"Rich Rostrom" <
rros...@comcast.net> wrote in message
news:rrostrom-9C8FBE...@news.eternal-september.org...
> "Geoffrey Sinclair" <
gsinc...@froggy.com.au> wrote:
>
>> In his book Hitler's U-boat War Clay Blair advocates the loss of
>> merchant shipping off the US coast in 1942 was not the fault of
>> the USN or Admiral King, indeed they were the competent ones,
>> everyone else let them down.
>
> And you don't agree, and see a lot of special pleading by Blair
Essentially pleading to ignore the book's conclusions about
convoys, followed by pleading the USN did not have the
resources for even lightly protected coastal convoys until
May 1942.
As for strengths they are aircraft in combat units, end of
story, from the regular Orders of Battle. They do not count
reserves, do not count planes en route, though in the 8th AF
case they may include the assembly ships as they were on
group strength.
I looked up the OOB and strength figures for the combat
units. I did not add reserves.
For example, the 8th Air force heavy bomber units as of
6 June 1944, group, aircraft type, strength, location.
91 B-17 48 Bassingbourn
92 B-17 61 Podington
303 B-17 58 Molesworth
305 B-17 39 Chelveston
306 B-17 57 Thurleigh
351 B-17 55 Polebrook
379 B-17 60 Kimbolton
381 B-17 62 Ridgewell
384 B-17 53 Grafton Underwood
398 B-17 68 Nuthampstead
401 B-17 57 Deenethorpe
457 B-17 61 Glatton
44 B-24 55 Shipdham
93 B-24 58 Hardwick
389 B-24 57 Hethel
392 B-24 66 Wendling
445 B-24 69 Tibenham
446 B-24 72 Bungay
448 B-24 71 Seething
453 B-24 71 Old Buckenham
458 B-24 57 Horsham St Faith
466 B-24 72 Attlebridge
467 B-24 65 Rackheath
489 B-24 65 Halesworth
491 B-24 75 Metfield
492 B-24 65 North Pickenham
34 B-24 71 Mendelsham
94 B-17 53 Bury St Edmunds
95 B-17 65 Horham
96 B-17 41 Snetterton Heath
100 B-17 61 Thorpe Abbots
385 B-17 65 Great Ashfield
388 B-17 55 Knettishall
390 B-17 61 Framlingham
447 B-17 64 Rattlesden
452 B-17 55 Deopham Green
486 B-24 64 Sudbury
487 B-24 58 Lavenham
490 B-24 54 Eye
493 B-24 61 Debach
Total 2,424 aircraft in 40 groups.
On 13 June there were 2,496 heavy bombers on group strength,
on 20 June 2,419, on 27 June 2,161, average for the month
using these four dates, 2,375.
For the month 22,713 effective bomber sorties from 28,925 airborne.
The 8th Air Force did at least weekly strength reports, I do not have
all of them, I have ranging between 1 and 5 per month.
Coastal Command strengths are monthly.
Yes the sorties figures look very low, that is the result, apart
from the aircraft themselves there needs to be crews ready
to go. After an all day sortie how much rest do you think
a crew needed before going again? The 8th Air Force
noted it could use 2 crews per heavy bomber.
Then add weather, there were plenty of no fly days.
> I can't believe only two sorties/month for PBYs in
> 1942, for instance. Dan Gallery in _U-505_ discussed
> the difficulties of operating PBYs from Iceland. I
> don't recall how many sorties per day he needed to
> mount to maintain a continuous patrol over a convoy
> to the south... Call it N. He stated that each plane,
> after a day's run, would spend the next day being
> checked out and maintained. So 2 X N.
>
> Every plane needed a full three-day engine tear-down
> and rebuild once a month; another 10%.
>
> Spares for accidents and breakdowns: another 20%
>
> So 2.64 N planes required - then x 2 again for
> training, etc. (Though he offered to make to with
> only 50% reserves.) He calculated that he should
> have had 26 planes - but he only had 12.
So the convoy requires cover for a given number of days
from Iceland, before/after which aircraft from Britain/Canada
etc. would take over, so he needed 26 aircraft on hand to
cover a convoy for how many days? What does he say
about the sortie totals generated by his escort carrier?
Does he mention the number of available crews?
There were gaps between convoys.
I agree the numbers look low, I also understand the real
problems in maintenance, the availability of spare parts,
and multi person crews, the entire crew has to be ready.
I also have reports from 10 squadron RAAF that indicate
they flew more than 3 sorties per Sunderland per month
on a number of occasions.
At the same time I am using the official combat sortie
totals and combat unit strengths. If these have omitted
combat sorties I would be surprised.
We know the problems the allies had in building enough
aircraft and training crews in the 1940 to 1943 period,
add spare parts production and providing those spare
parts to units along with the heavier maintenance
facilities. Particularly US aircraft in England, and aircraft
in Iceland and Gibraltar in general.
The combat units did need training sorties. According to
the USAAF in the European Theatre its combat aircraft
did 4,289,376 hours flying combat out of 5,946,310 hours
total flying, or about 2.5 hours combat to 1 hour training,
for the heavy bombers it was 2.2 hours combat to 1 hour
training. Or to put it another way for 1942 the heavy bomber
flying time was 47% combat, in 1943 54%. In 1944 with
on average better trained crews arriving and a higher
operational tempo it was 73% of hours on combat.
All air forces assumed a squadron would rarely put up all its
aircraft. The RAF for much of the war broke squadron strength
into two, with some of the strength called I.R., the initial reserve.
Sunderland squadrons had nine aircraft, in theory 6 serviceable,
2 in reserve, 1 in maintenance.
For the period 1 April 1942 to 10 May 1945, when Bomber
Command recorded strength, serviceable, crews and aircraft
available with crew on a daily basis, so 1,136 days, the averages
were,
1,308.5 aircraft on strength, 989.29 serviceable, 1180.7 crews
939.71 aircraft with crews. So around 71.8% of strength was
available on average. For 1 April to 31 December 1942 it
was 62.4%
In April 1942 there were just over 4,000 sorties generated from
an average strength of 713.9 aircraft, 389.5 aircraft with crews.
June 1943, 6,000 sorties, 1,079.6 average aircraft strength,
772.9 aircraft with crews.
The June 1944 maximum effort, 17,853 sorties, average strength
1,666.5 aircraft, 1,350.2 aircraft with crews.
Now one of the problems Coastal Command had was its need
for crews trained in over water navigation and long flight times,
add radar operators. It also had the problem of plenty of
different types in service and what that meant in terms of
matching an aircraft with an available crew.
So of 34 squadrons on 1 January 1941 it had Ansons, Battles,
Beauforts, Beaufighters, Blenheims, Hudsons, Lerwicks, Londons,
Stranraers, Sunderlands, Wellingtons and Whitleys. Total 510
aircraft 386 serviceable.
Remembering it was anti shipping as well as trade protection.
The 38 squadrons as of 1 January 1942, Beaufighters, Blenheims,
Catalinas, Hudsons, Hurricanes (Iceland), Liberators, Northrop
(Norwegian), Sunderlands, Wellingtons and Whitleys. Total 552
aircraft, 370 serviceable
The 41 squadrons as of 1 January 1943, Beaufighters, Catalinas,
Fortresses, Halifaxes, Hampdens, Hudsons, Liberators, Northrop
(Norwegian), Sunderlands, Wellingtons and Whitleys. Total 721
aircraft, 345 serviceable.
Even ignoring the anti shipping units think of the anti submarine
crew training requirements.
>> The Germans were reading RN and merchant ship codes,
>> Enigma would have revealed this.
>
> Not directly. In July 1941-Jan 1942, when the British
> were reading most naval Enigma, the Admiralty did not
> realize the Germans were reading BAMS. Some analysts
> suggested this, but were dismissed. IIRC, the Admiralty
> was finally persuaded only in 1943 by Rodger Winn of
> the Tracking Room, and only after a long campaing by him.
As noted it is Blair's idea about Enigma giving the information,
agreed about how the 1940/41 breaks did not easily reveal
the German successes. And the point Blair keeps ignoring
the lone wolf tactics used in the western Atlantic minimised
the need for radio traffic.
>> Now if the allies halved the around 10 month
>> blackout period to 5 months that would be end July 1942...
>
> Which would be nice - but the break into TRITON couldn't
> happen until the capture of key Enigma and other German
> coding material (the additional Enigma wheels and the Short
> Signal Book). That was a matter of luck (and extraordinary
> courage). I don't think the USN could have done anything to
> hasten it.
I would put it more that the break happened when it did
because of the capture, the 4 rotor bombes were being
made.