Title: "Coherent combinations of experts' opinions"
Abstract.
One popular rule for aggregating multiple experts' point estimates is
linear averaging. However, this rule is incompatible with Bayesian
conditionalization except in trivial cases of expert consensus (Dawid et
al., 1995; Ranjan & Gneiting, 2010; Bradley, 2018; Gallow, 2018).
This paper proves a generalization of this impossibility result. If time
permits, we'll also discuss how to extend the analysis to the imprecise
setting.
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