Be ashamed to die until you have won some
victory for humanity. -
- Horace Mann
1796-1889
I would be true for there are those who
trust me. I would be pure for there are those who care. I would be strong for
there is much to suffer. And I would be brave for there is much to dare.
-- Howard Arnold Walter 1883 -
1918
Two views
Jim Schroeder:
Hi Dick. Your explanation of "B" in Douglas's A+B theorem
is "off the mark", so the entirety of your argument becomes a
strawman.
Dick
Eastman:
If I only had a brain.
_______________________________________________________
Jim Schroeder:
B" payments in the A+B theorem are all payments to other
organizations.
Dick Eastman:
If the "B" payments are disbursed to other
organizations then the purchasing power shortfall problem is not with the firm
but with the other organizations. That is what I am saying to. I say the
interest payments go to the financial sector and that there is where they are
kept from returning to the flow as either consumption or investment
spending.
_______________________________________________________
Jim
Schroeder:
The question becomes, why are B payments not income? All companies pay
their workers prior to the product being sold and revenues being received for
the sale of the product that the worker produced. This is generally done
through a revolving line of credit.
Dick Eastman:
They are income. Interest is income to the
lender. The question is not "Why are the B payments not income?", but rather
why do the persons receiving the interest not spend the proceeds. Why do
they the not return the income received to the flow of money within the loop of
households, government and business from which it came?
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Jim Schroeder:
Douglas stated quite explicitly in "The New and the Old
Economics":
"I think that a little consideration will make it clear that
in this sense an overhead charge is any charge in respect of which the actual
distributed purchasing power does not still exist, and that practically this
means any charge created at a further distance in the past than the period of
cyclic rate of circulation of money. There is no fundamental difference between
tools and intermediate products, and the latter may therefore be
included.[22]
Dick
Eastman:
Let's think about this.
Rent is an overhead charge for a business location, you pay it regardless of how
much or how little product is produced. He pays overhead when he pays his
electric bill and phone bill. A business license is an expense charged to
overhead. A retailer pays a big overhead for a shop located on say Park Avenue
in New York City. He pays overhead for the counter and display cases in the
shop, supposing he rents them or is paying for them in installments. Let us say
he is paying for them in installments. In this case -- no pun intended -- we
see what Douglas is driving at. The counters were built and the workmen who
built all of their parts (glass, varnish, hinges, cut and sanded lumber etc.)
and those who assembled those components have were paid in the past. But, my
friends, paid with what? Where did the enterprisers get the money to build
those parts so they could be sold to the cabinet maker and where did the cabinet
maker get the money to pay people to assemble those parts and finish them, put
them in crates and deliver them to the shop on Park Avenue? Why he borrowed the
money of course! And on what terms? Well, to get money to produce their
components of the cabint each supplier had to sign a contract obligating him to
make a steam of future payments, payments of principal and payments of
interest. The loan paid the cabinet makers so they could pay principal and
interest on the loans that they took out to pay their own suppliers and
workers. So we see a chain of events leading back where loans are taken out
which pay businessmen so they can pay loans which they took out to pay other
businessmen who took out loans to pay other business men and so forth. A flow
of loans. A flow of payments to principal and interest. In each case the
principal being paid equals the amount that was purchased from suppliers and the
interest is paid on top of that amount. It is hoped by each businessman in the
chain that the loan amount he borrowed will enable him to produce and sell
products the proceeds of which will enable him to pay both that principal plust
the agreed-upon interest plus enough profit -- called normal profit -- to have
paid his work and entrepreneurial skill at least as much as he could have gotten
chucking that job and earning best alternative income doing something
else.
Stateing this plainly: The overhead
that matters is interest on loans. No just on loans to pay fixed costs
(overhead), as douglas suggests, but all loans for whatever output level the
business owner chooses. (And remember, what matters is fixed cost per unit
sold -- the more units sold the lower the fixed cost per unit. Douglas was
wrong to abstract out fixed costs from variable costs -- that is to separate
overhead (plant, equipment, showroom etc.) from labor and input materials
costs.
An amount equal to principal always
gets spent -- returned to the river -- or rather the loan adds amount X to the
river and the payment of principal takes that amount out again. But the
interest takes where it did not first provide and sometimes the interest once
paid to the lender does not get returned to the river. That drain is the
source of the problem -- that you call "B" and "the (Douglas, rather than
Keynesian) "gap."
Overhead charges are to pay
overhead expenses called in economics fixed cost
payments.
_______________________________________________________
Jim Schroeder:
Douglas estimated the "cyclic rate of circulation of money to be three
weeks. This estimate was derived by taking the number of clearings through the
banks and dividing by the amount of deposits. As Douglas stated in his
testimony before the Alberta Agricultural Commission:
"Now we know there
are an increasing number of charges which originated from a period much anterior
to three weeks, and included in those charges, as a matter of fact, are most of
the charges made in, respect of purchases from one organization to another, but
all such charges as capital charges (for instance, on a railway which was
constructed a year, two years, three years, five or ten years ago, where charges
are still extant), cannot be liquidated by a stream of purchasing power which
does not increase in volume and which has a period of three weeks. The
consequence is, you have a piling up of debt, you have in many cases a
diminution of purchasing power being equivalent to the price of the goods for
sale.[23]
Dick Eastman:
"Cyclic rate of circulation"
is total deposit dollars transfered per total dollars deposited. This is the
same as Irving Fisher's velocity of the circulation of dollar deposits, the V'
in his equation MV + M'V' = PQ -- but do you see what Douglas is saying
here??? He is saying people are paying their old bills in the present period
along with their current buying. What is this but households paying current
expenses plus long term debt. What is this but businesses paying current
operating expenses -- fixed and variable -- plus long term debt. What is this
but government paying its mandated expenses on public goods and transfer
payments plus long term debt. Can't you see that Douglas is arguing my point
for me here!!!! Do you really think that my straw catches fire and is burned
up when Douglas says there is not enough money in circulation to pay off debt?
But I have gone further than Douglas does here. I assert, with many of you I am
sure, that since all of our money is loan and that all of it has to be paid back
to the financial sector in ful (loan equals principal) plus compound interest
-- and that that is impossible and being impossible forces default,
foreclosures, bankruptcies and the seizing of collateral by the lenders -- the
assets of the people -- to make up for the interest that debtors cannot scrape
up because it does not exist. Douglas was fuzzy on all that and would and
likely would not have admitted to it -- but I can see and I hope you can see
that this is the core truth he was skirting.
_______________________________________________________
Jim Schroeder:
There are two cycles that are going on simultaneously, and
in order for there to be "equilibrium" they must be in sync.
Dick Eastman:
There is no equilibrium here.
There are no cylces here. The economy Douglas lived in and talked about and the
economy we are living in is a system where the domestic economy is in dynamic
deterioration, a decay path and net interest drain (resulting from inflows of
loans being less than contract-law-required outflows of principal plus
interest). Furthermore there are banks and big financial players with money to
expand reserves or decrease reserve, to lend or to call in loans, to tighten
money in the lower loop or to ease credit etc. Where there are human
controllers who can can control key central bank levers and variables under the
control of big money holders who can lend or not, invest or not, force loan
calls or not -- then there is no such thing as equilibrium. To talk of cycles
and equilibrium in this economy is to believe in prediction based on the
distribution of tea leaves at the bottom of your teacup after the tea is
drunk.
_______________________________________________________
Jim Schroeder:
The lower limit of price is the cost of production, but
the upper limit is subject to the laws of supply and demand.
Dick Eastman:
Often in these days
inventories are sold at a loss because liquidity is needed to make the next
interest payment and revenues from sales at a cost-covering price are not
sufficient. Sometimes doing this can buy time until things turn around, but
often that never happens. Everything depends on return. Sometime the best a
firm can do is sell at a price that is below variable cost -- operating at a
loss, but still able to pay fixed costs and stay in operation. But when the
best a firm can do is sell at a price x quantity that not only doesn't
cover variable costs but also does not cover fixed costs (the mortgage on the
store, the payments to the bank on the machines etc) then it is time to shut
down. Supply conditions and demand determine all of it all the
way.
_______________________________________________________
Jim Schroeder:
An example would be illustrative here.
Take for instance the
construction of an oil refinery. Assume for simplicity that the only costs are
labour costs. The construction company pays the workers a certain amount of
money to construct the refinery. Since labour is the only cost, the company
enters the refinery on its books and depreciates it for lets say 20 years. If
the cost was $1,000,000, then this means that the cost would be distributed to
the consumer at $50,000/annum for 20 years.
Income = $1,000,000 and
costs = $1,000,000 so where's the discrepancy?
The problem is that those
workers are not going to wait 20 years to spend all their income. Most, if not
all of it, will be spent in the first year. What happens to it? Well it gets
spent on consumer goods in the first year, which in turn increases the effective
demand for those goods. Retailers, operating on conditions of supply and
demand, increase the price of those goods and services thus absorbing the entire
$1,000,000 in the first year. Now the company that built the refinery is
charging $50,000 per annum for the next 19 years, but the income necessary to
defray those costs no longer exists.
Where did the income go? Well, if
all of the money the retailers took in was distributed back to shareholders as
dividends, then it would reappear as income, and again, there would be no
problem. But that's not what happens. Retailers see this rise in revenues and
realize that they can invest that money back into their business in order to
seek even more profits at some future point in time. However, by doing this,
they are creating new costs without any additional purchasing power being
distributed.
Dick Eastman:
The example is very nice. Let's use it. A
million dollars was paid to laborers who mined the steel, grew the trees and cut
the lumber, made the windows from sand, made the molds and poured the steel for
each part, mined the chemicals, travelled the world for the needed minerals,
refined them, purified them, did the electronic etc and made this wonderful
refinery. Got it. And for this they were paid twenty years ago, $1,000,000
dollars. (Labor was cheap back then.) I've got that too. And twenty years ago
those workers took their earnings and spent them -- on refined things
presumably.
Next you say that the laborers will spend all
of that money in the first year. That too is reasonable. They spend it on
consumer goods. What else would they spend it on?
Then you say that the $1,000,000 increases
demand for the goods they purchase -- of course -- there $1,000,000 is their
demand since you say they spend it all.
Now you say , "Retailers, operating on conditions of supply and demand, increase
the price of those goods and services thus absorbing the entire $1,000,000 in
the first year." but what is this but
another way of stating that the laborers spend their money. They spent their
money, period. Talking about "supply and demand" and "absorbing" adds nothing
to the fact -- the workers spent their money.
Now here is where you make your fatal mistake.
When the refinery was built for $1,000,000 you say that the book keeper
" depreciates it for lets say 20 years. If the
cost was $1,000,000, then this means that the cost would be distributed to the
consumer at $50,000/annum for 20 years." (unquote) And further down you say "Now the company that
built the refinery is charging $50,000 per annum for the next 19 years, but the
income necessary to defray those costs no longer exists." I am sorry, but that is all wrong. The company paid for a
refinery. You never said how. Let me say it. It was paid for as
most refineries are paid for, with bank financing. Bonds were floated
obligating the borrower -- the refinery entretreneurs -- to pay a given face
value. The bonds were sold for less than face value, the differnece between the
bond price and the face price establishing the interest rate on the loan. The
float is sold. The bank is paid its fee. The firm must pay the face value --
or it can make arrangements with the bank to pay the face value when it comes
due in exchange for the refinery entrepreneurs making regular payments to the
bank. NOTICE THAT THIS IS ALL INTEREST PAYMENTS. Now let us go back from the
world of finance to the humble book keeper and standard accounting practices.
Accountants and all those who look to the books for an accounting of the health
of the firm find it wise to distribute a big payment "in the books" over several
months or years -- in the case of the refinery purchas over twenty years. Why
is this done? Simply so that the fist year, which might have been a good
operating year, will not be overburdened with a gigantic cost -- compared to
revenue -- making the year look very bad simply because the machine was
purchased in that year. The macine is entered as an asset worth so much. But
the payment is spread over twenty years. So a reserve account is created by
which each year the value of the machine goes down by one twentieth from its
original price value while the payment for the machine is made each year
for the twelve years. Each year asset value of the machine declines (as book
keepers provide for wear and tear) by one twentieth and each year one twentieth
of the price of the machine is distributed. The machine is paid for when its
accounting asset value also reaches zero. (The actual machine may still be
going stong or it may have been junked years before this happens.) What happens
in the books with depreciation does not matter one iota!!! What matters in the
world of national purchasing power, deflaiton and inflation is the loan that
paid for the machine and the drain of funds from the economy as the refinery
enterprisers pay principal plus interest -- as they pay the face value greater
than the bond price they obtained 20 years
before.
Depreciation in the accounting system of the
firm means nothing. All that matters is the loan as inflow and the principal
and interest as drain.
The workers spent their money at whatever
price -- and the retailers who sold to them paid their bank for the funds with
which they paid their suppliers. That is how the system works. In the end what
matters is what I Mr. Dick Straw Man says that matters -- interest drain.
THE REFINER ENTERPRISERS GOT A LOAN TO PAY THE WORKERS THE $1,000,000 and so did
the economy. BUT THEN THEY HAD TO PAY BACK THE $1,000,000 PLUS COMPOUND
INTEREST AND TO THE EXTENT THAT THEY COULD RAISE AND FORK OVER THAT MUCH MONEY
SO DID THE ECONOMY.
By the way -- the life ascribed to the machine
has nothing to do with the term of the loan. The machine can be depreciated
over twenty years but the loan may extend only 5 years or all of thirty years.
What matters for national money supply and purchasing power is the loan
servicing not the depreciation period.
_______________________________________________________
Jim Schroeder:
Or as Douglas wrote in "The Monopoly of Credit":
"Where any payment
in money appears twice or
more in series production, then the ultimate price
of the product is increased by the amount
of that payment multiplied by the
number of times of its appearance, without any equivalent
increase of
purchasing power.
Dick Eastman:
I can make out no sense in this whatsoever.
There is either one payment or two payments. If I pay five dollars to one
fellow to build something that I am going to sell to you and then pay another
fellow five dollars to finish the job then I have paid $10 dollars and I hope I
can get that much from you when I sell you the thing. But that says nothing
about how much money exists in the economy or in my wallet our yours or theirs
or the sum of of all our money.
If Douglas is trying to say above that an
increase of velocity of money circulation does not increase purchasing power he
has made a mistake.
Look again at Fisher's equation MV + M'V =
PQ
There are so many dollars of currency in
peoples hands and they change hands so many times in a say a month. There are
so many dollar denominated deposits in all of our checking accounts at any
moment and these deposit dollars are transferred at a certain rate per month.
The currency spent at a certain rate and the deposit dollars transferred at a
certain rate equal as a necessary identity the sum of the price of every item
that was sold during that month. More simply the total dollars spent equals the
sum of all receipts for things sold. If the velocity of both currency
circulation and of transfer are doubled then it is possible for the quantity
sold to double or the price to double or the price and the quantity to go each
go up by percentages that total 200%.
You know the parlor game Monopoly. If everyone
on this list meets at my house and we play twice as fast as usual we can play
two whole games in the time it usually takes to play one -- using the same
amount of money in the game in each game.
You have laughed at Austrian Schoolers again
and again for their wrong-headed adherence to the ideas of Ludwig von Mises
about gold or intrinsic value or that inflation causes depressions. You have
looked with pity and sadness on Ellen Brown telling us we must back the trillion
dollar coin and Obama's depositing it with the Fed. Or Antony Migchels telling
you that banks lending money at interest must be outlawed -- a reformer who
would throw the baby out with the dirty bathwater.
Don't put C H Douglas on a par with Jesus.
And don't hate the messenger who points out the mistakes he has made. Do you
think I like descecrating your idols. Do you think I enjoy being the dangerous
heretic and the anti-social ultra-negative one who brings rain to everyone's
parade.
I do not reject Douglas -- I stand on his
shoulders -- and Kitson's shoulders, and Soddy's and Feder's and Hawtrey's and
Hobson's -- while at the same time I topple the false prophets at their clay
feet.
_______________________________________________________
Jim Schroeder:
With this fundamental proposition in mind we are in a position to take a
more generalised
view of the defect in the price system which is concerned
with the double circuit of money in
industry, and which has become known as
the A plus B theorem. The statement of this is as
follows:
In any manufacturing undertaking the payments made may be divided into
two
groups: Group A: Payments made to individuals as wages, salaries, and
dividends; Group
B: Payments made to other organisations for raw materials,
bank charges, and other external
costs. The rate of distribution of
purchasing power to individuals is represented by A, but
since all payments
go into prices, the rate of generation of prices cannot be less than A
plus
B. Since A will not purchase A plus B, a proportion of the product at
least equivalent to B
must be distributed by a form of purchasing power which
is not comprised in the description
grouped under A."
Dick
Eastman:
Having rejected the "milk," dare I
go on to consider the "meat"?
No. There is nothing new here.
Douglas says there is A going to wages and profit and B going to "raw materials,
bank charges and other." The raw materials is wrong. Raw materials come from
land and labor and tools. If you buy the mineral rights the money goes to
government which spends it or uses it to pay interest on government debt. If
rent the rights you pay the one who owns them and he is free to take the money
and consume, invest or hoard it. Raw materials does not withdraw money from
circulation. However insofar as Douglas means by "bank charges" the payment of
interest and principal for money previously received to that extent he is not in
dispute with me or my "straw." Whenever Douglas says "bank charges" you know
exactly what he means. Whenver he accounts for B in any other way --
"overhead," "depreciation", "raw materials" and so forth everyone gets
confused and wonders what he means -- including the "true believers" who
nevertheless not their heads and affirm that here is the profoundest of truths
and it is too bad that the rest of the world can't see it.
A + Interest equals what firms
must pay to produce product. When the banks to not recirculate the interest
they take then only A is left in consumer hands to buy the product. Firms have
to fail. The more firms make profit the more other firms have to fail --
because there is not enough money for all firms even to break even given the
the money that can buy their product.
_______________________________________________________
Jim Schroeder: and further:
":If the wage
earners
in process "1" use their current month's, i.e. May's, wages to buy
their share of one
current month's production of consumable goods, they are
using money distributed in respect
of production which will not appear as
consumable goods till October. They are in fact
involuntarily reinvesting
their money in industry, with the result previously explained."
Dick Eastman: Their buying is
voluntary -- unless the husbands are being forced by their wives to buy baby
food with their paycheck when they would rather buy whisky.
And what is this about them buying "their
share?" They buy what they can on the market at the prices offered.
Most people these days are working paycheck to
paycheck supporting themselves "hand to mouth" Others are not. Most, in the
service economy, give the benefit of their labor right away. Others, those
working on Boeing Jets and so forth are not going to see a finished product
until months later perhaps. BUT THIS IS COMPLETELY IRRELEVANT TO THE QUESTION
AT HAND. It is the provision of money that enables them to work and earn a
paycheck. Some are working on pie that will be available for purchase in the
period it was produced and some are working on bakeries and pie pans that will
not be ready until much later. There is no swindle here. The swindle is in
having an economy in which 100 percent of the money in circulation (currency and
"checkable" deposits) is loaned money that must be paid
back.
Douglas did not see it clearly and so he did
not spell out the clear solution.
We need thin-air permanent money that is
created independently of the banking system which lends at interest. Banking
and money creation must be separated. All new money must be introduced by the
consumer so that consumer demand will become the guiding sector of the economy
-- the consumer's demand being the souce of the signals that move the
profit-seeking entrepreneur to action in organizing
production.
If you think that this economy will be fixed by
filling in the gap with a dividend and a rebate plan for retailers without
getting rid of loan-created money and a private control of central banking --
then consider that you just might be more of rote and drill Douglas man than it
is good to be.
Here is a test: Can you name two mistakes of
Douglas that you have identified and own as true mistakes?
I see mistakes in all of the great beacons I
follow -- and I despise myself for the millions of mistakes I have made and for
the mistakes I continue to make in almost everything I write. But in there is
an honest heart asking you to think that what I say may sometimes be right even
if it is contrary to what the major has taught.
_______________________________________________________