WESTERN STRATEGIC THINKERS WHO HAD WARNED OF UKRAINIAN CONFLICT (a compilation by @RnaudBertrand)
1.
George Kennan, America's foreign policy strategist, the architect of
the U.S. cold war strategy. As early as 1998 he warned that NATO
expansion was a "tragic mistake" that ought to ultimately provoke a "bad
reaction from Russia".
2.
Kissinger, in 2014. He warned that "to Russia, Ukraine can never be
just a foreign country" and that the West therefore needs a policy that
is aimed at "reconciliation".
He was also adamant that "Ukraine should not join NATO"
3.
John Mearsheimer - arguably the leading geopolitical scholar in the US
today - in 2015: "The West is leading Ukraine down the primrose path and
the end result is that Ukraine is going to get wrecked [...] What we're
doing is in fact encouraging that outcome."
4.
Jack F. Matlock Jr., US Ambassador to the Soviet Union from 1987-1991,
warning in 1997 that NATO expansion was "the most profound strategic
blunder, [encouraging] a chain of events that could produce the most
serious security threat [...] since the Soviet Union collapsed"
5.
Clinton's defense secretary William Perry explained, in his memoir,
that to him NATO enlargement is the cause of "the rupture in relations
with Russia" and that in 1996 he was so opposed to it that "in the
strength of my conviction, I considered resigning".
6.
Stephen Cohen, a famed scholar of Russian studies, warning in 2014 that
"if we move NATO forces toward Russia's borders [...] it's obviously
gonna militarize the situation [and] Russia will not back off, this is
existential"
7. CIA
director Bill Burns in 2008: "Ukrainian entry into NATO is the brightest
of all redlines for [Russia]" and "I have yet to find anyone who views
Ukraine in NATO as anything other than a direct challenge to Russian
interests". (He was then Ambassador to Moscow in 2008 when he wrote this
memo). He is now director of the CIA. ‘08 memo ‘Nyet Means Nyet:
Russia's NATO Enlargement Redlines’
8.
Russian-American journalist Vladimir Pozner, in 2018, stated that: NATO
expansion in Ukraine is unacceptable to the Russian, that there has to
be a compromise where "Ukraine, guaranteed, will not become a member of
NATO."
9. Malcolm Fraser,
22nd prime minister of Australia, warned in 2014 that "the move east
[by NATO is] provocative, unwise and a very clear signal to Russia". He
adds that this leads to a "difficult and extraordinarily dangerous
problem".
10. Paul
Keating, former Australian PM, in 1997: expanding NATO is "an error
which may rank in the end with the strategic miscalculations which
prevented Germany from taking its full place in the international system
[in early 20th]"
11.
Former US defense secretary Bob Gates in his 2015 memoirs: "Moving so
quickly [to expand NATO] was a mistake. [...] Trying to bring Georgia
and Ukraine into NATO was truly overreaching [and] an especially
monumental provocation"
12.
Pat Buchanan, in his 1999 book A Republic, Not an Empire: "By moving
NATO onto Russia's front porch, we have scheduled a twenty-first-century
confrontation."
13. In
1997, a group of individuals including Robert McNamara, Bill Bradley
& Gary Hart wrote a letter to Bill Clinton warning the "US led
effort to expand NATO is a policy error of historic proportions" and
would "foster instability" in Europe. Today it's fringe, traitorous
position.
14. Pat
Buchanan, in his 1999 book A Republic, Not an Empire: "By moving NATO
onto Russia's front porch, we have scheduled a twenty-first-century
confrontation."
15.
Dmitriy Trenin expressed concern that Ukraine was, in the LT, the most
potentially destabilizing factor in US-Russian relations, given the
level of emotion & neuralgia triggered by its quest for NATO
membership.
16. Sir
Roderic Lyne, former British ambassador to Russia, warned a year ago
that "[pushing] Ukraine into NATO [...] is stupid on every level." He
adds "if you want to start a war with Russia, that's the best way of
doing it."
17. Even last
year, famous economist Jeffrey Sachs, writing a column in the FT
warning that "NATO enlargement is utterly misguided and risky. True
friends of Ukraine, and of global peace, should be calling for a US and
NATO compromise with Russia."
18.
Fiona Hill :"We warned [George Bush] that Mr. Putin would view steps to
bring Ukraine and Georgia closer to NATO as a provocative move that
would likely provoke pre-emptive Russian military action. But
ultimately, our warnings weren’t heeded."
19. Aleksandr Dugin, in 1997, had predicted everything that Putin has done, in his book "Foundation of Geopolitics."
EVERYBODY
knew that trying to rope Ukraine into NATO was crossing Russia's red
line, but now people would like to hold up Russia as a villain AFTER
having done everything to teeter on the redline. And this happened only
AFTER Biden came to power. Nothing against any stand of yours as a
geopolitical expert, but show that you are aware of the geo politics?
One can peruse the compilation here:
[HT Sanjay]
How Western Globalists work