1400 TROPICAL UPDATE

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Evans F. Mitchell KD4EFM <GMail>

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Jul 8, 2013, 2:15:56 PM7/8/13

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Evans F. Mitchell
KD4EFM / WQOD 582
http://www.florida-dstar.info
http://www.nxdninfo.com

   NXDN / TDMA-2slot
      D-Star / P-25
    Digital HAM RADIO
Product Support and Programmer

I.T.T. Tech Graduate – AAS – EET 91’

20+ yrs 2-Way Radio Tech. Experience

From: William D. Abernathy [mailto:billyab...@polkfl.com]
Sent: Monday, July 08, 2013 2:10 PM
To: William D. Abernathy
Subject: 1400 TROPICAL UPDATE

TS CHANTAL - (CHANTAL IS IDENTIFIED IN THE ATTACHED IMAGERY WITH A YELLOW CIRCLE) - AT 200 PM EST THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH LONGITUDE 52.8 WEST. CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 25 MPH AND A WEST- NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT ABOUT THE SAME FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF CHANTAL SHOULD REACH THE LESSER ANTILLES EARLY TUESDAY AND MOVE INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA LATER ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB.

LOW - (THIS LOW IS IDENTIFIED IN THE ATTACHED IMAGERY WITH A WHITE CIRCLE) A NEWLY FORMED VIGOROUS UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BAHAMAS AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION AND PRESSURES ARE HIGH IN THE AREA. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE NEAR 0 PERCENT OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. HOWEVER THIS DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE BAHAMAS THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

TS CHANTAL MODELS

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