an aside,
this writer, who used the METRO as a means of attending this conference, was
delayed over an hour due to some nebulous “major backup downtown” followed by
“There’s nothing we can do.” Apparently the “agonizing descent” has
begun.)
Pick your priorities
Later, a panel
discussion of four participants, including WMATA’s Sarles, was outlining its
world view of national infrastructure priorities. It should come as no surprise
that T. Peter Ruane, President and CEO of the American Road and Transportation
Builders Association, declared, “The No.1 priority is for the [U.S.] Congress
to do its job…and pass a long-term surface transportation reauthorization
program.” Of course that is easier said than done. The representative from
the U.S. Chamber of Commerce relayed the message from her members to fix the
roads and rebuild the interstate highway system, but added the national presence
of a “mindset” that these roads are bought and paid for with no further need of
investment. Such is the result of labeling your road a “freeway.” The figure of
$50 billion was cited to describe the backlog of work needed in transit; METRO’s
maintenance backlog was staked at $10 billion. Otherwise, there were no real
specific priorities mentioned.
The bottom
line
Following a break, there was another panel discussion,
this time addressing the big unknown: How to pay for it all. Most of the
revelations, however, were not too revealing, merely citing what used to work
and what no longer works. One breath of fresh air came from Robert Puentes,
Senior Fellow of the Brookings Institution’s Metropolitan Policy
Program:
"They’re talking about raising gasoline taxes in Iowa. In
Maryland, they’re talking about land value capture [raising funds for
transportation by capturing a portion of land value gains associated with public
infrastructure]. Minnesota’s looking into that, too. In Salt Lake City, in
Phoenix, Oklahoma City, Los Angles - these places are going to their voters and
raising their own taxes at the ballot box.”
One point was made very,
very clear: The traditional sources of revenue for transportation, i.e. federal
gas tax, state gas tax, and public debt through municipal bonds, are irrevocably
broken. This old way of doing business was dependant upon the ever-rising sales
of gasoline and the garnering of said taxes. The sale of gas in this country
peaked in August, 2007. Coincident with all of this are the trends of teenagers
postponing getting their driver's licenses, and teens/20-somethings driving less
than previous generations. This is a sea change in what was once a cyclical
system, with one participant going so far as to say, “The gas tax is now a
minority source of funds.” The Highway Trust fund was bailed out by federal
stimulus funds, and through it 35,000 miles of roads were renewed in 11 months;
but no one in that room was so naïve so as to believe this would happen
again.
Those who took the time to attend this meeting were predominantly
highway builders and proponents. Most of these people, long rewarded for their
work in the field of laying asphalt, have seen the money well run dry. What they
really want most of all in the whole wide world is to see a reverse in the trend
of declining automobile passenger miles and gasoline consumption. Well, good
luck with that.
There is always one in the crowd (thank
goodness)
Despite all the anemic news and seemingly dead-end
discussion, there was one very bright spot in the world of American
transportation. Edward Hamberger, President and CEO of the Association of
American Railroads, showed everyone else how it was done:
Thirty-one
years ago, Jimmy Carter, the President, signed the Staggers Rail Act, which
partially deregulated the freight rail industry in the country. At that time, 25
percent of the industry was in bankruptcy. We had something called deferred
maintenance.
Today, Secretary LaHood referred to the [freight rail]
industry as the envy of the world. That’s because we’ve spent $480 billion in
the last 31 years. In February, the President said to private America: Get off
the sidelines; spend money and hire people. We’re spending $13 billion in
[capitol expenditure] this year and hiring 15,000 people.
Just to make it
clear, not everybody knows it: We are privately owned, privately maintained, pay
taxes on our right of way.
Of course, as this meeting was in
Washington, D.C., there was the obligatory government representative who had the
unenviable task of justifying his (public salary) job. This person addressed the
popular desire to streamline the environmental review process, stating that the
problem was not the process, but the lack of funding for the project requiring
the review.
Ostensibly it goes like this: Some politico requests a review
of some project with no guarantee that the project will be funded or even move
further than the drawing board. As this is the case, then maybe one or two
people will be assigned to the review just to placate the politico even though
the money was not and may never be there. Mr. Hamberger immediately retorted
that, in the case of the railroads, the money was there. He should know.
Recently Norfolk Southern placed a newly-built (from scratch) five mile stretch
of track in service in western Pennsylvania; it took six years. Three and half
years were just for permitting, with the final year and a half for construction.
The time for actual installation of track? Two months. After almost 200 years of
railroading, should it really take six years to build five miles of
track?
It is time to pay the piper…and he is NOT accepting
credit
The simple reality is that the condition of the national
infrastructure is just another can that has been kicked down the road for
multiple terms and administrations. Unfortunately, that can has now fallen into
a pothole; a pothole the size of the Grand Canyon. That the U.S. Highway Trust
Fund has run dry should not be a surprise to anyone, especially those in the
nation's Capitol:
“In May 2002, the full coalition met with [Federal
Highway Administrator Mary] Peters on its annual trip to Washington, and she
assured the members that there was still a ‘federal interest’ in I-69. But there
was no money for it. ‘We are in a zero-sum game,’ she told them. The federal gas
tax, which had been the main source of money for highways since 1956, was losing
its effectiveness, she explained, because as cars were becoming more efficient,
drivers were paying less per mile…She told the coalition that it was time to
look hard at innovative financing to augment or even replace the gas tax.” -
Matt Dellinger, Interstate 69, The Unfinished History of the Last Great
American Highway, Scribner, 2010
During the luncheon discussion that
closed out the meeting, there was an innovative exercise in audience
participation. Each of us found a small electronic selector box placed alongside
his silverware. As we ate, questions were asked, and the results were
immediately tabulated on large video screens. Of note, when asked what should
have the priority in transportation - passenger or freight - the overwhelming
response was freight. When the subject of gas taxes was raised, the likely
choices included raising the federal gas tax, imposing a vehicle mileage tax or
raising state taxes. No one believed the public would stomach a higher federal
tax; the vast majority looked to higher state and local gas taxes.
Thus,
it appears the federal gas tax is dead. Everyone involved with highway
engineering, design or planning is on one of the five steps of the Kübler-Ross
model. Hopefully, this conference will help some of them get to “acceptance” of
the end of the free ride. They will be in the role of the displaced, as
transportation shifts from an imperious edict of political hubris to refocusing
on transportation where it is needed and warranted.
As for the railroads,
they are holding their own, investing their own dollars into their own physical
plant as dictated by the actual needs and growth of their customers. With this
in mind, both Ed Hamberger and Wick Moorman, Norfolk Southern President and CEO,
were asked separately why the railroads would organize and participate in such a
conference. After all, if the competing modes of transportation are “chasing
their own tails,” would that not be all the more beneficial for the railroads?
Both Hamberger and Moorman gave the same answer: All modes of transportation are
interdependent of one another. The railroad may move the container from one
intermodal yard to another, but without the roads completing “the last mile,”
then the move is for naught. The railroad may move the train to the port, but if
the port cannot efficiently load and unload the freight, then the railroad's
efficacy is lost.
Norfolk Southern realizes all too well that its
existence is dependent on these other modes; modes which, due to actions a
century ago, are dependent upon public monies to effect a state of good repair.
The railroads recognize and support the National Interest, not as a means of
political gain, but rather as a necessity for financial
survival.
Businesses are beginning to awaken to the reality of this new
era of transportation in which they now find themselves. If there is any lesson
to be learned from this October soirée, it is simply that if one pins the
success of one’s enterprise solely on publicly-funded transportation, one’s
enterprise is likely to stagnate or fail. Yes, in good times past, the priority
was for public funds to placate political hubris.
A century ago the
hypothesis for the experiment of socialized transportation proposed that
government owned/operated transportation was the proper tonic for “railroad
monopolists.” The French philosopher Denis Diderot once observed, "In order to
shake a hypothesis, it is sometimes not necessary to do anything more than push
it as far as it will go." Socialized transportation reached its zenith in August
of 2007 when motor fuel demand, along with fuel tax revenue, peaked. The
hypothesis has been pushed as far as it will go, but there are those whose
priority is to push it further even if this means stimulus from the general
revenue stream. Now is the time to redefine those
priorities.
________________________________________________________________________________________
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