The Commodity Futures Game Who Wins Who Loses Why Pdf

[Rocki Eibl]

Ifyour price prediction for the event contract you trade is correct, based on the daily settlement price of the corresponding futures at the determining value, you will receive a payout of $20 per contract for that trade (less all applicable fees). However, if your prediction is incorrect, you will lose the amount you paid to purchase the position.

DISCLAIMER: There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures and options products. Losses in excess of your initial investment may occur. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Please contact your account representative with concerns or questions.

Today, a substantial number of binary options are traded through online trading platforms. These web sites often do not comply with U.S. regulatory requirements. In fact, the increase in the number of these platforms has led to an increase in binary-option related fraud complaints to the CFTC.

Complaints include scams in which binary options trading firms claim they deposited money in an investor's account but did not. They might deny requests to return funds or even require hidden fees to return assets. Many online binary options trading platforms overstate the average return on investment or even manipulate past charts to make investing appear more promising than it really is. Some binary options trading platforms may offer a bonus for opening or adding to an account. The bonus is a monetary amount added to the deposit under the condition that the investor subsequently makes a specific minimum amount of trades before withdrawing any funds.

Binary options are an all or nothing investment in which one side wins and the other side loses depending on a yes/no outcome at expiration. The payoff to a winning investment is a fixed monetary amount or an announced percentage of the initial investment. A losing outcome generally results in the total loss of the investment.

Binary options are legal and available to trade in the U.S. but they must be traded on a regulated U.S. exchange. These exchanges are Designated Contract Markets (DCMs). Some binary options are listed on registered exchanges or traded on DCMs that are subject to oversight by the CFTC or SEC. Here is a list of DCMs. This is only a small portion of the binary options market, though. There are currently only three DCMs offering binary options in the U.S.: Cantor Exchange, LP; Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (CME); and the North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc. (NADEX).

Many offshore companies engaged in commodity binary options transactions are not registered with the CFTC, however, and it is best to avoid them entirely. When companies operate offshore, investors have even fewer protections and are at greater risk of being targeted for fraud. Those featured on the RED List, for example, are companies operating without CFTC registration and are based offshore where they are not held up to the same standards as those based in the U.S.

To further complicate matters, market experts have seen a rise in the software platforms that tend to target over-the-counter binary options that are not CFTC-regulated. These require only a counterpart of the trade who is a broker or an option contract. An investor must be cautious when entering the binary options market and keep in mind the risk of fraud, manipulation, and abuse.

No one trade should make you emotionally unstable or make it impossible to recover. However, we see it happen all the time. Traders will fall in love with a story-line and fail to properly assess the risk.

This material should be viewed as a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction. Trading futures and options involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss in trading commodity interests can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.

If you are going to engage in any trading activity with Futures on Virtual Currencies including Bitcoin, please view NFA & CFTC advisories providing more information on these potentially significant risks.

use derivatives esclusively unlike Hedge funds that use both. Also, it is meant for high networth individuals. couple of different strategies : systematic trading and discretionary(where judgement takes the front seat) good diversifier if someone wins somebody else loses inthis strategy so you have to be on winning side. CISDM CTA benchmark

basically trading futures with the only objective being to profit (as opposed to hedge). currencies, commodities, interest rates, etc. zero sum game, low to zero correlation to traditional investments. generally used for high net worth indv and institutions.

About five or six years ago, I discussed the idea for this book with him. He loved drawing on my large inventory of crazy, insane stories growing up in rural Iowa. I would not have had the courage to write the book without Doug.

It was the classic newbie trader story. I made enough money in the first few months to be dangerous. I got blown out. I had considered buying a seat on the old Mid-America Commodity Exchange. Had I not been blown out, I may have done that. However, the odds of that happening were low.

I started trading again in 2010. First, I became a principal in a small firm providing real-time yield forecasts for US corn and soybeans. I believed it could give me the edge a trader must have to succeed.

Second, my father passed away in 2009. Our family still had a substantial farm operation, and I inherited the corn and soybean marketing for our farms back in Iowa, working with my mother. It forced me to be closer to the markets on a day-to-day basis.

Third, I believe that trading makes me a better teacher and a better researcher. It gives me a quicker awareness of emerging issues in the markets. My motivation was to have skin in the game, but not so much that you get flayed!

They also had agendas regarding what they perceived as their commercial advantage in the delivery process. They maybe wanted to use the issue to drive significant changes in the contracts that they felt would have benefited them commercially.

I understand that you have a second book coming out soon on the role of index funds and speculators. Throughout your career, you have relentlessly tried to explain that speculators add value to the markets. Why is it so hard to get that message across?

Now I have a question about high-frequency trading (HFT). You write in your book about the FBI investigations into the floor locals in the 1980s. The agency fined locals millions of dollars for front-running orders. Some in the physical trade argue that HFT funds have replaced locals in front running orders and spoofing the market by placing and cancelling large orders. Do you have a view on high-frequency trading? Do they add or distract value?

You mentioned in your book that you are possibly better known now for your work on biofuels than on the futures markets. In 2007, a UN spokesman called biofuels a crime against humanity. The UN later withdrew that statement, but some still argue that biofuels are unethical because they raise food prices and cause hunger among the poor. What would you say to that?

I recognise that food price spikes hurt billions of people in less developed urban settings. Still, perhaps a more significant issue is that beggar thy neighbour export restrictions aggravate their suffering. When a country bans food exports to protect its domestic consumers, it transfers the price volatility to importing countries. It is a big problem.

However, I believe the EV evangelists portray a faster transition than will happen. In the US, we have nearly 280 million internal combustion engines that we must depreciate. It is going to take decades.

The first is a popular freshman-sophomore course on agricultural marketing. We also provide junior-senior classes on commodity price analysis and commodity futures markets. And then we have the commodity futures markets course, looking at the markets and how you hedge and speculate in them.

We also offer three courses at the graduate level. One covers time series econometrics applications in commodity futures markets. We have a second one that covers traditional supply and demand and trade policy in agricultural markets.

Fourth, read as much as you can. I tell my students to start with your book, Commodity Conversations. I then ask them to read The Economics of Futures Trading by Thomas A. Hieronymus, followed by The World for Sale by Javier Blas and Jack Farchy.

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