MSNBC Rains All Over Biden's Reelection Chances With Some Very Bad New Year's Eve News

[Morton]

According to the Republican National Committee, Joe Biden spent a record
37 percent of his presidency at one of several favorite "getaway spots" in
2023. If MSNBC's New Year's Eve prediction proves true, the embattled
president will begin his permanent vacation on January 20, 2025.

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Steve Kornacki, MSNBC's national political correspondent, meticulously
explained how NBC’s final Biden presidency tracking poll of the year
compares with those of other presidents heading into this reelection year.
Spoiler: Biden's numbers sucked at record levels.

“That’s the lowest,” said Kornacki, referring to Biden’s record low
approval rating. “That’s the lowest in an NBC poll for an incumbent facing
a reelection here.”

Among the top concerns for voters remains the 81-year-old president's age
and woeful incompetence. Let's toss in the part that the alphabet networks
never say: Joe Biden intentionally created the border crisis; he
intentionally caused the Afghanistan debacle; he intentionally caused the
gas crisis — and he intentionally implemented the disastrous policies
Bidenomics.

Kornacki specifically pointed out that Biden heads into his reelection
year with a lower approval rating than both Donald Trump and George H.W.
Bush, both of whom lost their reelection bids.

Joe Biden seems poised to be the Democratic nominee. What kind of year is
he had politically? Well, again, he started 2023 coming off those good
midterms for Democrats and his approval rating of 46/50 wasn’t that bad,
but he’s taken a hit this year.

And as we start to close out the year, our final NBC poll had him at just
40% approval, 57% disapproval. How does this compare to past presidents
entering the reelection year? Here? You can see it. Here’s the 40 that we
have Biden at right now. These are all the final polls heading into the
election year, a reelection year that NBC conducted.

You just see all the reason President Trump got beat in 2020. He was at 44
heading into his reelection year. Bush Sr. got beat in 92. He was at 52
and heading south rapidly there.

But you see how that number compares. That’s the lowest. That’s the lowest
in an NBC poll for an incumbent facing a reelection here.

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The amazing part is that Biden doesn't seem to give a damn, meaning that
it appears he's just trying to continue to do as much damage to this
country as he can and run out the clock.


Despite Biden's disastrous presidency — particularly in 2023 — Kornacki
expects the 2024 presidential election to be close, given the likely
candidates. Still, he pointed out, three in four voters are concerned
about Biden's age and steadily deteriorating physical condition.

But it is a tight race when you poll Biden versus Trump at the start of
the year and the average of the polls nationally, Biden had a two-point
advantage.

Now, at the end of the year, it is Trump who on average has a two-point
advantage here, a very, very close race, obviously. And what are the
concerns of voters, the dynamics we’ll be talking about if this race does
materialize? Joe Biden, of course, is the oldest president ever at this
point, and his physical fit, his fitness his age. But three in four voters
in our poll say it’s a major or moderate concern.

Big thing. And 24 is going to be Trump’s legal situation or their
convictions. What goes on in the courtroom for him? 62% right now say
that’s a major or moderate concern for them. Will that number change if
there’s if there’s a conviction with that number change based on how these
cases start to sort out? Big question.

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The Potential Impact of a Third-Party Candidate
This is the wild card of wild cards. Kornacki went bottom-line with it.

[T]here’s not a big appetite for Trump versus Biden, even though it seems
that each party, at least as we enter 2024, is poised to go in that
direction. And that leads to this final graphic here.

A poll from The Wall Street Journal recently— they included a bunch of
third-party options and against Biden and Trump, they added up to 17%.
That’s a big question heading into 2024. Is it going to be a real third-
party candidate to create a wild card in this?

No. Other than as a spoiler, I mean, and I don't see any way that a
potential spoiler doesn't hurt the Democrat candidate more than the
Republican candidate — particularly if it's Biden.

The Bottom Line
I've followed presidential elections for more years than I'll admit, but I
will say this: I believe 2024 is going to be like no other I've seen for a
myriad of reasons — on both sides. It will be close; accusations will fly,
and after it's over, the country will be even more divided than it now is.

https://redstate.com/mike_miller/2024/01/01/msnbc-rains-all-over-bidens-
reelection-chances-with-ominous-new-years-eve-news-n2168157